STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 Cranky is all over this and has been 2 weeks ado he said most significant shot besides a weak TD on SW periphery of Atlantic high (as they round corner ) will be. Something near the east coast approaching Sept 1 as maybe some sort of hybrid storm from remnants of a front Not any Mets I follow have seen anything that justifies NHC recent upgrade to seasonal totals quickly regarding crankywxguy Not anticipating much but after people bad mouthed the guy so much , I took a look at him and his archived forecasts. He nailed the i-95 winter minus the freak 16” bomb coastal that overperformed and he has been all over tropics as well as all over the summer pattern for i-95 as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 19, 2019 Author Share Posted August 19, 2019 this looks like an alright signal for some EC tropical impacts. Not saying SNE specific but not all dissimilar to some of the analog years presented by the NHC esrlier this year. Of course we need a storm or two to track, so we'll see. Not a bad look to enter September. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 Surprised noone posted the EPS or GEFS.. starting to look a little interesting In my opinion.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Nice wave maker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 The disturbance in the Bahamas has a spin to it right now, but can't tell if it is at the low to mid-levels. Convection is spread out currently. Not a conducive position currently to develop. Convection would have to become more concentrated with time. I don't think this is the same system the global models show blowing up off the SE US coast by Labor Day, it could be another wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Active times ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Wow that Chantal development must be a bit of a surprise given the percentages and it’s latitude? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 3 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: Wow that Chantal development must be a bit of a surprise given the percentages and it’s latitude? Look at the Bahamas wave, it appears to have a strong mid-level circulation already, and could be relating to the surface now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 29 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: Wow that Chantal development must be a bit of a surprise given the percentages and it’s latitude? I don't think it's anything too extraordinary. It's been riding along the Gulf Stream. Also, being caught up in the westerlies I think lessens effective shear. There was a hurricane that held cat 4 strength some years back in that area. Forget which one it was, but that was something to behold. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 21, 2019 Author Share Posted August 21, 2019 14 minutes ago, Hoth said: I don't think it's anything too extraordinary. It's been riding along the Gulf Stream. Also, being caught up in the westerlies I think lessens effective shear. There was a hurricane that held cat 4 strength some years back in that area. Forget which one it was, but that was something to behold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 4 hours ago, ineedsnow said: Nice wave maker Wave? More like Bob redux. I see early signs of a big trough in the Midwest and NE Canada ridging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 On 8/18/2019 at 8:41 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Cranky is all over this and has been 2 weeks ado he said most significant shot besides a weak TD on SW periphery of Atlantic high (as they round corner ) will be. Something near the east coast approaching Sept 1 as maybe some sort of hybrid storm from remnants of a front Not any Mets I follow have seen anything that justifies NHC recent upgrade to seasonal totals quickly regarding crankywxguy Not anticipating much but after people bad mouthed the guy so much , I took a look at him and his archived forecasts. He nailed the i-95 winter minus the freak 16” bomb coastal that overperformed and he has been all over tropics as well as all over the summer pattern for i-95 as well How was his Hurricane Michael forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 28 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: Thank you! What was its name? Can't remember for the life of me. Also, imagine the collective terror if you could transplant a storm with that structure 400 miles west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 21, 2019 Author Share Posted August 21, 2019 13 minutes ago, Hoth said: Thank you! What was its name? Can't remember for the life of me. Also, imagine the collective terror if you could transplant a storm with that structure 400 miles west. Alex 2004. Yeah that's a giant eye and CDO, "annular" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 38 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: How was his Hurricane Michael forecast He's terrible. I can nail a winter if I say minus this storm or that storm. I've seen his tweets and forecasts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 That might be the most impressive storm that far north I’ve ever seen or heard about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Few big hits on the 12z EPS. It's a longshot but worth watching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 29 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Few big hits on the 12z EPS. It's a longshot but worth watching Nice change of pace from all the dews talk anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 lol’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 7 hours ago, CoastalWx said: He's terrible. I can nail a winter if I say minus this storm or that storm. I've seen his tweets and forecasts. Lots of hate he did very well last winter nobody is minusing a storm, nobody had 12”+ 24 hours out for The little Nuke...I mean please i dont read tweets, I don’t even enjoy typing the word, I read his blog, nobody is worshipping lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 22, 2019 Share Posted August 22, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 22, 2019 Share Posted August 22, 2019 Euro brew but offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 22, 2019 Share Posted August 22, 2019 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: That'd be a helluva thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 22, 2019 Share Posted August 22, 2019 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Alot of hits on the 12z GEFS sucks it's two weeks away... but EURO definitely semi interesting for next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted August 22, 2019 Share Posted August 22, 2019 You guys know how to do tropical. I miss the roaring 50s and 60s and I long for a 38' repeat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 22, 2019 Share Posted August 22, 2019 6 minutes ago, Vice-Regent said: You guys know how to do tropical. I miss the roaring 50s and 60s and I long for a 38' repeat. Pattern looks good for it just need something to cook up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 22, 2019 Author Share Posted August 22, 2019 catastrophic cravingz, nice 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 22, 2019 Share Posted August 22, 2019 Next week will only possibly give a rain chance. Flow is not enough to bring something into SNE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 22, 2019 Author Share Posted August 22, 2019 Bob pictures. Maybe NE's most underrated hurricane, along with '44. Interesting that news of both were squashed by world events, especially 1944 and the information blackout https://www.capecodtimes.com/photogallery/CC/20160812/MEDIA01/812009998/PH/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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