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May 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208
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EURO is 91* NYC on Day 10, but 72* for JFK!

EURO Weeklies are BN 6/3---6/24, with a change during last week of run.

GEFS goes flat in early June with 500mb.

Meanwhile good WAA today, till possible TS's step to the plate, say by 4pm.

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14 minutes ago, CIK62 said:

EURO is 91* NYC on Day 10, but 72* for JFK!

EURO Weeklies are BN 6/3---6/24, with a change during last week of run.

GEFS goes flat in early June with 500mb.

Meanwhile good WAA today, till possible TS's step to the plate, say by 4pm.

Wonder whether the CFS, and its previous forecast of an somewhat normal June temp-wise verifies,  after this heat and the next oppurtunity at the end of May ?  

 

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17 minutes ago, frd said:

Wonder whether the CFS, and its previous forecast of an somewhat normal June temp-wise verifies,  after this heat and the next oppurtunity at the end of May ?  

 

For some reason, summers have been more backloaded here since 2015 in terms of heat. 

 

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F4C47705-D371-47CB-8166-8C925EF2616C.png.eab60a35f89a9655e0c5e2cddfa21761.png

 

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14 minutes ago, bluewave said:

For some reason, summers have been more backloaded here since 2015 in terms of heat. 

You think it is related to the Atlantic Ocean cycle and the tendency in recent years for very warm SSTs near and to the West of the very robust WAR ?  ( sometimes the entire basin was bath water, aka the year of all those Atlantic Cat 5 hurrinces, including the record for the longest sustained cat 5 )  

We have, I believe, set records at 500 mb at times with this feature the last several years, this year's WAR seems to want to go to that eventually.     

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6 minutes ago, frd said:

You think it is related to the Atlantic Ocean cycle and the tendency in recent years for very warm SSTs near and to the West of the very robust WAR ?  ( sometimes the entire basin was bath water, aka the year of all those Atlantic Cat 5 hurrinces, including the record for the longest sustained cat 5 )  

We have, I believe, set records at 500 mb at times with this feature the last several years, this year's WAR seems to want to go to that eventually.     

I was thinking that too-the +AMO has something to do with for sure....

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35 minutes ago, frd said:

You think it is related to the Atlantic Ocean cycle and the tendency in recent years for very warm SSTs near and to the West of the very robust WAR ?  ( sometimes the entire basin was bath water, aka the year of all those Atlantic Cat 5 hurrinces, including the record for the longest sustained cat 5 )  

We have, I believe, set records at 500 mb at times with this feature the last several years, this year's WAR seems to want to go to that eventually.     

Yeah, we have been seeing these repeating seasonal patterns especially since 2015. Warm water off the West and East Coasts. Summer starts off with less heat in June becoming stronger later extending into September or October. November can sometimes be cold before flipping warmer with a slower start to winter in December. Spring takes time to get going with late snow and cold into March.

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14 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Take the Sag down to Fire Island where wunderground has it at 62 right now. 

Scorcher here in Melville too, looks like we’re in the low 80s. 

Central Air died in the house, driving down to fire island wont help much lol

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