CoastalWx Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 If we can clear out and build up some CAPE, then we could see several good ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Feels like FL warmth in the sun this morning. **** winter and snow. At least until Novie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If we can clear out and build up some CAPE, then we could see several good ones. I see the SPC mentions MLCAPE 1000-2000 J//KG...I can certainly see 1000...even 1200...maybe 1500 but I don't see 2000 with those lapse rates. Maybe if dews were around 70 or lower 70's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Overcast, 52/52°F, Going to need to clear out here soon if we want to see anything even remotely strong later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 The developing prefrontal trof will help minimize severe chances, so good news there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The developing prefrontal trof will help minimize severe chances, so good news there. Well not that this really matters in today's set-up, but I actually think the majority of our convective development/severe wx occur more with the pre-frontal trough than actual cold front...which makes sense if you really think about it. When we get those explosive setups (EML or extremely high CAPE) we can get two rounds...another with the cold front b/c of the energy still available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Might even be a second round this evening with actual cold front, but any activity would be scattered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 OK, makes sense. Hopefully we keep it tame today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Does anyone know if P'freak is still getting ski runs up in VT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: OK, makes sense. Hopefully we keep it tame today. I guess the reason is 99.9% of the time there is a pre-frontal trough involved and since it arrives before the front it makes sense that would be the forcing. These make convective forecasting that much more difficult here b/c if they arrive too early everything gets screwed up...even if very little forms with them (b/c its too early) and we have sunny skies behind them they can result in winds shifting (more west limiting convergence) and drying of the BL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 10 AM: ASH in the soup - 73/67 with light RA, AUG 51/50 and just cloudy ATM. Warmth has made it to SFM - 65 and "fair", but it's just creeping NE-ward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 74/69 here, quite soupy...sun has been in and out too which aids in the steamy level...ready for some cooler/drier air. Way too early for this stuff... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 OWD leading the charge in MA 78/65 2-ply applied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 21 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: OWD leading the charge in MA 78/65 2-ply applied. you know ... that 95/78 week we suffered back in early July last summer is still so experientially fresh in my memory that I cannot even pay any special homage to this cold spell ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Special day. We Wipe a lot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Special day. We Wipe a lot More fiber maybe? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 OWD 81F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Bright sun with deep blue sky coming out now. 69/66 Got about .9" in thunderstorms last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Sun's now out in Wormtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Its snowing.....balls of cotton, hummingbirds are out in full force. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 50 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Special day. We Wipe a lot No kidding. I've been to the bathroom 4 times already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 74.3 and blazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Tickling 80F now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Tickling 80F now. Soak it in. 72* here at ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 59.2/56.9°F, No sun yet today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Glad we don’t live there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yukon Cornelius Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 75/64. Heating up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Special day. We Wipe a lot For the Midwest maybe. For us? No lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 80.1F here, first time it's 80F here this season. Looks like a one day mildup and back to normal or a bit below for most of this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Yup...first 80 degree day this year. Last year we had one in February lol. This year it took until May 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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