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SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2019


Torch Tiger
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13 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Congrats.  We picked up all of .04".

Chilly in the house this morning. 

First 40s with rain here...albeit 49.9F. But I know you count that. ;)

Nice little surprise drink, but I'm starting to get a little sick of the water. A week of dry days would be nice.

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10 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Looks like Trump might have been unfairly ridiculed ,..

"From Wednesday, August 28, through Monday, September 2, the information provided by NOAA and the National Hurricane Center to President Trump and the wider public demonstrated that tropical-storm-force winds from Hurricane Dorian could impact Alabama," the statement read. "This is clearly demonstrated in Hurricane Advisories #15 through #41, which can be viewed on the center's website.”

 I looked at those. There was some 5 and 10% chances perhaps a 20% in and extreme Southeast Alabama of tropical storm-force winds getting that far west.

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1 hour ago, wxeyeNH said:

 I looked at those. There was some 5 and 10% chances perhaps a 20% in and extreme Southeast Alabama of tropical storm-force winds getting that far west.

I was attempting to poke the dwindling Trump supporter hornets nest.  It's encouraging - actually - that there was not more in the way of typical knee jerk reactions from my doing so - but that could also be a reflection of anyone actually reading what I write.  Ha!  The real story there is the apparent spat between the NWS and NOAA. 

First, NOAA appears to have tried to come to Trump's defense, and as the story espouses, this was in bad taste to the NWS.  Others should read and judge for themselves, but do so with the usual caveat emptor in mind that you are consuming any information at all via the modern tech-based-societal circuitry of shimmering morality and ethical standards for which information ownership-to-delivery, is now conveyed ...

( ...in other words ... don't )

But the NWS' Dan Sobian followed up with,  .. Let me assure you the hard working employees of the NWS had nothing to do with the utterly disgusting and disingenuous tweet sent out by NOAA management tonight #NOAA,.."  ( c/o CNN).  Be that as it may, the gist of, "https://www.cnn.com/2019/09/06/politics/noaa-tweet-nws-trump-alabama/index.html"

Granted, CNN is pretty shamelessly socially engineering it's headline practices these days.  So often I attempt to corroborate their story and contents against ..oh say, your NPR's and GBH's of those organizational ilk. It is coherent that CNN's headlines and even embedded prose delivery is spinning. Somewhere along the way ... "corporate media" sold out and began targeting an Americana, a population that is now too dumb'ed down by modern conveniences to think for themselves and need a f'n Venn diagram just to tie their goddamn shoes and will believe anything for someone else's profit ... Either that, or the idio'sphere has always just been an untapped resource to target manipulation for the same ending goal ... now merely exposed by connectivity ( I kinda like that, too). 

But I digress.   Point being, the whole "dispute," aspect should be taken with a grain'.  ...comes across as though NOAA is jumping on the sword for Trump ...which, amazes me.  Why in the f anyone breathing would sacrifice anything in the observable Universe for that c-s!ckr is so far beyond logic that the whole thing must be in suspicion as a "trumped" up story - who knows what really went down. 

 

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1 hour ago, wxeyeNH said:

 I looked at those. There was some 5 and 10% chances perhaps a 20% in and extreme Southeast Alabama of tropical storm-force winds getting that far west.

It sucks that most normal people (or all other Presidents) would’ve just said, “since I was last briefed the models changed course to the East and Alabama won’t be impacted luckily.”  End of story instead of doubling and tripling down to prove correctness...eventually ending with the local NWS taking the fall in an unsigned statement.  

But the reasoning for not being able to just admit that is going to be the study of Graduate level Psychology students. 

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I love those naming conventions up there ... they're awesome!  Man, for years I've been tongue-in-cheeking over why-for the "pedestrian" designation for these memorable phenomenon - seems sort of ironical. But then again ... I suppose it could be like the ole horror cinema trope, where the creepy girls at the end of the hall in the dimly lit pal say, "Come play with us Danny..."    It's Hurricane Sally, and she wants you to come play, " ...For ever and ever and ever.."  

I mean - who out side the delusional realm of Political Correctness ( ...yeah, it's called 'reality' - check it out some time... ) would ever argue that it almost made more sense when they were always just female names ... Of course, back in the arrestingly self-aware 1950s thru early 1970s of mid 20th Century culture... 

Excluding the vagarious unpredictable tempest of the feminine intent and purposes for a moment ... why not name hurricanes "ball buster".. Or, how 'bout "head lopper," or just "head-roller". I mean you know... something indicative.  "Island denuder where dip-shits developed a society and now we all have to feel sorry for them'er"   ... Let's get creative here!   Kidding of course... yes yes one is compelled to compassion for splintered foliage wrapped in building guts and body pieces...

Wreckhouse warning - awesome.  Gee, wonder how/why they cobbled that expression together. 

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26 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

Widespread wreck. There isn't a great Wreckhouse or Les Suetes setup overall., there will only be a bit of enhancement above the gradient wind. You want more stable air under a warm front to promote the mountain wave breaking. 

What's the usual flow with that? Is it N-NE downsloping off of the Long Range Mts, over St. Georges Bay, and then funneling into the valley along highway 1 or is it a cross wind across highway 1 breaking from the high terrain on either side?

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Just now, dendrite said:

What's the usual flow with that? Is it N-NE downsloping off of the Long Range Mts, over St. Georges Bay, and then funneling into the valley along highway 1 or is it a cross wind across highway 1 breaking from the high terrain on either side?

ESE flow is the worst for both locales. 

 

WRECKHOUSE.PNG

LES SUETES.PNG

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15 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Actually I deleted my post since I may have been misinformed.   Sorry about that if I was wrong.  

Anyway, clearing here.  Suns out buns out

Yeeeah, but in your defense ... that's sooo typical of that administration's tact - or has been to date... Fire anyone of rank and file, that offers the mere impropriety of opposition to the perspectives of the cadre, in lieu of hiring anyone that in fact supports said intentions -

What do we call that class  ? 

FAscism!

Very good - y'all get a A.

What?  Are we in the weeds - we can't f'n see this happening?  

Heh... western civilization ( actually, human beings) really now has a substantive reason for doom prophesy.  The era of the street-corner sign waving, auto-dismissive cookery is gone.  Our species is earmarked for extinction, or in the least ... a population correction, one so magnificent as to be too untenable and therefore ... escaping any affecting/effective meaning - hence the ease in denial. It's easy to deny something that has no meaning - perfect catch-22. 

So, lets clap hands chew bubble gum and watch porn - cuz as Ebonic wisdom always most succinctly put, we be f'ed anyway. 

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