Torch Tiger Posted May 14, 2019 Author Share Posted May 14, 2019 What an 18z gfs run. It's literally perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 15 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: What an 18z gfs run. It's literally perfect. I was worried things would dry out...just another 4” of rain in the next two weeks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 14, 2019 Author Share Posted May 14, 2019 10 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I was worried things would dry out...just another 4” of rain in the next two weeks The crude maps I see range from generally 1-3"qpf. Either way, should be warm and active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 JSpin at Stowe on this fine summer day? 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 Is that today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Is that today? Yeah check out the NNE thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 One thing I noticed this morning and I love seeing these differences... is just HOW much every tenth of a degree matters in these elevation dependent snowfalls. Snowfall went from like 0.5-1" around the base area to 3" literally in about the height of two trees. Sometimes it's hard to wrap your head around just how small a thermal difference can make in accumulations. If there was like a 5 story building here there would be like a half inch to inch coating at the bottom, and a solid caking 3" on the roof. What's the temperature difference between the caked trees and the sloppy dripping trees? Maybe a half a degree? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 1 hour ago, Lava Rock said: 39.7f. stupid. . I'm leaning that way right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 41 minutes ago, powderfreak said: One thing I noticed this morning and I love seeing these differences... is just HOW much every tenth of a degree matters in these elevation dependent snowfalls. Snowfall went from like 0.5-1" around the base area to 3" literally in about the height of two trees. Sometimes it's hard to wrap your head around just how small a thermal difference can make in accumulations. If there was like a 5 story building here there would be like a half inch to inch coating at the bottom, and a solid caking 3" on the roof. What's the temperature difference between the caked trees and the sloppy dripping trees? Maybe a half a degree? Speaking of micro climates I read that the world trade center towers would very often have 8"+ on the roof while the ground was just getting straight rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 6 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: Speaking of micro climates I read that the world trade center towers would very often have 8"+ on the roof while the ground was just getting straight rain. Given their height a 4C difference was possible if it was well mixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 36 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: Speaking of micro climates I read that the world trade center towers would very often have 8"+ on the roof while the ground was just getting straight rain. That's pretty awesome. They were what, 1300ft tall? I mean that's nuts. You could easily have a raging elevation snowstorm up there with rain at the bottom. Like being higher than ORH at the top and near sea level at the base. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 1 hour ago, 8611Blizz said: Speaking of micro climates I read that the world trade center towers would very often have 8"+ on the roof while the ground was just getting straight rain. I was at the top of the world when it was raining on the street and snowing up, building was absolutely massive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 5 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: JSpin at Stowe on this fine summer day? I had a green jacket on today so that’s not me, but it easily could have been because I was right in that spot this morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 15, 2019 Author Share Posted May 15, 2019 Awesome 0z Euro, heat and storms. We await Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 1 hour ago, Dr. Dews said: Awesome 0z Euro, heat and storms. We await I want warmth as much as any heat weenie, but there’s too many sneaky backdoors that run for my liking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 We Vegas today for National sales conference thru Fri. 90 today . Can’t wait . And then rain tomorrow. Can’t escape 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 15, 2019 Author Share Posted May 15, 2019 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: I want warmth as much as any heat weenie, but there’s too many sneaky backdoors that run for my liking. Yeah, your latitude doesn't help too. CT/W Ma is a different story as you know. Upcoming pattern looks pretty typical for a weak el nino & late May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We Vegas today for National sales conference thru Fri. 90 today . Can’t wait . And then rain tomorrow. Can’t escape Win big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 15, 2019 Author Share Posted May 15, 2019 This looks really good for thunder chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 The persistence of the 50/50 won’t allow a sustained ridge east of the Mississippi, unfortunately. Hopefully it holds enough for a nice and dry MDW to kick off summer though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 1 hour ago, Dr. Dews said: Yeah, your latitude doesn't help too. CT/W Ma is a different story as you know. Upcoming pattern looks pretty typical for a weak el nino & late May Lol..Billerica is immune to back doors now? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 1 hour ago, Dr. Dews said: This looks really good for thunder chances. https://youtu.be/mIBTg7q9oNc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 1 hour ago, weathafella said: Lol..Billerica is immune to back doors now? To be fair he did say W.MA. Anyway, there does seem to be some nice days mixed in the 10-day. CT especially on the temp progs looks to be most sustained mild weather. I'm waiting for the classic over the top style warmth where it's sunny and 70/30 from here to N.NH while ya'll are 50/48 and murky in the coastal plain bowl SE of the mountains. Seems to happen a couple times every spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: We Vegas today for National sales conference thru Fri. 90 today . Can’t wait . And then rain tomorrow. Can’t escape Nice have a great time. Definitely go to old vegas downtown at night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: We Vegas today for National sales conference thru Fri. 90 today . Can’t wait . And then rain tomorrow. Can’t escape ughhh terrible time to be in Vegas (wx wise). unsettled and much below-average through the weekend. Looks to be on the windy side too. Maybe you'll see some thunder tomorrow though!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 4 hours ago, Dr. Dews said: Yeah, your latitude doesn't help too. CT/W Ma is a different story as you know. Upcoming pattern looks pretty typical for a weak el nino & late May Heh ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 17 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Looking back at this winter, feel fortunate to get near 50”. This is another winter with a double digit snowfall. Since 2005 only two winters have failed to have a double digit event. That’s really remarkable. That's one less such winter than here, surprisingly. 05-06 failed to even have a 6" event (had to go back to 67-68 in NNJ to find another winter I had w/o a 6-incher.) 11-12 and 15-16 also missed the mark. 10-11 didn't reach a double digit storm until April Fool's day, and in 9-10 it took 5 late-Feb days and 2.68" LE to accumulate 10.7" - was 4:1 glop as it fell, with not a single IP in the mess. Of course, this area more than makes up for that with total snowfall (usually) and pack depth/duration (non-14-15 division.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 Beautiful day (for mid-April)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 A year and about 20 minutes ago we got this!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 15, 2019 Share Posted May 15, 2019 If those 60% damaging wind probs was hatched it would have been a high risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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