CoastalWx Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 No rain here. Just cloudy with a few breaks. Hope it’s dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 Dewy here with sun breaking out. Missed the rain thankfully. Hoping to get some work done in the garden today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yukon Cornelius Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 Catching the southern edge of some training rain running along northern Mass. Yesterday was a beaut and this afternoon looks good, but amazing how hard it’s been to get a completely rain free weekend this dung spring. 58/54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 Deluge. I was not able to mow yesterday. Really wanted to this morning. Fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 Some scattered light rain drops from time to time out of a high cloud deck but overall dry up this way. Around 60 degrees already though, which is nice. At least it isn't 43F and showers. Baby steps. Warmer clouds/showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 Deluge rains 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 63 with BINOVC. We take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 63 with BINOVC. We take. don't get used to it... It'll be 54 and 'soothing' nape rain there inside of an hour or two... or not, but it is on radar and is happening along rt 2. Maybe you'll luck out and it stays N of you? we'll see... but, this warm front is doing it's overrunning schtick at perfectly the wrong time relative to the diurnal cycle... You can see it on Sat. interesting... pretty much precisely opposite of yesterday. that's what it means to live in this shit hole spring climate - you get a perfect day and get butt-sore for it immediately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 What are the chances of storms tomorrow? Seems like solid shear and some instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 Downpour about 10-15 mins ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 Lots of breaks now. Skyrockets in flight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 6 minutes ago, Hoth said: What are the chances of storms tomorrow? Seems like solid shear and some instability. HRRR and 3K NAM are showing some good storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 12 minutes ago, Hoth said: What are the chances of storms tomorrow? Seems like solid shear and some instability. There's a few base-line aspects one can look for ( duh ), which are better ferreted out by various tech and/or SPC dependency ...heh... But, just on the surface, ... fresh warm sector, with DPs in the 60s, along with ( probably ) more sun than the typical contaminated ceiling of the NAM driving surface temperatures into the 80s ... one would think we generate sufficient SB CAPE. That's A ... B ... there is a S/W / mid level wind acceleration and tendency to destablize later in the day... Those two aspects combined would lead one to think so...yeah. SPC does place the breadth of New England in marginal assessment ...so, perhaps these rip and read appeals fit - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 I've been watching the models for that Thursday window too - I mean ...it's certainly not high confidence, but that NW-SE diving wind max and associated 'dent' in the height falls can be interesting when it is a curved trajectory around a heat dome over the Ohio Valley. If you take the deep layer and rotate it some 20 or 30 deg, you have a directional helicity that is less engulfing NY Bite water cooled air mass in the low levels... In other words, WSW wind with NNW flow to establish positive shear, as opposed to the more typical SSE with W flow aloft... Given sufficient day-time heating and some theta-e ribbon slipping up ahead of it in quasi-warm sector ... you can get some things to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 22 minutes ago, dendrite said: Lots of breaks now. Skyrockets in flight. https://youtu.be/wu1UXCdyNo0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 Rain 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 Looking at this loop, https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined ... really argues for an abrupt improvement in sky and air condition through the afternoon. Line from ~ HFD to ALB it smartly clears out and looking at Wunder's layout for temp there a suggestion that whether diabatic or warm frontal ... the temp responds upward when that demarcation succeeds a given location. It'll be fascinating watching as/how the atmosphere creatively f's this up and prevents substantive heating east of present Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 82 sunny and humid here in central FL but I’d trade it back for 60’s and drizzle for big boomers tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 Downpours but temperatures in the 60s. Should be nice and dewy on the other side. edit....temperatures dropped to 55 in the rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 Interesting... I was thinking that as this mid level stuff peeled away on Sat over this last hour it would begin to expose a lower level good old fashioned pooled strata goop east of the Berk's but that does not appear to be happening... Looks like we really do have a decent shot of going instantly clear/mostly clear over the next hour to two hours, west to east... But, not sure this really represents the warm side of the warm front... Using Wunderground's layout of temps/wind/dps ...the front appears to slice SE from eastern NY through western CT this hour... The clearing may in fact take place before the boundary really gets through down to the surface. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 Absolutely spectacular day underway here. Upper 70s, full sun, light breeze. Perfect for weeding the garden. And thanks Tippy and Ineedsnow for the input re storm potential tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 Summer afternoon incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 Sun is out blazing and the black flies do not give a damn. These seem like mutant flies that get hungrier with a little solar warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 19, 2019 Author Share Posted May 19, 2019 We slight risk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 26 minutes ago, dendrite said: Summer afternoon incoming You might catch a decent storm this evening. Probably just to your north but close enough to watch for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 Really is an abrupt clearing... hot sun tsunamis 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 the true warm frontal axis hasn't lifted through despite the abrupt sun onset... I mean sometimes as the sun comes during wfrontal passage it demarcates the end of the lifting along that axis/concomitant with deep mixed barotropic region arriving ... However, as TCU are erupting along an arced axis upstate NY to NW of Albany... that diffusely is where the residual lifting axis is... It'll likely spread through the region over the next several hours. And I wonder if we may see some convection yet erupt along and N of the Pike or Rt 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 Severe thunderstorm watch for Western Mass, VT and extreme W NH. Sun is out and temps rising up here. Edit: NH not in severe box 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said: Severe thunderstorm watch for Western Mass, VT and extreme W NH. Sun is out and temps rising up here. No shit .. huh - I just posted some of my own thoughts that it look interesting in that area ... wasnt' shootin for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 19, 2019 Share Posted May 19, 2019 Some boomers tonight as well with LLJ increase and decent MUCAPE push. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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