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April 29-May 1 Severe Weather


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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Norman OK
925 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019

The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northeastern Bryan County in southeastern Oklahoma...
  Eastern Atoka County in southeastern Oklahoma...

* Until 1015 PM CDT.

* At 925 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located 9 miles southeast of
  Caney, moving northeast at 55 mph.

  HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

 

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KC005-029-010300-  
/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-190501T0300Z/  
COAL OK-ATOKA OK-  
935 PM CDT TUE APR 30 2019  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR  
SOUTHEASTERN COAL AND NORTHWESTERN ATOKA COUNTIES...  
      
AT 935 PM CDT, A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED  
NEAR LEHIGH, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.  
  
THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.  
  
IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY   
         BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES   
         WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES,   
         BUSINESSES, AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE DESTRUCTION   
         IS POSSIBLE.  

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Some footage of a tornado I witnessed in Clay County, TX this afternoon, about four miles northwest of Petrolia:

Prior to this tornado, there was a narrow stovepipe tornado just north of Dean, TX. The tornadic supercell cycled and either briefly produced two tornadoes at the same time (not completely conclusive) or at the very least two tornadoes, overall. The second was the more dominant one, which bounced up and down for roughly 15-20 minutes,

twins_190430.thumb.jpg.158bf0f07d5aac5d62a6a4329ab41304.jpg

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36 minutes ago, Quincy said:

Some footage of a tornado I witnessed in Clay County, TX this afternoon, about four miles northwest of Petrolia:

Prior to this tornado, there was a narrow stovepipe tornado just north of Dean, TX. The tornadic supercell cycled and either briefly produced two tornadoes at the same time (not completely conclusive) or at the very least two tornadoes, overall. The second was the more dominant one, which bounced up and down for roughly 15-20 minutes,

twins_190430.thumb.jpg.158bf0f07d5aac5d62a6a4329ab41304.jpg

Saw your video on Twitter. Congrats on getting to 15,000 followers!

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Congratulations @Quincy with your family of tornadoes! Multi cycle chases are the best. We drive all those hours; so, a longer show is so satisfying. I can't wait to get out there in a couple weeks.

Wednesday target is the intersection of the synoptic front and the outflow boundary from Oklahoma thunderstorms. Synoptic front is what I'm calling what's left of a DL/CF hybrid in northwest Texas this morning. It's diffuse. Later today the boundary intersection should become more clear on visible satellite and surface charts. All CAMs match the conceptual model, which is nice.

Upper winds are not wonderful for chasing. However some low level wind recovery is forecast by 00Z. Today looks pretty localized. Odds may not be high but at least the target is fairly straight forward, IMHO.

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With less SRH modeled for today (but with greater modeled SBCAPE in excess of 4000+ J/kg) I'm starting to think today may be more of concern for damaging winds with MCS potential.  Outflow boundaries can be interesting though; I recall how the April 3, 2012 tornado event over DFW was sparked by the presence of an outflow boundary over the DFW area (not saying that's going to happen though).

Unlike yesterday I'm actually getting sun here on the west side of Fort Worth.  It'll be hard to beat yesterday though with the tornado-warned storms in Parker/Tarrant/Denton counties though, but a more widespread damaging wind event is always a concern.

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Maybe it's just me, but the storms in SC OK already have that "look". More storms firing in NW/NC TX.

Meanwhile, farther east, the outflow boundary in NE TX and NW LA continues moving southward. It will be interesting to see if it slows down/stalls/moves back northward and if any storms fire along it and take advantage of the enhanced helicity. There is more upper level support in this area, and CAPE is high to its south. 

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
135 PM CDT Wed May 1 2019

The National Weather Service in San Angelo has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northwestern Throckmorton County in west central Texas...

* Until 200 PM CDT.

* At 134 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Millers Creek
  Reservoir, or 14 miles south of Seymour, moving north at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

  SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
  northwestern Throckmorton County.
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Norman OK
129 PM CDT Wed May 1 2019

The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northwestern Jefferson County in southern Oklahoma...

* Until 200 PM CDT.

* At 129 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Sugden, moving
  northeast at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...Damaging tornado and tennis ball size hail.

  SOURCE...Emergency Management confirmed tornado.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
  Waurika and Sugden.
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Another severe box escalating quickly. This is why chase vacationers actually have an advantage over local chasing. When you chase every day on vacation, these things happen.

Chapman was supposed to be a down day. Now, I'm not at all saying that'll happen again. Only in Kansas, lol!

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