Indystorm Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 Doubtful an upgrade to moderate, but the surface low is stronger with lower pressure than yesterday when we had all the tornadic action across the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 New tornado watch for Kentucky/ Ohio. Does anyone know why the SPC mesoanalysis is not displaying Watches/Warnings? It's driving me nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 Watching the leading storm near Dayton trying to wrap up. Wondering if it can pull it off or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted April 14, 2019 Author Share Posted April 14, 2019 1 minute ago, geddyweather said: Watching the leading storm near Dayton trying to wrap up. Wondering if it can pull it off or not. I thought for some reason it looked like that storm near Dayton was trying to develop a hook. I have a friend who is from New Carlisle so I'm definitely watching this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 Svr warning for storm se of me in Rush and Decatur counties in IN. I think like yesterday we need to watch for storms along the retreating WF and see what they might do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted April 14, 2019 Author Share Posted April 14, 2019 Columbus is going to have to watch that area of storms moving in from the south, especially for the eastern half of the metro area. I believe that was the line that the earlier models really wanted to blow up into something significant. The HRRR has kind of backed down a bit though, but it is also not handling the storms near Dayton very well either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 ATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 310 PM EDT SUN APR 14 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL CHAMPAIGN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO... NORTHWESTERN CLARK COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO... * UNTIL 345 PM EDT. * AT 309 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR NEW CARLISLE, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted April 14, 2019 Author Share Posted April 14, 2019 4 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: ATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 310 PM EDT SUN APR 14 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL CHAMPAIGN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO... NORTHWESTERN CLARK COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO... * UNTIL 345 PM EDT. * AT 309 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR NEW CARLISLE, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. Looks like that storm has also left behind a gust front from Springfield down towards Xenia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NTXYankee Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 A lot more humid in Columbus than just even an hour ago and temperatures in 70’s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 12 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: ATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 310 PM EDT SUN APR 14 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL CHAMPAIGN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO... NORTHWESTERN CLARK COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO... * UNTIL 345 PM EDT. * AT 309 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR NEW CARLISLE, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. Looks nasty on TDAY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxLaura Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 1 minute ago, NTXYankee said: A lot more humid in Columbus than just even an hour ago and temperatures in 70’s. osu's weather station is reporting 78 temps with 62 dew points. iirc forecasted high was only around 73 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NTXYankee Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 Just now, WxLaura said: osu's weather station is reporting 78 temps with 62 dew points. iirc forecasted high was only around 73 John Glenn International is reporting 77 so seems right. Yeah low 70’s was the call. Sun still blasting too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 the c ells over SE OH area now trying to hook and rotate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NTXYankee Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 Does anyone know if a TOG north of Springfield? Storm has a well defined hook on radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 Just now, NTXYankee said: Does anyone know if a TOG north of Springfield? Storm has a well defined hook on radar Nasty hook on reflectivity but velocity is rather meh at the moment. Its getting there though, would not sleep on it. What really has me worried is the possibility of its flanking line and assoc. gust front lighting up as it enters the Columbus area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 New svr storms erupting quickly south of Louisville and moving ne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 What concerns me is that there are presently three lines of storms showing up on the ILN radar. Each successive line as it moves northeastward will leave a boundary for its successor that could enhance low level helicity and cause new storms to form. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 That severe cell (s) crossing the IN/OH line is about to hit an instability wall per meso, especially the southern flank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0344 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0246 PM CDT SUN APR 14 2019 AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHERN OHIO AND WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY VALID 141946Z - 142045Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...A WARM FRONT HAS LIFTED INTO NORTHERN OHIO AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS BEGUN TO DESTABILIZE WITHIN THE DISCUSSION AREA. STORMS TO THE SOUTH AND WEST ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION BEGINNING IN AN HOUR OR TWO. STRONG WIND FIELDS AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED CONVECTION CAPABLE OF ALL SEVERE HAZARDS. THE OVERALL HAIL AND TORNADO THREAT WILL BE CONDITIONAL ON STORM MODE. A TORNADO WATCH WILL BE LIKELY WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR. DISCUSSION...LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WARM FRONT FROM WEST-CENTRAL OHIO INTO NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA LIFTING NORTHWARD WITH TIME. AS THE FRONT HAS LIFTED, BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING AND MOISTENING HAS OCCURRED. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN TO THE LOW TO MID 60S WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S. WITH A COUPLE HOURS LEFT OF HEATING, MLCAPE VALUES ARE FORECAST TO REACH BETWEEN 500-1000 J/KG. WHILE INSTABILITY MAY END UP BEING LESS THAN AREAS TO THE SOUTHWEST, CLOUD COVER FOR MUCH OF THE DAY SHOULD KEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE FROM MIXING OUT AS MUCH AS TO THE SOUTHWEST. ONGOING STORMS FROM EASTERN KENTUCKY TO WESTERN/CENTRAL OHIO ARE EXPECTED TO PROGRESS NORTH AND EAST. THEY WILL MOVE INTO AN ENVIRONMENT WITH AROUND 50 KTS OF EFFECTIVE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR THAT WILL IMPROVE TO AROUND 70 KTS AS THE MID-LEVEL WAVE CONTINUES TO APPROACH. GIVEN THE EXPECTED STORM ORGANIZATION AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR THIS EVENING, ALL SEVERE HAZARDS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE MAIN UNCERTAINTY IN THIS SCENARIO WILL BE THE STORM MODE AS MANY CAMS SHOW ONGOING STORMS CONGEALING INTO A LINEAR MCS WITH TIME. SHOULD THAT OCCUR, THE HAIL AND TORNADO THREAT WILL BE TEMPERED SOMEWHAT. A TORNADO WATCH IS LIKELY IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted April 14, 2019 Author Share Posted April 14, 2019 And it looks like another batch of precipitation is trying to get going east of Cincinnati (but west of that band extending across KY into central OH), in the area near Mt Orab. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 12 minutes ago, Indystorm said: What concerns me is that there are presently three lines of storms showing up on the ILN radar. Each successive line as it moves northeastward will leave a boundary for its successor that could enhance low level helicity. You can see them across OH on Hi Res Reflectivity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted April 14, 2019 Author Share Posted April 14, 2019 TOR probabilities dropped back to 5% in SE OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 Storm up around Marion warned now. That thing has shown a decent hail core at times and is riding the warm front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 That storm near Bucyrus is showing strong rotation on velocity scan per NWS radar now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 Pretty crazy, 6 TOR watches and only 2 TOR reports so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NTXYankee Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, Jackstraw said: Pretty crazy, 6 TOR watches and only 2 TOR reports so far. Everything starts to look good then just falls apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 Make that 3..... Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Cleveland OH 452 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019 OHC077-139-142130- /O.CON.KCLE.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-190414T2130Z/ Huron OH-Richland OH- 452 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN HURON AND NORTHERN RICHLAND COUNTIES... At 452 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Shelby, or 12 miles north of Mansfield, moving northeast at 55 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and half dollar size hail. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Shelby, New London, Plymouth, Greenwich and Shenandoah. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 4085 8266 4099 8272 4108 8266 4107 8243 4099 8244 4099 8242 4089 8241 TIME...MOT...LOC 2052Z 227DEG 46KT 4093 8258 TORNADO...OBSERVED HAIL...1.25IN $$ Griffin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 E NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EASTERN HURON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO... NORTH CENTRAL RICHLAND COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO... NORTHWESTERN MEDINA COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OHIO... NORTHWESTERN ASHLAND COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO... LORAIN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO... * UNTIL 545 PM EDT. * AT 459 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SAVANNAH, OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF ASHLAND, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 Lets hope that one gets occluded. It's heading straight for CLE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 14, 2019 Share Posted April 14, 2019 seeing light damage reports in Shelby. via twitter....(trees snapped) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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