Juliancolton Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 Just now, 495weatherguy said: Not wasting time or energy. We have had many back door fronts which have really ruined spring. The little league season has been challenging—cancellations galore. Sun has been in short supply on LI. I have 200 tomato plants waiting to go in the ground, getting all rootbound and leggy in their cold frame. For years now I've been successfully planting outdoors the first few days of May. I don't see it happening now until at least Thursday, maybe later. Would have started everything three weeks later if I knew then what I know now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: I have 200 tomato plants waiting to go in the ground, getting all rootbound and leggy in their cold frame. For years now I've been successfully planting outdoors the first few days of May. I don't see it happening now until at least Thursday, maybe later. Would have started everything three weeks later if I knew then what I know now. A Challenging spring for all. Usually by now it’s shorts and t shirts on the weekend, instead it’s sweatpants and sweatshirts. It’s 45 degrees, raining and a real feel of 38. Not fun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 13 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said: A Challenging spring for all. Usually by now it’s shorts and t shirts on the weekend, instead it’s sweatpants and sweatshirts. It’s 45 degrees, raining and a real feel of 38. Not fun South Shore sections of Long Island haven’t made it much past 70 degrees yet. This is the 2nd coldest spring maximum temperature 3/1-5/12 in modern times. Matches the recent pattern of muted high temperatures from rain,clouds, and cool easterly backdoor flow. Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Highest Max Temperature Mar 1 to May 12 Missing Count 1 1984-05-12 69 0 - 1978-05-12 69 0 2 2019-05-12 71 1 - 1995-05-12 71 0 3 1988-05-12 72 0 - 1975-05-12 72 1 - 1966-05-12 72 0 4 1989-05-12 73 0 - 1968-05-12 73 0 5 1992-05-12 75 0 - 1969-05-12 75 0 12 1997-05-12 76 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 1 hour ago, nycwinter said: i love this weather keep it going!! Same 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 2 hours ago, nycwinter said: i love this weather keep it going!! 29 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Same 1 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 1 hour ago, 495weatherguy said: A Challenging spring for all. Usually by now it’s shorts and t shirts on the weekend, instead it’s sweatpants and sweatshirts. It’s 45 degrees, raining and a real feel of 38. Not fun We've had much colder springs than this though, but it's the mix of really raw days that make a difference. Maybe the warm guidance is right for next weekend, and if so, we'll quickly forget days like today. Once this pattern breaks down I think we roast into the 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 7 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: We've had much colder springs than this though, but it's the mix of really raw days that make a difference. Maybe the warm guidance is right for next weekend, and if so, we'll quickly forget days like today. Once this pattern breaks down I think we roast into the 90s. From your mouth to gods ears regarding the warmth I don’t necessarily agree with much colder springs. Long Island has been cold, clammy and cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 2 hours ago, 495weatherguy said: The weather on Long Island is vastly different from yours. We have had many more days of clouds and rain than up by you What are you talking about? 22 out of 30 days in April it rained and I've only had one complete 24 hour period this month without some precip. Everything is soggy and moldy, trees are flopping over on hillsides because it's so wet, the overflow dams on the Croton River system haven't stopped running yet this month and only for a couple of hours here and there in April. I've been emptying the dehumidifier in my basement 2 or 3 times a day for the last 6 weeks and the bugs are HUGE already. You haven't been any more wet than we have here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 44 here....1.31” so far, I’m hoping that’s all for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 8 minutes ago, gravitylover said: What are you talking about? 22 out of 30 days in April it rained and I've only had one complete 24 hour period this month without some precip. Everything is soggy and moldy, trees are flopping over on hillsides because it's so wet, the overflow dams on the Croton River system haven't stopped running yet this month and only for a couple of hours here and there in April. I've been emptying the dehumidifier in my basement 2 or 3 times a day for the last 6 weeks and the bugs are HUGE already. You haven't been any more wet than we have here. I’m not trying to argue with you nor do I refute what you say. However, we get a cold easterly fetch off of the cold ocean in setups like the past 6 weeks. Raw is the best word to describe our spring. Yesterday was great; I couldn’t tell you the last time we had 3 or 4 sunny, precipitation free days in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 Today, Central Park recorded a temperature of 45°. That's the coldest reading this late in the season since May 13, 2017 when the temperature fell to 45°. Outside New York City and into New England, even colder readings were reported. Low temperatures from select sites included: Danbury: 41°; Hartford: 40°; Pittsfield, MA: 38°; Poughkeepsie: 42°; White Plains: 43°; and, Worcester: 36°. Parts of New England even saw some snowfall reported. Today's rainstorm set a new daily precipitation record at Allentown where 1.47" was recorded. The old record was 1.43", which was set in 1974. With today's rainfall, New York City's total rainfall for 2019 is 18.10" (0.97" above normal). Based on the 1971-2018 period, there is an implied 56% probability that New York City will receive 50.00" or more precipitation this year. Another storm could bring a general 0.50" to 1.00" rain to the region tomorrow and tomorrow night. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around May 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.07°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.90°C. Conditions consistent with El Niño appear likely to persist through May in Region 3.4. The SOI was -21.74 today. Today's preliminary value of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.608. Periods when the AO has been at or below -1.500 during the first 10 days of May have typically coincided with readings that are 1.0°-2.5° below normal during the May 11-20 period. The average temperature during the May 11-20, 1981-2010 period was 62.3°. Previously, the modeled figure was as low as 57.3°, which was below what is typical during such patterns and implied a sharper rebound in temperatures toward the end of the period than shown on the guidance. The guidance has now moved in that direction with its showing temperatures reaching the upper 70s as far north as the northern Mid-Atlantic region. Overall, the sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance suggests that the probability of a warmer than normal May has risen to 46%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 2 hours ago, bluewave said: Yeah, this will help NYC toward a record 16th consecutive month with 3.00” of precipitation. The City is currently at 2.96" through 7 pm. The 3.00" mark is virtually certain to be reached. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 13, 2019 Author Share Posted May 13, 2019 Picked up 0.95" of rain so far today. Current temp 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 At 10 pm, the temperature in Central Park was 44°. That's the lowest temperature this late in the season since May 16, 2016 when the temperature fell to 43°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 13, 2019 Author Share Posted May 13, 2019 Picked up 0.95" of rain for the day yesterday. Current temp 44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 39 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 6 hours ago, 495weatherguy said: From your mouth to gods ears regarding the warmth I don’t necessarily agree with much colder springs. Long Island has been cold, clammy and cloudy Near normal temperatures though, April was AN. May could end up AN if the warmer guidance is correct. But that doesn't mean much if it's cloudy/rainy for a large chunk of the time. Max temps have been BN too. Fingers crossed we don't see a repeat of this pattern Memorial day weekend. I could see how things turn very warm for a few days only to revert back to this colder, easterly flow pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 Next 8 days are averaging 61degs., or about 2degs. BN. Month to date is -0.7[59.0]. Should be -1.2[59.6] by the 21st. 45.8* here at 6am. 46.7* here at 7am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 Earlier this morning, Central Park recorded a temperature of 42°. That was the coldest reading this late in the season since May 14, 2013 when the temperature also fell to 42°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 38 at 6:30 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 13 hours ago, 495weatherguy said: A Challenging spring for all. Usually by now it’s shorts and t shirts on the weekend, instead it’s sweatpants and sweatshirts. It’s 45 degrees, raining and a real feel of 38. Not fun ..both digital weather stations have me @ 43* under cloudy miserable conditions. another rainy day on tap for today..if this crap doesn't stop i may have to quote george costanza..." I'm freaking out Jerry"... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, tim said: ..both digital weather stations have me @ 43* under cloudy miserable conditions. another rainy day on tap for today..if this crap doesn't stop i may have to quote george costanza..." I'm freaking out Jerry"... We just aren’t used to cool temperatures during the warm season this decade. A whopping 80%+ of all May-Sep months this decade have been warmer than average. https://mobile.twitter.com/Climatologist49/status/1126293596909367301 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 35 minutes ago, bluewave said: We just aren’t used to cool temperatures during the warm season this decade. A whopping 80%+ of all May-Sep months this decade have been warmer than average. https://mobile.twitter.com/Climatologist49/status/1126293596909367301 Ok, it’s early and the caffeine hasn’t kicked in yet but isn’t there a typo in the graphic? Is it 40 months or 100 months? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 15 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Ok, it’s early and the caffeine hasn’t kicked in yet but isn’t there a typo in the graphic? Is it 40 months or 100 months? That is the 40 month warm season subset from the larger 100 month group in his original post. https://mobile.twitter.com/Climatologist49/status/1126228312353722368 We have now been using 1981-2010 as the climate normal period for 100 months. This map shows the count of those 100 months with above normal temperatures in the Contiguous U.S. using station data. Great question. Here's the subset of just the warm-season months (May-Sep) using the same color palette. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 a beautiful may day today for nyc... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 We had warmer days in Jan and Feb this winter... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 10 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: We had warmer days in Jan and Feb this winter... Many warmer days. Not to mention much more sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
etudiant Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 13 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: The City is currently at 2.96" through 7 pm. The 3.00" mark is virtually certain to be reached. Pretty sure we're past 3" by now, raining steadily here in Manhattan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 NYC doesn't get many days that stay below 50 degrees after May 10th. Only happened 7 times. May 12th, 2010 was the last time. Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Lowest Max Temperature May 11 to May 31 Missing Count 1 1967-05-31 46 0 2 1961-05-31 47 0 - 1882-05-31 47 0 3 2010-05-31 48 0 - 1950-05-31 48 0 4 1924-05-31 49 0 - 1914-05-31 49 0 2010-05-12 48 44 46.0 -15.2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 1.42" rain yesterday...With the rain last few hours, already approaching 4" for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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