wotan Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 Anyone find out how the wind farm held up to the Tohoka tornado yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 We now have an enhanced risk for central Kansas for this Monday evening mostly for hail and wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 Today seems pretty big to me along the front in KS. Numerous/scattered large supercells producing giant hail, and tornadoes appear likely before a transition into cluster/bowing segments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 Lots of CAPE in excess of > 4500 J/kg in southern Kansas/N OK. First damage reports of the day? ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN RILEY AND WESTERN POTTAWATOMIE COUNTIES... At 510 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Tuttle Creek Lake, moving southeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. SOURCE...Emergency management. At 510 PM emergency management reported wind damage 4 miles northeast of Riley. IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings. Locations impacted include... Manhattan, Westmoreland, St. George, Olsburg, Tuttle Creek Lake and Keats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pbrussell Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 Embedded supercell city in ks. Some of them appear to be producing some nasty hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pbrussell Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 And of course the lone supercell in the high planes is producing. See cheyenne radar site. Classic reflectivity presentation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ct_yankee Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 Tornado watch up for eastern KS south of the front, initiation seems in doubt to the southwest, at least for the time being... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wotan Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 TWC seems to be overplaying the tornado risk Wednesday. Shocking, I know. Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutWX Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 49 minutes ago, wotan said: TWC seems to be overplaying the tornado risk Wednesday. Shocking, I know. Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk Wednesday looks like the least likely day for widespread tornadoes compared to today and Tuesday. That squall line Tuesday night is going to really work everything over I don’t see the airmass recovering behind it enough at this point. Could be wrong, but most times when we count on recovery behind an MCS it doesn’t happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wotan Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 Wednesday looks like the least likely day for widespread tornadoes compared to today and Tuesday. That squall line Tuesday night is going to really work everything over I don’t see the airmass recovering behind it enough at this point. Could be wrong, but most times when we count on recovery behind and MCS it doesn’t happen. But there's a Torcon of 6 for parts of Oklahoma and Texas Wednesday! Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ct_yankee Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 New watch for southwest KS, finally. They waited until initiation was well underway. I guess that's one way of doing it, with at least some certainty of storms... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 6, 2019 Share Posted May 6, 2019 And SPC must be anticipating that the LLJ would be cranking up this evening as well more than it initially expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 If you have one of the radar applications, zoom in to a storm near Boden and Puente TX (near Amarillo.) The left moving (sub-severe) storm became stronger than the right moving storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 726 PM CDT MON MAY 6 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN PAWNEE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS... NORTHWESTERN STAFFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS... * UNTIL 800 PM CDT. * AT 726 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ZOOK, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... RADIUM AROUND 800 PM CDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 731 PM CDT MON MAY 6 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... FRANKLIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS... NORTHEASTERN ANDERSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS... SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS... * UNTIL 815 PM CDT. * AT 730 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES EAST OF WILLIAMSBURG, MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH. THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS STORM. HAZARD...80 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES. EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... OTTAWA, GARNETT, WELLSVILLE, CENTROPOLIS, POMONA, RICHMOND, WILLIAMSBURG, QUENEMO, GREELEY, PRINCETON, LANE, RANTOUL AND POMONA LAKE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 SPC in meso discussion expects a MCS to form and rapidly move se this evening. Current Springfield MO forecast says to expect t storms after 5 am tomorrow. I don't think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 McPherson area is under a tor warning with baseball size hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pbrussell Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 50 minutes ago, Indystorm said: BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 731 PM CDT MON MAY 6 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... FRANKLIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS... NORTHEASTERN ANDERSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS... SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS... * UNTIL 815 PM CDT. * AT 730 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES EAST OF WILLIAMSBURG, MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH. THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS STORM. HAZARD...80 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES. EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... OTTAWA, GARNETT, WELLSVILLE, CENTROPOLIS, POMONA, RICHMOND, WILLIAMSBURG, QUENEMO, GREELEY, PRINCETON, LANE, RANTOUL AND POMONA LAKE. I’ve been watching that storm all night. It has been nasty and is still going strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pbrussell Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 Best looking storms atm are a band of supercells at kddc. One in particular looks to have pretty good inflow and some broad rotation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 1 hour ago, Indystorm said: BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 731 PM CDT MON MAY 6 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... FRANKLIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS... NORTHEASTERN ANDERSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS... SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS... * UNTIL 815 PM CDT. * AT 730 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES EAST OF WILLIAMSBURG, MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH. THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS STORM. HAZARD...80 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES. EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... OTTAWA, GARNETT, WELLSVILLE, CENTROPOLIS, POMONA, RICHMOND, WILLIAMSBURG, QUENEMO, GREELEY, PRINCETON, LANE, RANTOUL AND POMONA LAKE. Was on this storm for a few hours. Had pretty awesome mothership structure for a while. Unfortunately didn’t get many chances to pull over and take pics as 70-80mph RFD was constantly surging. Was on the verge of becoming less-outflow’y for a while but just never could. Eventually made a bad road decision and got stuck in the insane wind-driven hail core on I35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ct_yankee Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 And as darkness closes in, there has been a single confirmed tornado... In Cheyenne, WY. Nobody predicted that would happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 Some reports on Twitter of a tornado with this storm but not conformed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 GRLevel3 shows this storm-relative velocity --- all in the same direction?? Possible 2" - 3" hailstones Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 New warning has a confirmed TOG with that cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 Getting very close to Lewis, KS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 Quite the change from the Day 3 SPC OTLK to the new day 2 re ENH risk areas: How it looked at day 3 How it looks now in the new morning day 2 Discussion mentions that the CAMs are showing an MCS to move through during morning hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 11 minutes ago, yoda said: Discussion mentions that the CAMs are showing an MCS to move through during morning hours Like clockwork Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 Day-1 (midnight) outlook for tomorrow goes with 45% (moderate) for wind and hail in similar sections of the Texas Panhandle, mainly east. 10% (enhanced) for tornadoes, most of Texas Panhandle, into Oklahoma. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted May 7, 2019 Share Posted May 7, 2019 For what it's worth, today's 6z NAM3K (and the 0z) seem to juice things up enough to initiate storms in OK on Wednesday evening. Today's 6z HRRR (that goes out to 36 hours) puts the MCS' outflow no further south than the northern suburbs of the DFW area at 18z on Wednesday... if that were to verify, seeing an outflow over a populated area does raise my eyebrows just a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now