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May Discobs 2019


George BM
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1 hour ago, JakkelWx said:

Still foggy with a 10 degree temperature difference between here and Easton. Seabreeze diarrhea all day long yesterday but The Mist is finally about to end. No monsters though.

Are you sure there are no monsters ? 

Did you check behind you ;)

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42 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

Can we all just agree for next winter that the -NAO won't show up until April? That's when we see that feature now. We've seen that for several years running, I believe.

You can add - AO too.

Check this out.  Many thought this past March would get this  significant - AO drop, resulting in a cold and snowy early March period. We know how that turned out. 

 

ao.sprd2.gif

 

 

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2 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

The fog is absolutely unreal in Baltimore this morning.

Walked out this AM near 6 and the moisture in the air and chill was like hitting a brick wall. Already the dew hit 69 yesterday late day yesterday.

This weather sucks ! Coffee is nice in the morning but nothing like the rays of sun.  

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7 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

Literally walking in a cloud.

Latest Mount Holly for my area -  clearing, mostly sunny late day.  Onr thing of nasty note are the freakin mosquittos , so many even in the day light. 

Something on the news my wife saw about the kissing bug in Delaware  ........... not very good .....seriously 

https://www.cnn.com/2019/04/25/health/kissing-bug-delaware-case-cdc-study-trnd/index.html

 

 

 

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1 hour ago, frd said:

 

Good call Mount Holly NWS , full sun here now, temps going up rapidly into the 70's.  

Pretty big difference between Easton and my house. Was 81 there, 72 here. Just like Wed. Sunny here- a little more hazy- but quite a bit cooler.

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2 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Pretty big difference between Easton and my house. Was 81 there, 72 here. Just like Wed. Sunny here- a little more hazy- but quite a bit cooler.

It has been an incredible spring from the parade of LPs to the tight temperature gradients and thick fog banks. Incredible stuff.

I never liked spring but I am quickly becoming a fan. It's about to dethrone our winters for me.

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...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of Maryland, The District of
  Columbia, Virginia, and West Virginia, including the following
  areas, in Maryland, Anne Arundel, Carroll, Central and
  Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles,
  Frederick MD, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Northwest
  Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southeast
  Harford, and Southern Baltimore. The District of Columbia. In
  Virginia, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Clarke, Culpeper,
  Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Frederick VA, Greene, Madison,
  Northern Fauquier, Northern Virginia Blue Ridge, Page, Prince
  William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Rappahannock, Rockingham,
  Shenandoah, Southern Fauquier, Stafford, Warren, and Western
  Loudoun. In West Virginia, Eastern Pendleton, Hardy,
  Jefferson, and Western Pendleton.

* From this evening through Sunday morning

* Widespread showers will develop this evening along with possible
  thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall is expected. Average
  rainfall amounts will be between 1 and 3 inches with locally
  higher amounts around 4 inches possible.

* Heavy rainfall in short periods of time may cause creeks and
  streams to rapidly rise out of their banks along with the
  potential for flash flooding in urban areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
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Where was this in Jan and Feb. 

Of  course the weeklies showed this outcome, over and over, but it never came. A host of mets echoed the thoughts of the long range models as well. 

For example, you can not say it was the Nino now because the Nino is not any stronger. 

The SSTs Se of Aussie look the same as they were in the winter. 

QBO the  same.

SOI is not really crazy negative nor is the 90 day that incredible. 

Maybe we have coupling, I simply don't know. 

Judah Cohen @judah47
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7:08 AM - 3 May 2019
 

I know this is geeky but I am fascinated by the strong stratosphere-troposphere coupling in May with quick & strong descent of polar cap heights & how it is much more "textbook" than the event this past January, where the signal became hung up at the tropopause. Plenty to learn!

 

 

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