correnjim1 Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 well it's making things slightly interesting for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 2, 2019 Author Share Posted September 2, 2019 It's already a halficane by the time it reaches 40N. If you believe the gfs. Flooding would be impressive anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 Just about a sit and spin for dorian, What devestation on the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 If it was winter and cold air in place, That GFS projected track for Dorian would be a siggy snow maker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 9 hours ago, Dr. Dews said: I'm headed down to CC to board up 9 hours ago, Dr. Dews said: Dorian misses the entire SE US coast by a hair, and is later captured/catapulted into SNE 34 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: next 19 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: It's already a halficane by the time it reaches 40N. If you believe the gfs. Flooding would be impressive anyway. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 Solid tropical storm conditions on the Cape verbatim, along with like 6-8" of rain. ACK pushing hurricane force. Not buying it yet, but we should keep an eye on the extent of western ridging and the strength of that shortwave/trough orientation going forward. Perhaps we can get a bit of a PRE after all after last week's tease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 19 minutes ago, dryslot said: If it was winter and cold air in place, That GFS projected track for Dorian would be a siggy snow maker. It was close to painting some blue ptype in NW ME at 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 2, 2019 Author Share Posted September 2, 2019 6 minutes ago, Hoth said: Solid tropical storm conditions on the Cape verbatim, along with like 6-8" of rain. ACK pushing hurricane force. Not buying it yet, but we should keep an eye on the extent of western ridging and the strength of that shortwave/trough orientation going forward. Perhaps we can get a bit of a PRE after all after last week's tease. 1996 Edouard's fishing expedition comes to mind. I remember moving to college the day before, the first thing I did was setup telnet 14.4 baud into PSC wx and track that pos all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 These are some of my favorite situations in the "weather as a spectator's sport" engagement. Watching others contemplate how they get to get this or that, when the reality is ... they most likely get nothing - wah wah wahhh. This may very well go down in history as a Great Bahama/Grand Abaco deal, with a ginormous, historically impactful Media headline gale for everywhere else... But, hey, CNN sure made their money off this thing, huh - It seems to me this system has stalled nearly stationary ...doing the thing the models had predicted - pretty damn amazing we have the tech these days to be so dependably reliant. However, that stall coordinate may be skewed E of where the consensus had it ... Perhaps only talking 20 or 30 clicks, but assuming when motion resumes and is as such along the anticipated NW to NNW drift before inevitably accelerating N-NE .. .all that, it seems to intuit a chance for an E adjustment. heh... 12z models coming now so we'll see... Also, the cloud tops over/of the circumvallate have slightly warmed the last couple of hours, and there some subtle signs the eye is more ragged.. I mentioned earlier it would be unlikely for Dorian to endure at those magnificent scales of structure; perhaps we're see some of that.. We may have a Cat 1/2 hurricane climbing the ladder by this time tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 2, 2019 Author Share Posted September 2, 2019 22 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Carrying on the theme from the main thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 41 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: 1996 Edouard's fishing expedition comes to mind. I remember moving to college the day before, the first thing I did was setup telnet 14.4 baud into PSC wx and track that pos all night. Lol, my earliest recollection of a tropical bust. I was twelve and remember everyone was talking about a hurricane coming. I was so excited, and subsequently so crushed, when Edouard fished. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 Just now, Hoth said: Lol, my earliest recollection of a tropical bust. I was twelve and remember everyone was talking about a hurricane coming. I was so excited, and subsequently so crushed, when Edouard fished. Gloria for me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 Gloria was pretty good. At least we got on the east side of it. No power for a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 1 minute ago, correnjim1 said: Gloria for me Belle for me. 2 hours ago, OSUmetstud said: The COTI ensemble track blend followed by the UKMET have been the best verifying pieces of guidance for Dorian at 120 hours so far. Maybe the UK can be reliable this winter. 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs is quite a storm here. Not sure I buy that. I'll toss that unless others start joining in. It may not be a huge miss, but I'd certainly lean toward that at this point than anything significant--even for James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Gloria was pretty good. At least we got on the east side of it. No power for a few days. I was a sophomore in college--enjoyed a day of cancelled classes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 I would hate to lose power for any more than I have too. Hell no to Dorian, go away fierce monster of Mother Nature, go away, I want to watch football this Sunday. I have a feeling N'Keal Harry will do to the Steelers what Gronk did to them in his career. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted September 2, 2019 Author Share Posted September 2, 2019 Gloria wasn't a bust, but definitely over hyped. Had some 80 mph gusts and many trees through homes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 9 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: Gloria wasn't a bust, but definitely over hyped. Had some 80 mph gusts and many trees through homes. maybe i was to young to remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 Gfs is still looking close for James, and rough for Hazey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 Yeah, Hazey catches a smack on that run. Note that GFS has been trending farther off shore the last few runs though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, SlantStickers Anonymous said: Gfs is still looking close for James, and rough for Hazey i'm wishcasting myself some tropical force winds lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 8 minutes ago, correnjim1 said: i'm wishcasting myself some tropical force winds lol In the words of the legendary Kevin Garnett, "anything is possible." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 1 minute ago, SlantStickers Anonymous said: In the words of the legendary Kevin Garnett, "anything is possible." it's a slim possibility....i'll start boarding up the windows Thursday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eire015 Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 2 hours ago, Dr. Dews said: Carrying on the theme from the main thread... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 1 hour ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I would hate to lose power for any more than I have too. Hell no to Dorian, go away fierce monster of Mother Nature, go away, I want to watch football this Sunday. I have a feeling N'Keal Harry will do to the Steelers what Gronk did to them in his career. He'll do what Gronk will do this year. Not play 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 Euro was closer. Some rain and wind ern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro was closer. Some rain and wind ern areas. thats me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 Just a close brush for me. Not sure what it will be when it gets here. Should be stormy conditions regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NSwx Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 It’s really hard to say at this point what sizeable impact Dorian will cause here in NS. What has caught my attention the most is the consistency of the GFS over the last few days on the track through the Maritimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 2, 2019 Share Posted September 2, 2019 And RI/SE MA and DE ME make the cone. Congrats. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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