SnoSki14 Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 1 hour ago, uncle W said: I think we get some heat after the negative ao and nao breaks down...both are forecast to be negative for a while... The AO gets even more negative in a week but then there are some signs it starts breaking down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 12, 2019 Author Share Posted May 12, 2019 Larry Cosgrove thinks we start building heat the second half of the month, we'll see but I am hoping so. New England may have to wait a bit longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 Down to 42; moderate rain continues. Over 1" now. Winds picking up. Maybe I'll break the 40 degree mark? Could be close. Heat was turned on after the house temp hit 58. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 Just now, bluewave said: The 12z GFS came over to the more optimistic Euro camp. Now has close to 90 around NYC next weekend. Afternoon temps 40+ degrees warmer than today would be a very impressive swing if the warm front can make it through. Another remarkable turn! Let’s hope so! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 12, 2019 Author Share Posted May 12, 2019 Up to 0.61" of rain so far today. Current temp 46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 Potential to be tracking our first shot at 90s last half of May. While indices remain unfavorable models continue to hint at ridging expanding into MS/OV and perhaps enough to push the warmth into the NE the end of May as thereis expected to be constant troughs heading into the WC. This is post next weekend (5/18-20) 24-36 hour spike and more towards the 5/26 and beyond period. We'll see but the pendulum may start to weigh warmer then finally open up the chance for real heat in June when indices trend more favorable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 Hunter mt https://huntermtn.roundshot.com/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 1.35 in the bucket and 48F. 60 hours to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 Up to 1.00" for the day...cant remember last time a precip event has underperformed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 6 minutes ago, bluewave said: But the 12z OP Euro loses the warm up from 0z. Hopefully, this is just the windshield wiper effect from run to run and the warmer weather wins out. Quite a Pacific fire hose jet coming into the West Coast. So models may be volatile for a while until we get closer to next weekend. Love the pacific hose during the winter!!! Now, not so much! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 Impressive that our lowest temp so far this month is occurring right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 this is disgusting and i hate it 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: this is disgusting and i hate it Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Byrdhousebv Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 T 45, and 1.76" rain so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 i love this weather keep it going!! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 2 hours ago, 495weatherguy said: Another remarkable turn! Let’s hope so! I wouldn't bet on it given such unfavorable signals. Euro's already reverting back to a cooler signal but volatile model runs are likely given raging Pacific jet. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 27 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I wouldn't bet on it given such unfavorable signals. Euro's already reverting back to a cooler signal but volatile model runs are likely given raging Pacific jet. That sucks It would be nice if we did get some nice weather for a change. It has been so long since we had some nice weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said: That sucks It would be nice if we did get some nice weather for a change. It has been so long since we had some nice weather Was yesterday not as nice on the island was it was in the interior, or is this part of the heat shtick? Genuine question. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 59 minutes ago, forkyfork said: this is disgusting and i hate it You don't like snow in the winter and you don't like rain the rest of the year. Time to head for the desert buddy. 7 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said: That sucks It would be nice if we did get some nice weather for a change. It has been so long since we had some nice weather We just had 2 1/2 nice(ish) days, yesterday was wonderful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 1 minute ago, Juliancolton said: Was yesterday not as nice on the island was it was in the interior, or is this part of the heat shtick? Genuine question. Was beautiful yesterday and 68. 44 and rain now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 8 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Was yesterday not as nice on the island was it was in the interior, or is this part of the heat shtick? Genuine question. Yesterday was beautiful. Just looking for a few nice days in a row. The island has been cloudy and rainy for quite some time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 Continuation of the lower maximum temperature departure pattern. NYC TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 59 1227 AM 93 1881 70 -11 63 MINIMUM 45 1237 PM 40 1907 53 -8 51 1874 AVERAGE 52 61 -9 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 8 minutes ago, gravitylover said: You don't like snow in the winter and you don't like rain the rest of the year. Time to head for the desert buddy. We just had 2 1/2 nice(ish) days, yesterday was wonderful. The weather on Long Island is vastly different from yours. We have had many more days of clouds and rain than up by you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 With 1.20” rain today through 4 pm, New York City reached 18.00” precipitation for the year. 2019 remains on course for 50.00” or more precipitation. Below is a picture of a normally small waterfall this afternoon. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 9 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: With 1.20” rain today through 4 pm, New York City reached 18.00” precipitation for the year. 2019 remains on course for 50.00” or more precipitation. Below is a picture of a normally small waterfall this afternoon. Yeah, this will help NYC toward a record 16th consecutive month with 3.00” of precipitation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dave0176 Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 Just ten degrees cooler and we might be snowing........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 13 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said: Yesterday was beautiful. Just looking for a few nice days in a row. The island has been cloudy and rainy for quite some time Yeah, if sustained fair weather is the catch, nobody in their right mind would disagree. I've resolved to try not spending my energy fretting over things I can't control, and take the nice days as they come along... ...unless we're in the same pattern in two more weeks or so. Then I might join a riot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 6 minutes ago, dave0176 said: Just ten degrees cooler and we might be snowing........ A record May snowstorm in the NE is one of the few snowstorm records the 2010’s couldnt beat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted May 12, 2019 Share Posted May 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Yeah, if sustained fair weather is the catch, nobody in their right mind would disagree. I've resolved to try not spending my energy fretting over things I can't control, and take the nice days as they come along... ...unless we're in the same pattern in two more weeks or so. Then I might join a riot. Not wasting time or energy. We have had many back door fronts which have really ruined spring. The little league season has been challenging—cancellations galore. Sun has been in short supply on LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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