SnoSki14 Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 19 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: 06z gfs looks quite summery at times in the LR. Yeah and it showed blocking all winter and we know how that panned out. Expect corrections as we get closer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 Sustained summer is far, far away. Of course one or two days tickling 80 past the 15th and the dewy ditty team will be pumping their little man boobs. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 24 minutes ago, dendrite said: With # of days of measurable precip? Heh and put the blinders on for Monday - Tuesday potential. 6z FV3 GFS looks a lot like the euro now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 40 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah half of them occurred during that wet, dewy stretch mid month. Again, it's more about the clouds/rain than the temp itself. People would rather have 55/30 sunny days than 62/48 garbage where it's only near the high for about 2 hours and then it rains and we wetbulb down to 50F for the majority of the time. Agree but for a very few here it will be considered to be part of a "warm" pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 You know what kind of surprises me (and perhaps it just has to do with the fact that I don't have a full understanding of the entire picture)? That strong/super-strong EL Nino events outweigh strong/super-strong La Nina events...even though the different isn't much...even being similar surprises me. La Nina events are virtually just a "glorified" ENSO neutral event...or an ENSO neutral on steroids (so to speak). It is easterlies which predominately dominate the equatorial Pacific. EL Nino events are an anomaly, but in the complete opposite direction...either extremely weak easterlies (or in the case of the stronger episodes) or even reversal of the easterlies...you would think this would be a much more difficult feat to accomplish. Back to the opening statement in parenthesis....it's perhaps just not an understanding of something. Is it a climate change/global warming connection...one could make that wager that the oceans are warming, but since 1950 the distribution of the strong events are pretty even. Maybe there is something to do with the GWO and/or Hadley cell disruption. It's like when we see an anomaly in the opposite direction there is a higher likelihood for a greater anomaly (the anomaly of course being SSTA's on the warmer side). It's also interesting b/c the QBO behaves similarly, but it's the easterlies typically end up being stronger...so opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 59 minutes ago, dendrite said: With all that said...it's a beautiful morning. Low of 40F and not a cloud to be seen. Wicked nice out. Lawn mowers in the background, blue skies. Great day to be in the cube 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 8, 2019 Author Share Posted May 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Wicked nice out. Lawn mowers in the background, blue skies. Great day to be in the cube Everything is awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 8, 2019 Author Share Posted May 8, 2019 59 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Yeah and it showed blocking all winter and we know how that panned out. Expect corrections as we get closer. You are correct, the LR guidance I have seen has modulated a lot of that "cold" and wet over. to something more norm climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ApacheTrout Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 56 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Sustained summer is far, far away. Of course one or two days tickling 80 past the 15th and the dewy ditty team will be pumping their little man boobs. What do you mean? We are in peak summer right now. With 200% leaf out and window units installed last week. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 Cloudless this morning, with the sun trying to melt the frost on car roofs - was chilly enough to freeze the droplets left from yesterday's 0.09" showers. Glad the leaf-out is a few days behind schedule, as I anticipate low 20s at my place tomorrow morning. Aspens are greening up, but they can survive that cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 We had some partly cloudy skies in my area at sunrise, but those have cleared out nicely. Seeing the actual sun 3 days in a row helps... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 8, 2019 Author Share Posted May 8, 2019 60.1, very pleasant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 8, 2019 Author Share Posted May 8, 2019 41 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: We had some partly cloudy skies in my area at sunrise, but those have cleared out nicely. Seeing the actual sun 3 days in a row helps... We've been craving early summer and it is delivering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 16 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: We've been craving early summer and it is delivering. delivering a swift kick to the balls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 4 hours ago, Dr. Dews said: 06z gfs looks quite summery at times in the LR. Not sure what’s worse, chasing 300+ hour snowstorms or 300+ hour dewpoints lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 14 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: Not sure what’s worse, chasing 300+ hour snowstorms or 300+ hour dewpoints lol I'll be happy with some dry days. Friday looking fairly dry now-most models have less than .15 especially south coast.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 23 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: I'll be happy with some dry days. Friday looking fairly dry now-most models have less than .15 especially south coast.... It’s all about dry and not temps. We may start turning the corner slowly by month end. Nobody really wants a repeat of last summer’s monsoon season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 This week certainly shaped out (well at least through today) better than I thought (at least down this way...YES I REALIZE SOME OF YOU HAVE HAD CRAP). Even down here on the shore....almost cooked in my car when I sat in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 Wiz rap? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 A damn fine early summer week for sure. 4 nice days and one with light rain. DNG FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 24 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Wiz rap? gotta make sure to be specific otherwise arguments ensue lol. Someone will post how lovely it is in their area and someone else (assuming that b/c that person it is nice is talking about the entire world) who is not as fortunate will reply back saying the wx is crappy and its not as good as they're making it out to be and a 3 page long argument breaks out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 How do these temperatures equate to early summer outside of anchorage? I mean it’s a nice day but still far from summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: How do these temperatures equate to early summer outside of anchorage? I mean it’s a nice day but still far from summer. You're right, It doesn't. It's just Dr. Dew and his twin trying to be funny and slinging nonsense all the time. We haven't even had our first 80 degree day yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 8, 2019 Author Share Posted May 8, 2019 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: A damn fine early summer week for sure. 4 nice days and one with light rain. DNG FTL It's great wx, not sure what the uproar is all about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 15 minutes ago, weathafella said: How do these temperatures equate to early summer outside of anchorage? I mean it’s a nice day but still far from summer. 70’s for highs ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 70’s for highs ? Today? I’m low 60s. And tonight’s 45-50 would be record cold for summer in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 Highest temperature is 68 at this hour in lower CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Today? I’m low 60s. And tonight’s 45-50 would be record cold for summer in SNE. Last few days been low- mid 70’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Last few days been low- mid 70’s Yesterday was mid 70s after a too cool for summer overnight. Spring yes but summer no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 8, 2019 Share Posted May 8, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Yesterday was mid 70s after a too cool for summer overnight. Spring yes but summer no. Early June feel yuppers . The Coc k before the dews Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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