powderfreak Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 2 hours ago, powderfreak said: The February thaw continues. Still nearly 2.5 feet above normal snowpack as of May 2nd. This shit is relentless...if not for the humid/warm stretch in April the mountain probably would still be around 90" depths up high. Just now in early May is the snowpack at the picnic tables getting down to what the normal curve maximum is in mid-winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Still nearly 2.5 feet above normal snowpack as of May 2nd. This shit is relentless...if not for the humid/warm stretch in April the mountain probably would still be around 90" depths up high. Just now in early May is the snowpack at the picnic tables getting down to what the normal curve maximum is in mid-winter. What is the latest date for 1 inch of snow on the ground? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Beautiful here at the moment. Mostly sunny and up to 64. Summer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 5 minutes ago, butterfish55 said: Beautiful here at the moment. Mostly sunny and up to 64. Summer! Pouring here and 52F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 17 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Still nearly 2.5 feet above normal snowpack as of May 2nd. This shit is relentless...if not for the humid/warm stretch in April the mountain probably would still be around 90" depths up high. Just now in early May is the snowpack at the picnic tables getting down to what the normal curve maximum is in mid-winter. 1816 summer up there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 I think this time last we we had a major ridge becoming established out west and they baked all summer. No signals of that so far...which is good for them. Hopefully they can avoid a killer fire season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 GFS continues to be a disaster next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 WNE apparently just has winter and rainy season and that's it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Nice line of showers heading straight for this area....gonna get wet very soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Most cloudy again. Well, it was a good summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 39 minutes ago, butterfish55 said: Beautiful here at the moment. Mostly sunny and up to 64. Summer! on the southern tip of Greenland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Anyone notice something odd about this MCD? Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Bands of convection are expected to develop across the MD area this afternoon, with an attendant risk of damaging wind gusts and marginally severe hail. A WW issuance may be needed pending convective trends. DISCUSSION...Recent satellite/radar mosaic imagery indicates a continued increase in convection along an axis from near HTS south-southwestward to near MRX and north of ATL, with deepening cumulus along central Appalachians areas and also in central Kentucky. These trends are supported by insolation/surface warming and ascent/cooling aloft associated with a mid-level wave approaching the region from the west. The airmass just east of the convective axis has now become moderately unstable (1500-2250 J/kg MUCAPE), and although low-level wind fields are modest, strong mid-level flow was contributing to 35-45 kt effective shear, supportive of updraft organization. With time, some upscale growth into linear convective segments is expected within portions of the aforementioned convective axis, which may support occasional severe wind gusts. This potential appears to be most probable across portions of West Virginia ahead of the mid-level wave. Isolated instances of hail cannot completely be ruled out, though modest mid-level lapse rates should mitigate the extent of this threat. Although not currently anticipated, a Severe Thunderstorm Watch may eventually be considered for portions of this region - especially if focused corridors of damaging-wind potential become apparent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 47 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Nice line of showers heading straight for this area....gonna get wet very soon. just missed us here....couple drops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 52 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Anyone notice something odd about this MCD? Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Bands of convection are expected to develop across the MD area this afternoon, with an attendant risk of damaging wind gusts and marginally severe hail. A WW issuance may be needed pending convective trends. DISCUSSION...Recent satellite/radar mosaic imagery indicates a continued increase in convection along an axis from near HTS south-southwestward to near MRX and north of ATL, with deepening cumulus along central Appalachians areas and also in central Kentucky. These trends are supported by insolation/surface warming and ascent/cooling aloft associated with a mid-level wave approaching the region from the west. The airmass just east of the convective axis has now become moderately unstable (1500-2250 J/kg MUCAPE), and although low-level wind fields are modest, strong mid-level flow was contributing to 35-45 kt effective shear, supportive of updraft organization. With time, some upscale growth into linear convective segments is expected within portions of the aforementioned convective axis, which may support occasional severe wind gusts. This potential appears to be most probable across portions of West Virginia ahead of the mid-level wave. Isolated instances of hail cannot completely be ruled out, though modest mid-level lapse rates should mitigate the extent of this threat. Although not currently anticipated, a Severe Thunderstorm Watch may eventually be considered for portions of this region - especially if focused corridors of damaging-wind potential become apparent. Mm hm ... it's too long to read - shame on them ... haha kidding - from me of all people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Mm hm ... it's too long to read - shame on them ... haha kidding - from me of all people Look at the wording vs. the watch issuance percentage. The wording makes it sounds like they are itching to issue a watch, but the percentage basically makes it seem like there is little chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Look at the wording vs. the watch issuance percentage. The wording makes it sounds like they are itching to issue a watch, but the percentage basically makes it seem like there is little chance. Dude... that's even worse... not only is it tl;dr ... but now ur askin' us to actually 'read between the lines' ? ... i'd rather jam my head inside a killer bee hive and start callin' the queen the c-word Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Mm hm ... it's too long to read - shame on them ... haha kidding - from me of all people Ha, I do like to have a good cup of coffee and a dictionary on hand for some of your posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Dude... that's even worse... not only is it tl;dr ... but now ur askin' us to actually 'read between the lines' ? ... i'd rather jam my head inside a killer bee hive and start callin' the queen the c-word or you could get lucky and have the hive fly onto your head 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 In Windsor and it's raining with the sun trying to make a appearance.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Yeah ...we're getting continuity breakdowns in clusters... Each one seems to last about two ...two and half days ...then the motif of that period obliterates ... Usually some new paradigm of frustration and loathsome weather type takes it's place. We grouse for two ...two and half days, then that one goes away and new reason for 'false' hope emerges... rinse, repeat. Through it all, as Scott mentioned we're working on two weeks of shits - so, ... trend along and alone suggests which format above would be favored ... Unfortunately. Anyway, that ridge and warm up next week is utterly destroyed in this recent GFS as Weatherwiz noted... I think it was Brian who mentioned ( name dropping a lot here...) that our delta due to the Labrador finger of death is huge and you can really see why that is true. We've gone from MOS numbers some 15 over climo to a pattern that wouldn't get us much higher than 44 over this recent 12 to 18 hours worth of dismantling effort by the runs ... just because of that frontal latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Flakes on the GFS next weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Update: Watch issued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 33 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Dude... that's even worse... not only is it tl;dr ... but now ur askin' us to actually 'read between the lines' ? ... i'd rather jam my head inside a killer bee hive and start callin' the queen the c-word Now you know how we feel trying to read your essays....lmao 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: just missed us here....couple drops Not here...very Good Dousing here. Good thing too, cuz we needed it....LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 11 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Now you know how we feel trying to read your essays....lmao already acknowledged ( personally ) and your late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 5 hours ago, powderfreak said: The February thaw continues. hurry up and nuke that shite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: already acknowledged ( personally ) and your late Not all of us work from, or are on a computer/smart phone all day, so I comment when I can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 On 5/2/2019 at 6:08 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Except Saturday is sunny afternoon on and low 70’s.Where are you getting 50’s and rain lol Euro looks good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 38 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Not all of us work from, or are on a computer/smart phone all day, so I comment when I can. right ... so you should go look, first - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 3, 2019 Share Posted May 3, 2019 Euro looks looks like a frustrating shit show to me... D6 to 10 is infuriatingly cold compared to the 500 mb height tapestry... which rubs it in. That's a fairly obviously pronounced ridge blossomed up the eastern seaboard and the closer it gets, the colder the damming drillss S over specifically targeting the topographic slope region E of the Berks and Whites ... for like 4 f'n straight days on this run. kind of amazing actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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