RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 A year and 7 mins later you got this.... 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 When even the GFS shows a backed low-level flow...ouch. Not totally convinced we see numerous tornadoes Friday evening across the Plains (storm mode and coverage will be key) I think we are going to see a significant number of hail reports...and >2'' hail reports (wonder if we can see some top 4''?) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 15, 2019 Author Share Posted May 15, 2019 Let's be honest, we are craving a damaging late May into...deep summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 Rockies were beautiful 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 15, 2019 Author Share Posted May 15, 2019 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Rockies were beautiful Summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Rockies were beautiful Always a great sight, they are going to get smoked this week in Cali 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Rockies were beautiful 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 31 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Always a great site, they are going to get smoked this week in Cali Mammoth looked good today on their cam,still something like 116 base. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 50 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Mammoth looked good today on their cam,still something like 116 base. Base camp dumpage 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 K.. so ... or the few of us legit into monitoring the arrival of summer and taking interest ... The operational Euro and GFS have managed to at last maintain a ridge at frames < D9 for once. We've seen bouts of transient ridging ripple through the east but I'm talking about anchored r-wave positioning... The GEFs teleconnectors ...as of last night, do not support that look at first glance at the numbers... however, this -NAO plague appears to be repositioning the positive height anomalies over the eastern limb...and with the PNA neutralizing and or sinking negative ... that tandem arrangement does offer support of height rises - seeing as the tele correlations have not completely broken down ... yet. So we'll see... But next week actually has a chance to break into a different sensible universe 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: K.. so ... or the few of us legit into monitoring the arrival of summer and taking interest ... The operational Euro and GFS have managed to at last maintain a ridge at frames < D9 for once. We've seen bouts of transient ridging ripple through the east but I'm talking about anchored r-wave positioning... The GEFs teleconnectors ...as of last night, do not support that look at first glance at the numbers... however, this -NAO plague appears to be repositioning the positive height anomalies over the eastern limb...and with the PNA neutralizing and or sinking negative ... that tandem arrangement does offer support of height rises - seeing as the tele correlations have not completely broken down ... yet. So we'll see... But next week actually has a chance to break into a different sensible universe Please let it be so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 Remember when Mayorch was all the talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 Just getting around to posting these, last Sunday on the mass pike driving back from syracuse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 Random question. Do you guys know of any online sources of operational wrf hailcast data? Im specifically looking for maximum hail size info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 11 hours ago, OceanStWx said: Yeah--the prarie side of Coloroda is a little less dramatic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 Looks like the worst is behind us. Some warmer times ahead for sure. Weekend looks good. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 Looks like the worst is behind us. Some warmer times ahead for sure. Weekend looks good. Weekend, especially Sunday going down hill here. This is BS. I'm moving to a sunnier climate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 GFS now gets into June...hopefully we'll see consistently favorable patterns for convective chances. First week of June is my time to go around the Northeast to chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: GFS now gets into June...hopefully we'll see consistently favorable patterns for convective chances. First week of June is my time to go around the Northeast to chase. Hopefully we see a consistently favorable pattern for sun and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like the worst is behind us. Some warmer times ahead for sure. Weekend looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Hopefully we see a consistently favorable pattern for sun and dry. Focus on San Diego and you'll get your wish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Focus on San Diego and you'll get your wish That would be my ideal Apr-Nov climate with a CNE climate during Dec-Mar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That would be my ideal Apr-Nov climate with a CNE climate during Dec-Mar. I would love that climate during the winter lol. I used to really love winter and cold didn't bother me too much but over the last several years I really can't tolerate it anymore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom12309 Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 16 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I would love that climate during the winter lol. I used to really love winter and cold didn't bother me too much but over the last several years I really can't tolerate it anymore. You blaspheme! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 7 minutes ago, Tom12309 said: You blaspheme! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 Man that’s 90 possible Sunday and Monday! Install city this week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 16, 2019 Author Share Posted May 16, 2019 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Man that’s 90 possible Sunday and Monday! Install city this week! 50's and 60's thru Aug Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 39 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Man that’s 90 possible Sunday and Monday! Install city this week! Good luck with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 90°? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 16, 2019 Share Posted May 16, 2019 11 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Please let it be so. Ha! ...yeah... patience' are drawn out ... Frankly, even though the last month's annoying weather has averaged a fair pube better than 2005's rectal journey ... by comparison alone, still if we manage even 70 highs for more than a single afternoon, with 50% sun splashing? That may subjectively should really qualify as a different sensible universe... I clarify that because think of that hyperbole ... typical with any public consumption of word choice, that's a prediction of 32" of heat I don't mean 90 is all I'm sayn' ... I just mean not < 60 or even 50 with consummate mist and strata street heavens all the damn time. And we'll bide time to see if we can gather up higher temps than that base-line. This ridge is still present in the operational runs... Reiterating, one aspect about the recent hemispheric synoptic handling is that the -NAO heights appear to be morphing toward a more easterly biased orientation - that in its self could be bullshit but we'll see. If so, together with a falling PNA ... does offer some wave spacing clue that heights may be rising over eastern N/A longitudes - that's why the operational runs have merit in my mind. Previous attempts to do so were not nearly as well footed by the eight of ensemble...etc..etc.. How much ..how little goes the ridge? Usually headaches. The 00z cycles deflated said ridge by just enough to win at satisfying tele's while still 'getting to' butt bang New England ... It seems come hell or high water, that agenda is always going on haha... I'm not sure how the 'brain' of the GFS MOS is really constructed. They must be taking taking the synoptics and somehow integrating a climate signal...one that is weighted heavier out in time... But the 00z numbers were above climate the whole way after D2 or 3 out to the end for interior sites... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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