Voyager Posted July 21, 2019 Share Posted July 21, 2019 35 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Anyone know why it’s only Lake Erie that kills convection? As you said it’s crossed over other Great Lakes since yesterday, of which are also colder than Lake Erie due to their depth. I have a similar phenomenon here where I live in Eastern PA (Tamaqua) to be specific. A solid line of storms can roll across the entire state, as well as all the Appalachian ridgetops, fully intact, until it hits I-81 just to my west. At that point the line will weaken and fall apart and then just to my east will reform and slam the Allentown/Bethlehem area and points beyond. It happens about 90% of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 21, 2019 Share Posted July 21, 2019 Should be a pleasant day today.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 On 7/20/2019 at 11:41 PM, WesterlyWx said: Anyone know why it’s only Lake Erie that kills convection? As you said it’s crossed over other Great Lakes since yesterday, of which are also colder than Lake Erie due to their depth. I'm going out on a limb here but it might have to do with lake Erie being more effective in transferring heat(cooling) to the air moving across it. Number one its orientation leads well to funneling air over its entire length, its south shore having elevation immediately inland. Two, how shallow it is allows it to become very choppy quickly. Id imagine this increases friction and mixing as air flows over it. I wonder if there isn't a safer place to live in the country than buffalo from a dangerous weather/natural disaster stance... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Models in full winter mode with a 50 mile jump NW last minute.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 22, 2019 Author Share Posted July 22, 2019 2 hours ago, Luke_Mages said: I'm going out on a limb here but it might have to do with lake Erie being more effective in transferring heat(cooling) to the air moving across it. Number one its orientation leads well to funneling air over its entire length, its south shore having elevation immediately inland. Two, how shallow it is allows it to become very choppy quickly. Id imagine this increases friction and mixing as air flows over it. I wonder if there isn't a safer place to live in the country than buffalo from a dangerous weather/natural disaster stance... I'm not sure about that. That funneling aids in producing very high wind events, huge LES snowstorms, big rainfall events with Lake effect rain in the fall, and although rare tornadoes do occur. EF2 hit 1/2 mile from me last year. In relation to other areas in the country I do agree. We don't have to worry about earthquakes, hurricanes, and the majority of the time tornados. Flooding is also pretty rare around here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 Had some pretty dense fog this morning...Woke up to a chilly 56° which is pretty close to normal..(avg 55) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 More heat is a coming.. A typical mid summer pattern will take shape Friday through early next week, with zonal flow confined mainly to along and north of the Canadian border, with a dominant upper level ridge across the southern U.S. extending into the Ohio Valley and Mid Atlantic. The bulk of the more organized rain chances will stay north and west of our region Friday through early next week in closer proximity to the westerlies and better forcing. The vast majority of the time will be rain free in our area, although a few isolated to widely scattered showers and storms cannot be ruled out, mainly in the afternoon and inland from the lakes. A southwest flow through the period will likely produce sizable stable lake shadows that will reduce or eliminate the chance for convection across most of the lake plains. Temperatures will continue to creep upward with day to day warming beneath the building ridge. Expect highs to reach the mid 80s at lower elevations by Friday, and then mid to upper 80s at lower elevations Saturday through early next week. Humidity will also creep up with dewpoints rising into the mid to upper 60s over the weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 26, 2019 Share Posted July 26, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 27, 2019 Author Share Posted July 27, 2019 @DeltaT13 You'll have to let me know this fall when to go waterspout chasing. I want to use my drone to get some aerial video of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 Getting pretty active this afternoon!. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 29, 2019 Author Share Posted July 29, 2019 4 hours ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Getting pretty active this afternoon! . I was at a grad party in franklinville and got hit pretty bad by those storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted July 29, 2019 Share Posted July 29, 2019 Swing and a miss for us......it all went south. Better chances tomorrow I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted July 29, 2019 Share Posted July 29, 2019 Could really use some rain here in the ROC. Looks like we have some hit or miss chances tomorrow and early Wednesday then dry for another 5-7 days. Great for outdoor activities, not so great for the gardens. Just need a quick inch tomorrow...... Not really complaining though as Park Ave fest is this weekend! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 Some very heavy rain over the area between 2-4 pm according to the high res Canadian.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 SWS At 1247 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Mexico Point State Park to near Weedsport. Movement was northeast at 30 mph. Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with these storms along with very heavy downpours. Locations impacted include... Fulton, Pulaski, Central Square, Weedsport, Cato, Fulton, Volney, Richland, Palermo, New Haven, Phoenix, Ira, Conquest, Savannah, Mexico, Port Byron and Orwell. This includes the following highways... Interstate 90 near exit 40. Interstate 81 between exits 32 and 36. Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted July 31, 2019 Share Posted July 31, 2019 Spent the day in Kingston, ON (great little city...lots of pubs, outdoor restaurants, shops, and incredible views of the St Lawrence River and L Ontario - ferry ride across the mouth of the St Lawrence from Wolf Island was fantastic too). Anyhoo...amazing watching all the rain and storms get shunted to the north and south all day, just like back home off L Erie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted July 31, 2019 Share Posted July 31, 2019 Well look at that!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 31, 2019 Share Posted July 31, 2019 Time to start going back down lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 31, 2019 Author Share Posted July 31, 2019 I'll be wearing my shorts, t shirt and tank top for the next 3-4 months. Big lots has their halloween stuff up already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 Nice, cool and dry NE wind off the lake. This is summer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 Nice "crisp" August morning.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 7/31/2019 at 11:03 AM, BuffaloWeather said: I'll be wearing my shorts, t shirt and tank top for the next 3-4 months. Big lots has their halloween stuff up already. Frig wegmans had Sam Adams Octoberfest beer LAST WEEK on the shelves!!! I will say though I think we may have seen our hot stretch of the summer, CPC is showing a decent chance in the 8 to 14 for BN temps for pretty much the northern half of the US. Then the 3 to 4 week is average and at that time we slip into the mid to upper 70's. Warm days are ahead for sure but we can leave the humidity in the tropics where it belongs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said: Frig wegmans had Sam Adams Octoberfest beer LAST WEEK on the shelves!!! Best news I've heard in a long time! 40's (49) in the Catskills this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 2, 2019 Author Share Posted August 2, 2019 We have a routine of going in the pool every day after work floating around with our dog who loves to swim. I'll pass on the cold weather for awhile. I do love football season though. Will be going up to the Adirondacks for my buddys bachelor party in late September which should have some good color. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 3, 2019 Share Posted August 3, 2019 As we end the week...there is a suggestion that a robust shortwave in the northern branch will make its way into our region from the Upper Great lakes. This would once again increase our chance for some showers and thunderstorms while introducing a very cool airmass for the ensuing weekend. In fact...ensemble guidance suggests that cooler than normal weather will persist through the second full week of the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 3, 2019 Share Posted August 3, 2019 Day 5-7 looks wet on the euro and the weather prediction center.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 3, 2019 Author Share Posted August 3, 2019 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Day 5-7 looks wet on the euro and the weather prediction center.. Time to catch up on some of my netflix shows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 3, 2019 Author Share Posted August 3, 2019 Sad times we live in. Greenland just recorded its highest temp ever recorded on the glacier. Europe just experienced all time record breaking heat all across that continent with many areas breaking all time record highs. https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2019/07/31/greenland-ice-sheet-is-throes-one-its-greatest-melting-events-ever-recorded/?noredirect=on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 3, 2019 Author Share Posted August 3, 2019 https://eos.org/articles/greenland-ice-sheet-beats-all-time-1-day-melt-record The Greenland ice sheet broke records on 1 August 2019 by losing more water volume in 1 day than on than any other day since records began in 1950, shedding 12.5 billion tons of water into the sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 3, 2019 Author Share Posted August 3, 2019 Greenland and Alaska experiencing very warm weather while we get chilly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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