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May 2019 Observations


yotaman
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As of 3 pm, the following locations have set or tied daily record high temperatures:

Augusta: 101° (old record: 99°, 1914) ***Tied May Record***
Charleston, SC: 99° (tied record set in 1945)
Elizabeth City: 99° (tied record set in 1941)
Florence: 100° (old record: 95°, 1991)
Jacksonville: 97° (tied record set in 1967)
Myrtle Beach: 98° (old record: 89°, 1945 and 1965)
Savannah: 99° (old record: 98°, 1898 and 1945
Wilmington, NC: 100° (old record: 96°, 1967) ***Tied May Record***

The following locations was within 2° of their daily record high temperature: Macon (97°).

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Since 1964, the high temperature in Charlotte has been 95 degrees or higher in May only one time (May 31, 2011). 3 days this May have reached 95 degrees (May 25, 26, 28), with that number being threatened again today.

Interestingly enough, between 1878 and 1964, there were 30 such occurrences of 95+ degree days in May.

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Today's record temperatures included:

Augusta: 101° (old record: 99°, 1914) ***Tied May Record***
Charleston, SC: 101° (old record: 95°, 1945) ***Tied May Record***
Columbia, SC: 100° (old record: 98°, 1898 and 1941)
Elizabeth City: 100° (old record: 99°, 1941)
Florence: 101° (old record: 95°, 1991)
Jacksonville: 99° (old record: 97°, 1967)
Macon: 99° (old record: 98°, 1914 and 1911)
Myrtle Beach: 99° (old record: 89°, 1945 and 1965) ***Tied May Record***
Savannah: 99° (old record: 98°, 1898 and 1945)
Wilmington, NC: 101° (old record: 96°, 1967) ***New May Record***

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How often does our area see one of these?

190530_1700_day1fireotlk_print.png

 

 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1052 AM CDT Thu May 30 2019

   Valid 301700Z - 311200Z

   An isolated dry thunderstorm area has been introduced in portions of
   the Carolinas for this outlook update.  Models and point forecast
   soundings indicate potential for relatively higher-based, isolated
   thunderstorm activity atop areas of dry fuels, with possible
   lightning strikes on the periphery of heavier thunderstorm cores. 
   Although moisture content is relatively high for the typical
   isolated dry thunderstorm scenario, any heavy rain should be brief
   as storms will migrate northeastward around 30-35 knots given
   enhanced flow aloft.  Wind gusts near storms may also complicate any
   ongoing fire suppression efforts.
...Synopsis...
   A mid-level ridge will flatten across the southeastern CONUS, with a
   surface low-pressure trough traversing the area during the afternoon
   hours. Hot, dry conditions will prevail, with breezy westerly flow
   expected with the passage of the aforementioned surface low-pressure
   trough. Large scale ridging will also be in place across the
   northwest CONUS, with a surface low-pressure trough moving across
   Saskatchewan and Manitoba, encouraging dry, westerly flow across the
   northern Rockies/High Plains regions. 

 

 ...Portions of eastern Georgia into the western Carolinas...
   By peak heating of the afternoon, temperatures above 90F, coincident
   with 25-35% RH will be in place across eastern Georgia into the
   western/central Carolinas. The passage of the aforementioned surface
   low-pressure trough will also encourage 15 mph southwesterly
   sustained surface winds. Given the relatively long duration of
   lacking appreciable precipitation accumulation, fuels are dry enough
   to support wildfire spread. An elevated area was delineated where
   wildfire conditions will be a concern, mainly during the afternoon
   hours. A few showers and thunderstorms are possible in northern
   portions of South Carolina into North Carolina, but the sparse
   nature of the precipitation suggests that most receptive fuels in
   these areas should remain supportive of fire spread, hence the
   inclusion of North Carolina in the elevated delineation, where
   seasonal ERCs well exceeding the 95th percentile should
   overcompensate for the threat of diurnal precipitation.
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As of 2 pm, the following locations have set or tied daily record high temperatures:

Asheville: 91° (tied record set in 1969)
Charleston, SC: 96° (old record: 95°, 1974, 1995, and 2004)
Elizabeth City: 96° (tied record set in 2011)
Fayetteville: 100° (old record: 97°, 1941)
Florence: 98° (old record: 96°, 1953)

Augusta (98°) was within a degree of its daily record high temperature.

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NWS Wilmington NCVerified account @NWSWilmingtonNC 5m5 minutes ago

 

Due to the unusually dry year we've have had so far, most of our area is in moderate drought. We do have chance of rain tomorrow afternoon and evening, though will mostly be light and scattered. https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?Southeast D712svrU0AAkYQd.png

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11 minutes ago, Solak said:

NWS Wilmington NCVerified account @NWSWilmingtonNC 5m5 minutes ago

 

Due to the unusually dry year we've have had so far, most of our area is in moderate drought. We do have chance of rain tomorrow afternoon and evening, though will mostly be light and scattered. https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?Southeast D712svrU0AAkYQd.png

Nope tomorrow is going to be a rock and roll evening with torrential downpour for hours. After one of the longest sever dry spells we've seen over the last 3 to 4 years it is a certainty. Me and downeastnc along with our wives are going to see hootie and the blowfish tomorrow night. Why wouldnt the dry spell end at the worst possible time!!!

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Today's record high temperatures included:

Asheville: 91° (tied record set in 1969)
Augusta: 99° (tied record set in 1898 and tied in 1941)
Charleston, SC: 99° (old record: 95°, 1974, 1995, and 2004)
Elizabeth City: 96° (tied record set in 2011)
Fayetteville: 102° (old record: 97°, 1941) ***Tied May Record***
Florence: 100° (old record: 96°, 1953)
Jacksonville: 98° (old record: 97°, 1898 and 1945)
Macon: 99° (old record: 98°, 1898)
Raleigh: 96° (old record: 95°, 1895)
Wilmington, NC: 96° (tied record set in 1898)

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5 hours ago, shaggy said:

Nope tomorrow is going to be a rock and roll evening with torrential downpour for hours. After one of the longest sever dry spells we've seen over the last 3 to 4 years it is a certainty. Me and downeastnc along with our wives are going to see hootie and the blowfish tomorrow night. Why wouldnt the dry spell end at the worst possible time!!!

Have fun Shaggy.  Brings back a fun historical thought for me....I ran the transportation fleet for Hootie's tour way back in 1997.  My wife and I had backstage passes to meet and hang with the band after the show in Raleigh but she was pregnant with my first daughter.  We met Darius and the band but couldnt stay more than 5 minutes cuz baby was pissed off after all that noise.  I would have loved to hang for a while and chat.  Thats when Hootie was HUGE.

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Yesterday's 79° minimum temperature at Wilmington, NC set a daily and monthly record high minimum temperature. The previous daily record for May 30 was 75°, which was set in 2018. The previous monthly record was 77°, which was set on May 26 this year. Prior to then, the old monthly record was 76°, which occurred on multiple occasions.

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The historic May heat wave has contributed to numerous cities experiencing their warmest May on record in the Southeast. Atlanta, Charleston (SC), Gainesville, Norfolk, Savannah, and Wilmington (NC) have all set records. Atlanta has smashed its record of 74.8°, which was set in 1996 and tied in 2018. Through 10 am, Atlanta's mean May temperature was 76.2°. A figure of 76.3° is likely with some possibility of a 76.4° mean.

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