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April 13th-14th Severe Threat


andyhb
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Mesoscale Discussion 0333
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1239 AM CDT Sun Apr 14 2019

   Areas affected...portions of Middle Tennessee...northeastern/eastern
   Alabama...and northwestern Georgia

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 55...

   Valid 140539Z - 140645Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 55 continues.

   SUMMARY...Either a new Tornado Watch or a replacement Tornado Watch
   for WW 55 will be issued soon.

   DISCUSSION...An ongoing broken band of convection extends from
   northwestern Alabama near MSL southward to near CBM and onward from
   there toward the Mississippi Gulf Coast.  A weakly unstable, yet
   strongly sheared airmass extends just east of this band, spreading
   into southern portions of Middle Tennessee.  This airmass should
   support a continued tornado threat as deeper convection moves
   north-northeastward into the region.  As such, either a new Tornado
   Watch or a replacement Tornado Watch (replacing WW 55) will be
   coordinated with affected offices within the next 15 minutes or so.

   ..Cook/Edwards.. 04/14/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...
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1 minute ago, andyhb said:

That Demopolis storm has an incredibly intense meso aloft from KBMX. Have over 110 kts inbound with a huge BWER.

Must not be down into the lower levels as of yet since the SWS from KBMX issued just now still has it as "severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado"

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Just now, yoda said:

Must not be down into the lower levels as of yet since the SWS from KBMX issued just now still has it as "severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado"

Can't see it in the lower levels. In a radar hole.

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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
114 AM CDT Sun Apr 14 2019

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Choctaw County in southwestern Alabama...
  Northeastern Wayne County in southeastern Mississippi...

* Until 200 AM CDT.

* At 113 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 5 miles northeast
  of Waynesboro, moving northeast at 55 mph. This storm is rotating
  and could produce a tornado.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Butler, Lisman, Pennington, Gilbertown and Toxey.
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
116 AM CDT SUN APR 14 2019

The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northwestern Perry County in central Alabama...
  Southeastern Hale County in west central Alabama...

* Until 215 AM CDT.

* At 116 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located near Chickasaw State Park, or near Demopolis, moving
  northeast at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
  Greensboro, Newbern, Arcola, Heiberger, Greensboro Municipal
  Airport, Morgan Springs, Gallion, Wateroak, Cedarville, Laneville,
  Folsom and Ellards.
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Interesting how this Tornado outbreak seemed to skip over Louisiana and the 2-7pm window when a lot of Tornados usually occur. Most of the activity was in the morning or overnight.
The moderate risk area is pretty much a hole.

Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk

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