Torch Tiger Posted September 5, 2019 Author Share Posted September 5, 2019 We can see where it's headed.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 13 minutes ago, dendrite said: Not happening James. The first s/w acts more like a kicker and it's well to our east before the next deeper s/w digs in to drive it more northward. I wouldn't be expecting any big wind. Hoping for a big west shift tomorrow along with the other weenies. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 5 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Hoping for a big west shift tomorrow along with the other weenies. I just don't know how we're going to be able to keep it offshore and then hook it west enough for anything meaningful (outside of rain). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: I just don't know how we're going to be able to keep it offshore and then hook it west enough for anything meaningful (outside of rain). Stronger storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 5, 2019 Author Share Posted September 5, 2019 The UL jet needs to be west of where the gfs has it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 Good luck changing the jet stream, it is more likely to get a winter storm west 75 miles than a hurricane 75 miles west. Tropics are more fragile atmospherically speaking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Hoping for a big west shift tomorrow along with the other weenies. Good luck with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 What? Nobody awake to post a TS Watch has been posted for the Cape and the Islands? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 i feel cheated lol....i want a TS Watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 1 minute ago, correnjim1 said: i feel cheated lol....i want a TS Watch We all do It's so close but thanks to the trough , its going to be kicked out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 15 minutes ago, Snow88 said: We all do It's so close but thanks to the trough , its going to be kicked out. i'll take some wind and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 I'm not expecting much. Not sure I buy euro QPF, but perhaps if we can get these bands to spiral in more from WAA combined with incoming s/w. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 20 hours ago, powderfreak said: Its a straight drug for him at this point. I get it, and reading some of his stuff, he almost seems ok with it if one of these does claim his life at some point. There's nothing else he'd rather be doing. Sitting at home while a Cat 5 hits some island is just not a possibility for him. I have a deep respect for people like that, who realize this is what they want to do with their life and they are going to do it. I also get some of the other comments... I mean, if anyone needs to come rescue him or provide emergency care.... it's the same as someone going up MWN and needing to be rescued (when a lot of the public wonders why you put the rescuers at risk). Some people hike Everest, some chase the eyewalls of Cat 5 hurricanes, others chase tornadoes, some dive to the deepest depths of the ocean possible. They didn't need to be there but they wanted to and they don't need anyone's permission to do so. Josh obviously plans well for it, but one can see both sides of the argument. Yeah, that seems about right...a drug. I don't really have an issue with the storm chasing overall except for as you mention, when you put your self in danger, or anyone else. I do get a bit turned off when I see him say that he "hitched a ride with a military chopper". There must have been more to this than the nonchalant way it sounds. Military helicopters don't just let people jump on board. Also, why not get trained in some type of medical care and do more after these storms rip through? My guess is that Josh wants zero to do with the aftermath and the possibility of being stuck somewhere for days, and weeks without modern amenities, with filthy, hungry people all around him. ... A few days, maybe, but he really want out as quick as possible. I guess I would get trained to do more and try to help if I could. But, this is his thing, and he does it the way he wants, and does not care if he pisses people off along the way as is his right as long as he does not get in the way of rescue efforts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 Hazey should take a nice trip to the Richmond County shoreline. Some of these pressure on the HWRF and the ECMWF at landfall are pretty ridiculous, I'm pretty sure they'd set the NS record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 3 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Hazey should take a nice trip to the Richmond County shoreline. Some of these pressure on the HWRF and the ECMWF at landfall are pretty ridiculous, I'm pretty sure they'd set the NS record. I'm sure someone will be there to capture the event. I'll have enough to contend with, flooding the big concern with some tree/ tree limb damage. The severe stuff should stay offshore but I expect tropical storm conditions of 60mph gusts even at my location. Im using Hurricane Hortense 1996 as my analog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 7 minutes ago, Hazey said: I'm sure someone will be there to capture the event. I'll have enough to contend with, flooding the big concern with some tree/ tree limb damage. The severe stuff should stay offshore but I expect tropical storm conditions of 60mph gusts even at my location. Im using Hurricane Hortense 1996 as my analog. Your previous post talked about being scared and Juan...now you're thinking just some tropical storm conditions?? Juan was way more than tropical storm conditions no??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Your previous post talked about being scared and Juan...now you're thinking just some tropical storm conditions?? Juan was way more than tropical storm conditions no??? Juan went up on the west side of Halifax, that makes a huge difference. Still possible, but guidance seems locked in for a track just southeast of Halifax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 10 minutes ago, Hazey said: I'm sure someone will be there to capture the event. I'll have enough to contend with, flooding the big concern with some tree/ tree limb damage. The severe stuff should stay offshore but I expect tropical storm conditions of 60mph gusts even at my location. Im using Hurricane Hortense 1996 as my analog. There are times I wonder if you actually like the weather, dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Your previous post talked about being scared and Juan...now you're thinking just some tropical storm conditions?? Juan was way more than tropical storm conditions no??? Shift east last night. keeps me on the rainier side and not the high wind side. Could still cross over or move to my west but I don't think that will happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 Just now, OSUmetstud said: Juan went up on the west side of Halifax, that makes a huge difference. Still possible, but guidance seems locked in for a track just southeast of Halifax. Ok gotcha. Ya going up the west side would put that area in the right front quadrant where the winds are the strongest right. I was just commenting on Hazey getting concerned earlier...but now see why this should be much easier on his area than Juan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 1 minute ago, OSUmetstud said: There are times I wonder if you actually like the weather, dude. Being a homeowner and being responsable for the damages changes your perspective some. Still like weather but I have skin in the game i'd rather not loose now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 1 minute ago, Hazey said: Shift east last night. keeps me on the rainier side and not the high wind side. Could still cross over or move to my west but I don't think that will happen Got it. Makes sense now. You should be fine if the guidance holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 Just now, Hazey said: Being a homeowner and being responsable for the damages changes your perspective some. Still like weather but I have skin in the game i'd rather not loose now. Yeah, but you can't really do anything about the damage, its going to happen either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 Just now, Hazey said: Being a homeowner and being responsable for the damages changes your perspective some. Still like weather but I have skin in the game i'd rather not loose now. Amazing how our perspective as homeowners changes our desire for extreme weather. I have had enough of limbs and trees falling over the last 3 years to last a lifetime. All of the dead oaks around here mean there is more to come. I removed 7 but have 4 more I need to have dropped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 1 minute ago, OSUmetstud said: Yeah, but you can't really do anything about the damage, its going to happen either way. Liking the weather and being worried about damage to your hard earned property is a conundrum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Liking the weather and being worried about damage to your hard earned property is a conundrum. You wouldn't want to go experience the storm down near the coast of NS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Amazing how our perspective as homeowners changes our desire for extreme weather. I have had enough of limbs and trees falling over the last 3 years to last a lifetime. All of the dead oaks around here mean there is more to come. I removed 7 but have 4 more I need to have dropped. Yup. I hate damage imby and feel sympathetic to those who have to suffer through it. Sure it’s part of our weenie nostalgia but that doesn’t mean I hope for it. I have like 5/6 trees I want to cut down....just need to find time and get some friends to help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Amazing how our perspective as homeowners changes our desire for extreme weather. I have had enough of limbs and trees falling over the last 3 years to last a lifetime. All of the dead oaks around here mean there is more to come. I removed 7 but have 4 more I need to have dropped. If it's coming, you would seem like someone who was at least interested in going experience the majesty of weather, Steve. I don't really think that's out there thinking on this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Amazing how our perspective as homeowners changes our desire for extreme weather. I have had enough of limbs and trees falling over the last 3 years to last a lifetime. All of the dead oaks around here mean there is more to come. I removed 7 but have 4 more I need to have dropped. Exactly. When I was younger I was over the moon at getting a hurricane. Juan was awesome but now I look back at the damage and think if I had to pay for it or clean it up, not so fun. Plus my place is heavily wooded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted September 5, 2019 Share Posted September 5, 2019 Like I get the dread of dealing with the property damage, but I can't relate with this idea of not wanting to go be in it if it was available so close by. I guess that makes me weird or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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