doncat Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 6 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: backdoor Nam has quite the gradient this afternoon, with 90's pushing into s jersey with our area in the 60's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 25 minutes ago, doncat said: Nam has quite the gradient this afternoon, with 90's pushing into s jersey with our area in the 60's. This has to be the most extreme battle between the SE Ridge and Greenland Block that we have ever seen this time of year. The end result is the severe storms and soaking rains we have been getting in the battle zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 We just got backdoored here at the beach. From 70 something to barely 60 in point pleasant beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 29, 2019 Author Share Posted May 29, 2019 21 minutes ago, doncat said: Cold front, wind shift? Temp down 4° past 20 minutes . 20 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: backdoor Yeah same here. Current temp is 66 here. Down 4 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 29, 2019 Author Share Posted May 29, 2019 I would think if the front doesn't move back north that may mitigate the severe threat a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 20 minutes ago, doncat said: Nam has quite the gradient this afternoon, with 90's pushing into s jersey with our area in the 60's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 29, 2019 Author Share Posted May 29, 2019 IMO I think the SPC will cut back on the severe threat for the NYC metro area in the next day 1 outlook update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 1 minute ago, Rtd208 said: IMO I think the SPC will cut back on the severe threat for the NYC metro area in the next day 1 outlook update. Why? NYC is right by the boundary and it’ll come back north later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 29, 2019 Author Share Posted May 29, 2019 1 minute ago, dmillz25 said: Why? NYC is right by the boundary and it’ll come back north later Stable air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 12 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Stable air. Could easily come back NE but we’ll see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 29, 2019 Author Share Posted May 29, 2019 Temp down to 64 here. DP 59 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 Been in the 50s all morn. 59 now with a light NE wind after a low of 56 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 Latest run of the HRRR. Whether this is elevated convection or not, still looks like a few hours of fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 12z RGEM hammers the area. Also drops 2-4" of rain over most of Northern NJ into NE PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 11 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: 12z RGEM hammers the area. Also drops 2-4" of rain over most of Northern NJ into NE PA. Didnt you create a separate thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 20 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Didnt you create a separate thread? Yes, I posted in the wrong thread lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 2 hours ago, bluewave said: This has to be the most extreme battle between the SE Ridge and Greenland Block that we have ever seen this time of year. The end result is the severe storms and soaking rains we have been getting in the battle zone. It is a little surprising with Aleutian trough. -AO does correlate to SE ridge this time of year. Hawaii ridge was a powerful force in the Winter too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 29, 2019 Author Share Posted May 29, 2019 Current temp 67/DP 60/RH 77% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 77 here and rising. near 90 about 9 miles to my southwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 Marine air firmly entrenched here...down to daily low of 61°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 29, 2019 Author Share Posted May 29, 2019 Current temp 60/DP 56/RH 85% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 62.2* here. Feeble afternoon sunshine with faint shadows, failed to de-stabilize the lower atmosphere to go with the mid-level instability---so I bet cells die as usual and we have mostly rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 29, 2019 Author Share Posted May 29, 2019 Picked up 0.54" of rain so far today. Current temp 58/DP 56/RH 97% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 30, 2019 Share Posted May 30, 2019 The historic May heat continued in the Southeast even as parts of the Middle Atlantic region were again hit by strong to severe thunderstorms. Record temperatures included: Augusta: 101° (old record: 99°, 1914) ***Tied May Record*** Charleston, SC: 101° (old record: 95°, 1945) ***Tied May Record*** Columbia, SC: 100° (old record: 98°, 1898 and 1941) Elizabeth City: 100° (old record: 99°, 1941) Florence: 101° (old record: 95°, 1991) Jacksonville: 99° (old record: 97°, 1967) Macon: 99° (old record: 98°, 1914 and 1911) Myrtle Beach: 99° (old record: 89°, 1945 and 1965) ***Tied May Record*** Savannah: 99° (old record: 98°, 1898 and 1945) Wilmington, NC: 101° (old record: 96°, 1967) ***New May Record*** The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.8°C for the week centered around May 22. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.18°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.77°C. Conditions consistent with El Niño appear likely to persist through May in Region 3.4. However, some fluctuation to warm neutral conditions is possible for at least some time. The big increase in the ENSO Region 1+2 temperature anomaly may suggest a somewhat cooler than normal to near normal first half of June. The SOI was -6.34 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -1.383. On May 28, the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 2.368 (RMM). The amplitude was somewhat higher than the May 27-adjusted figure of 2.355. Today, Atlanta had a high temperature of 94°. Atlanta is now all but assured of having its warmest May on record. Records go back to 1879. Select Statistics for Atlanta: Mean Temperature (May 1-29): 76.0° (warmest first 29 days of May; old record: 75.2°, 1996) Estimated Final May 2019 Average: 76.3° (likely range: 76.1°-76.5°) Implied probabilities: Record warm May: Near 100%; May mean temperature of 75.0° or above: Near 100%; May mean temperature of 76.0° or above: 72%. Warmest May on Record: 74.8°, 1996 and 2018 Finally, the sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance suggests that the implied probability of a warmer than normal May in New York City is currently just above 50%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted May 30, 2019 Share Posted May 30, 2019 11 hours ago, Rtd208 said: Stable air. Right on the money as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 30, 2019 Author Share Posted May 30, 2019 Picked up 0.66" of rain for the day. Current temp 58 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 30, 2019 Share Posted May 30, 2019 Last 2 days of May are averaging 69degs., or 2degs. AN. Month to date is -0.3[61.8]. May should end at -0.1[62.3]. Call it Normal. Clouds/rain killed the AN predictions for last week of May. Rain so far 17 days>= .01, 11 days = 0.0, 1T. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 30, 2019 Share Posted May 30, 2019 Newark moves into 10th place for wettest May. The spring temperature only making it as high as 90 is 2nd coolest of 2010’s Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of May Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 1984 10.22 0 2 1989 8.80 0 3 1948 8.12 0 4 1940 8.10 0 5 1978 7.97 0 6 1979 7.78 0 7 1946 7.28 0 8 2017 7.24 0 9 1990 6.87 0 10 2019 6.79 2 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Mar through May Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Highest Max Temperature Missing Count 1 2014 88 0 2 2019 90 2 3 2015 91 0 4 2012 92 0 - 2011 92 0 5 2018 94 0 - 2017 94 0 - 2013 94 0 6 2010 95 0 7 2016 96 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted May 30, 2019 Share Posted May 30, 2019 What a nice surprise to wake up to a flash flood watch! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted May 30, 2019 Share Posted May 30, 2019 Enjoy because it's the only one you have. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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