495weatherguy Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, Gravity Wave said: And come September the sub-65 dews will also always be 10 days away. Doesn’t that kind of day seem nice after this stretch of weather? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 Well, I posted this on January 28th. "I'd bet this upcoming Spring will be cold and raw" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 9 minutes ago, weatherlogix said: Well, I posted this on January 28th. "I'd bet this upcoming Spring will be cold and raw" Helluva call!! Nailed it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
golfer07840 Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 14 minutes ago, weatherlogix said: Well, I posted this on January 28th. "I'd bet this upcoming Spring will be cold and raw" So what do you think the summer will bring? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 39 minutes ago, weatherlogix said: Well, I posted this on January 28th. "I'd bet this upcoming Spring will be cold and raw" the raw part is right but temperatures are averaging above normal this Spring...NYC has not had a day below 50 so far this month...the record high May max is 49...2019 could set the record for the warmest May max on record...there is a chance temperatures could get below 50 before the month ends but not much below that I think... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 10, 2019 Author Share Posted May 10, 2019 Current temp is 75 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 25 minutes ago, uncle W said: the raw part is right but temperatures are averaging above normal this Spring...NYC has not had a day below 50 so far this month...the record high May max is 49...2019 could set the record for the warmest May max on record...there is a chance temperatures could get below 50 before the month ends but not much below that I think... I think people are just shocked we haven't seen 80s & 90s when past Mays had those in abundance. That and a few really raw days and cooler maxes overall make things feel much worse than they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 3 hours ago, JerseyWx said: I really can't believe that we just keep going back to this crap. 50's during the day is way BN. In fact, it's hard to remember a May with such grey days and cool highs. The small diurnal range is making the average look "better" than it really is. Persistent gradient pattern this year with underperforming highs relative to the lows. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I think people are just shocked we haven't seen 80s & 90s when past Mays had those in abundance. That and a few really raw days and cooler maxes overall make things feel much worse than they are. the last three Mays had at least two 90+ days...1964 and 1987 had four each...1991 had five...we could see 90 by the end of the month...or close to it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 Models in better agreement for significant rains in the Sun-Mon period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 2 hours ago, Gravity Wave said: And come September the sub-65 dews will also always be 10 days away. Good, I hope thats true. Won't here a thing from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 Starting to get muggy on the uws. Hoping we see some decent rain later so I do not have to water the hundreds of annuals I installed this week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 1 hour ago, golfer07840 said: So what do you think the summer will bring? Humid and wettish like last summer....not very hot. Next winter will be crappy as well. Seems like we are way off on -NAO timing and have been for years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 1 hour ago, uncle W said: the raw part is right but temperatures are averaging above normal this Spring...NYC has not had a day below 50 so far this month...the record high May max is 49...2019 could set the record for the warmest May max on record...there is a chance temperatures could get below 50 before the month ends but not much below that I think... seem like it will be raw, wet and cold for the foreseeable future. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 Did we have this look once all winter?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 Shouldn't the wavelengths be shortening? There has no zero hint of that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 Up to 80 here as clouds cleared. And the pendulum swings back warm for a few hours . Hints at some warming end of the last 9 days of May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 10, 2019 Author Share Posted May 10, 2019 Current temp is 80 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 Mid 70’s in CT, mid 60’s in LI. I hate Long Island, glad I’m not there right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 Lots of supercells in the northeast today. We weren’t that far from a bit of an outbreak - little more CAPE and we would’ve been in business. Shear was good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 1 minute ago, Drz1111 said: Lots of supercells in the northeast today. We weren’t that far from a bit of an outbreak - little more CAPE and we would’ve been in business. Shear was good. Yeah. Radar looked nice on that tor warning upstate New York. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 11 hours ago, bluewave said: The high temperature range has really been muted by all the rain, clouds, and backdoor easterly flow. This is the first spring since 2000 that NYC and Newark only reached 80 degrees by May 10th. Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Ending Date Highest Max Temperature Mar 1 to May 10 Missing Count 2019-05-10 80 1 2018-05-10 92 0 2017-05-10 87 0 2016-05-10 82 0 2015-05-10 85 0 2014-05-10 83 0 2013-05-10 82 0 2012-05-10 88 0 2011-05-10 83 0 2010-05-10 92 0 2009-05-10 92 0 2008-05-10 84 0 2007-05-10 86 0 2006-05-10 83 0 2005-05-10 87 0 2004-05-10 85 0 2003-05-10 88 0 2002-05-10 96 0 2001-05-10 92 0 2000-05-10 93 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Ending Date Highest Max Temperature Mar 1 to May 10 Missing Count 2019-05-10 80 1 2018-05-10 94 0 2017-05-10 87 0 2016-05-10 83 0 2015-05-10 88 0 2014-05-10 84 0 2013-05-10 85 0 2012-05-10 88 0 2011-05-10 87 0 2010-05-10 92 0 2009-05-10 93 0 2008-05-10 82 0 2007-05-10 86 0 2006-05-10 83 0 2005-05-10 88 0 2004-05-10 88 0 2003-05-10 88 0 2002-05-10 97 0 2001-05-10 94 0 2000-05-10 94 Whats the highest temp at JFK been, Chris? I've recorded only a couple of days in the low 70s, they had low humidity and were delightful. Outside of that we've switched to a rain forest climate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 40 minutes ago, Cfa said: Mid 70’s in CT, mid 60’s in LI. I hate Long Island, glad I’m not there right now. temps dont tell the whole story, the humidity was really high and it felt very warm, I have my fans going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 4 hours ago, uncle W said: the raw part is right but temperatures are averaging above normal this Spring...NYC has not had a day below 50 so far this month...the record high May max is 49...2019 could set the record for the warmest May max on record...there is a chance temperatures could get below 50 before the month ends but not much below that I think... the averages are deceptive because of the low mins- I had the heat on all April and I'm sure I'll have it on again Sunday and Monday. You need highs consistently in the 70s to call it "warm"- regardless of how high the mins are. I think you mean the record low May max is 49 and 2019 could set the record for the coolest May max on record. In 1992 we came close, it was in the 40s for highs one day (I think May 10?) after a low of 36 and the sun came out late in the afternoon and got us into the low 50s. Coolest May temp I remember was on May 14, 1996 with a heavy frost it was 33.5 degrees here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 15 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Whats the highest temp at JFK been, Chris? I've recorded only a couple of days in the low 70s, they had low humidity and were delightful. Outside of that we've switched to a rain forest climate. First time on record that JFK didn’t get above 70 in spring by May 10th. Top 5 coldest spring maxes at JFK by 5-10 Time Series Summary for JFK INTL AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Highest Max Temperature Mar 1 to May 10 Missing Count 1 2019-05-10 70 1 2 1975-05-10 71 0 3 1971-05-10 72 0 4 1961-05-10 73 0 5 1997-05-10 74 0 - 1984-05-10 74 0 - 1966-05-10 74 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 10, 2019 Share Posted May 10, 2019 17 minutes ago, bluewave said: First time on record that JFK didn’t get above 70 in spring by May 10th. Top 5 coldest spring maxes at JFK by 5-10 Time Series Summary for JFK INTL AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Highest Max Temperature Mar 1 to May 10 Missing Count 1 2019-05-10 70 1 2 1975-05-10 71 0 3 1971-05-10 72 0 4 1961-05-10 73 0 5 1997-05-10 74 0 - 1984-05-10 74 0 - 1966-05-10 74 0 Wow so today was the first 70 at JFK this year? Also, I heard that Islip had 26 consecutive days with rain (T or more) starting April 12 and ending May 7th because there was no rain on May 8th? Is that right- because I remember we had some rain on May 8th? Does JFK have a similar record? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 11, 2019 Share Posted May 11, 2019 The Arctic Oscillation has now been at or below -1.500 for four consecutive days. As a result of the strong Atlantic blocking, a period of cooler than normal weather lies ahead for a portion of next week starting on Sunday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around May 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.07°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.90°C. Conditions consistent with El Niño appear likely to persist through May in Region 3.4. The SOI was -4.88 today. Previously, it was noted that since 1974, there were four cases when the MJO reached an amplitude of 1.750 or above during Phase 2 during the April 20-30 period. The mean May 1-10 temperature was 58.8° vs. the 1981-2018 average of 60.2°. 75% of those cases were cooler than the 1981-2018 average. However, during May cases when the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.50°C or above for the month, the May 1-10 temperature averaged 60.8°. Therefore, it is likely that the first 10 days of May will probably wind up with a mean temperature of 59.2°-61.2°. The final figure was 59.5°. Today's preliminary value of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.956. The AO is forecast to go through an extended period where it is in the negative phase. Periods when the AO has been at or below -1.500 during the first 10 days of May have typically coincided with readings that are 1.0°-2.5° below normal during the May 11-20 period. The average temperature during the May 11-20, 1981-2018 period was 62.3°. The current forecast average is 58.2°, which is below what is typical during such patterns. Therefore, a sharper rebound in temperatures may be likely toward than end of that period than is presently modeled. Finally, since 2000, only May 2003 and May 2005 had monthly maximum temperatures below 80°. Both had monthly maximum temperatures of 79°. The probability of May 2019 finishing with such a low maximum temperature is low despite the current guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted May 11, 2019 Share Posted May 11, 2019 This weather is not the worst keep the real heat away. Ramadan came in with humidity and cool rain and it’ll end like that. Expect the real heat to come in the beginning of June 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted May 11, 2019 Share Posted May 11, 2019 1.00"-even in the bucket so far from tonight's downpours, with more on the way shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted May 11, 2019 Share Posted May 11, 2019 71 Dew 64 warm night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now