WNash Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 No rain gauge, but I wouldn't be surprised at 2.5" or so in NE Buffalo. It was a Gulf Coast style torrent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Where are you guys getting these numbers from? WIVB was reporting higher amounts earlier today. Think that 4.44” would be excluded as too much of an outlier with the other surrounding reports generally maxing at 2.5” - 3.0”. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 23, 2019 Share Posted August 23, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted August 23, 2019 Share Posted August 23, 2019 But first... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 23, 2019 Share Posted August 23, 2019 Must be nice to have some elevation lol Dropped into the 40's overnight.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted August 23, 2019 Share Posted August 23, 2019 43 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Can I tell you that for about the last 4 year's that outlook has shown just about wall to wall AN temps every 3 months...its very warm biased...on the other hand the one the Weather Channel uses, an IBM co. (That makes me laugh a bit) has a very different outlook and shows BN temps in the same time frame...pick up dart and throw against the wall... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 23, 2019 Author Share Posted August 23, 2019 Yeah, can't cheer for cold until November. Easy pass. Bring me back 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 24, 2019 Share Posted August 24, 2019 Low-mid 40s overnight, felt great this morning..lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 24, 2019 Author Share Posted August 24, 2019 15 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Low-mid 40s overnight, felt horrible this morning..lol fixed 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 26, 2019 Author Share Posted August 26, 2019 So close to the warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted August 26, 2019 Share Posted August 26, 2019 So we have actually been BN for the year so far...wow spring really hampered the anomalies...the bigger question is how was there such a difference in temps just counties apart...for example Orleans and parts of eastern Niagara and western Monroe were 4 degrees colder on average than say eastern Allegheny County...the other area I question is the stripe of 0 to +1 that basically cuts upstate NY in half where otherwise from North of the southern tier the whole area would be uniform in BN temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 26, 2019 Author Share Posted August 26, 2019 I agree with all of this. https://www.wivb.com/news/national/farmers-almanac-predicts-polar-coaster-winter-ahead?sfns=mo 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 27, 2019 Share Posted August 27, 2019 22 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: I agree with all of this. https://www.wivb.com/news/national/farmers-almanac-predicts-polar-coaster-winter-ahead?sfns=mo Let me confirm this with my magic 8 ball later tonight. lolz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted August 27, 2019 Share Posted August 27, 2019 33 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Let me confirm this with my magic 8 ball later tonight. lolz I'll use the Ouija board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 3k Nam really is a terrible model ..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Still raining to boot.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2019 Author Share Posted August 28, 2019 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 I was just going to comment that the sensible weather is going to be very active/interesting in the next 2 week's or so. First I have noticed the CPC did an about face in the 8 to 14 and has our area in the BN category which lines up with most extended models I've perused. Second is what's happening in the Caribbean with Dorian, damn good chance thuscstorm is cat 3 or better by labor day...and the third is Cohen has stated (and he's not the only one) that the initial PV is coming in very weak and kinda goes to what we have jokingly read from the farmers almanac about a polar coaster winter...but in the VERY early stages signs are pointing to a -NAO for the first time in years coupled with a weak La Nina and an EPO about to enter negative phase. I have the feeling the next few weeks heading into fall will bring about a lot of chatter to the upcoming winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2019 Author Share Posted August 28, 2019 My uncle and aunt just moved up here to be snowbirds. They are just south of palm beach and euro takes a cat 3/4 direct hit at their 2 homes down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2019 Author Share Posted August 28, 2019 16 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I was just going to comment that the sensible weather is going to be very active/interesting in the next 2 week's or so. First I have noticed the CPC did an about face in the 8 to 14 and has our area in the BN category which lines up with most extended models I've perused. Second is what's happening in the Caribbean with Dorian, damn good chance thuscstorm is cat 3 or better by labor day...and the third is Cohen has stated (and he's not the only one) that the initial PV is coming in very weak and kinda goes to what we have jokingly read from the farmers almanac about a polar coaster winter...but in the VERY early stages signs are pointing to a -NAO for the first time in years coupled with a weak La Nina and an EPO about to enter negative phase. I have the feeling the next few weeks heading into fall will bring about a lot of chatter to the upcoming winter Cold early is never a good sign for a colder/snowier winter. I would always want a warmer fall. Climo says we cannot get sig snow to at least mid/late October at the earliest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 29, 2019 Share Posted August 29, 2019 A little bit of lake effect/enhanced showers as well as thick cloud cover.. Colder air aloft will continue to advect into the region with some minimal lake response expected east of the lakes as lake/850 mb delta ts near around 14C. Seeing isolated showers mainly over far eastern Lake Ontario and streaming into southern Jefferson, northern Oswego and Lewis counties due to lift from shortwave and lake response. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 29, 2019 Author Share Posted August 29, 2019 18 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: A little bit of lake effect/enhanced showers as well as thick cloud cover.. Colder air aloft will continue to advect into the region with some minimal lake response expected east of the lakes as lake/850 mb delta ts near around 14C. Seeing isolated showers mainly over far eastern Lake Ontario and streaming into southern Jefferson, northern Oswego and Lewis counties due to lift from shortwave and lake response. Can't wait for waterspout season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 30, 2019 Share Posted August 30, 2019 Follow this group on Facebook! Pretty cool they put out a daily forecast map and have a whole network of spotters along the shores of Ontario, Erie and Huron. Nice double waterspout picture in front of the sunrise over Lake Erie this morning. Can't wait for waterspout season. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 30, 2019 Author Share Posted August 30, 2019 10 hours ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Follow this group on Facebook! Pretty cool they put out a daily forecast map and have a whole network of spotters along the shores of Ontario, Erie and Huron. Nice double waterspout picture in front of the sunrise over Lake Erie this morning. . This is amazing thank you! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 30, 2019 Share Posted August 30, 2019 . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 30, 2019 Share Posted August 30, 2019 Awesome pics/video man, think I may have to do a little chasing this year lol I've heard Selkirk state park is a good spot around here, about 10 miles west, something I'll be keeping an eye on.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 Looks like Dorian may spare Florida and the SE coast after all.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 31, 2019 Author Share Posted August 31, 2019 54 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Looks like Dorian may spare Florida and the SE coast after all.. We learn something from this. This winter I'm not trusting any models until 24 hours before. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 6, 2019 Share Posted September 6, 2019 Amazon coming to CNY? Would be a nice boost to the economy creating more than a thousand new jobs in central New York.. https://www.syracuse.com/business/2019/09/distribution-center-near-liverpool-would-be-2nd-biggest-in-world-is-it-amazon.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted September 6, 2019 Share Posted September 6, 2019 Well, the forecast surely looks like a fall pattern has set in. Time to start thinking about this next winter season! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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