McDowell_Weather Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 I'll eat crow. Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDowell_Weather Posted April 1, 2019 Author Share Posted April 1, 2019 I think I'm to far west but upstate peeps and along 85 in nc I'm rooting hard for you guys. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 Brad P is talking about the possibilities. Nothing too significant, but... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDowell_Weather Posted April 1, 2019 Author Share Posted April 1, 2019 Just now, calculus1 said: Brad P is talking about the possibilities. Nothing too significant, but... I like GSP'S morning afd it said to keep an eye on the forecast for the next 24 hrs for possible signfigant changes lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 That NAM tho! It’s ok to be in the bullseye of 7” inside of 12 hours, right?? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 40 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: That NAM tho! It’s ok to be in the bullseye of 7” inside of 12 hours, right?? yeah, wish i could believe it...nam shows around 5 or 6 inches here. Although the nam has a reputation of being too wet it's had somewhat of a dry bias this winter. Given the lack of model support for so much, looks like it very well could be back to it's old tricks. The second wettest model, euro, shows 0.60 along and southeast of greenwood to rock hill. It's a clear outlier right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 12 minutes ago, Lookout said: yeah, wish i could believe it...nam shows around 5 or 6 inches here. Although the nam has a reputation of being too wet it's had somewhat of a dry bias this winter. Given the lack of model support for so much, looks like it very well could be back to it's old tricks. The second wettest model, euro, shows 0.60 along and southeast of greenwood to rock hill. It's a clear outlier right now. I think we need to recall, though, that almost every event since Florence has trended wetter when it arrived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 BUFKIT gives GSP 7.7" 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstateblizzard Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 Just love seeing Mack excited again lol jk man 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 15z SREF QPF means: Albemarle: .7 CLT: .66 EHO and SPA: .46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 GSO went from .15 at 9z to .50 at 15z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 I'm surprised there's not even a Hazardous Weather Outlook posted for this event right now. There was this morning. They typically mention a stiff breeze in the HWO, so the fact that we might get snowfall in April seems, at least, worth mentioning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 KHKY went from 0.1 to 0.3 on the 15Z SREF Mean. Mean snowfall is now 1.5 inches. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 The 18z Nam dewpoint is running 10 degrees above actuals for this afternoon in the triad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 18z NAM 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 31 minutes ago, calculus1 said: KHKY went from 0.1 to 0.3 on the 15Z SREF Mean. Mean snowfall is now 1.5 inches. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ It was a huge jump for most areas, especially this close to kickoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 3k NAM had the bullseye just about over the Landmark Diner on central in Charlotte. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 Wake right on the edge...of course. I know it won't be a big deal, but I'd like to see some flakes falling! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 24 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: The 18z Nam dewpoint is running 10 degrees above actuals for this afternoon in the triad Yeah this is something i've been watching all day. Temps are about right where they should be but the dewpoints are quite a bit lower than just about every model by a good 10 degrees to as much as 14 in a few spots. If this holds it could mean there could be a bit quicker changeover. This has more impact on ne ga than sc since the models have the changeover happening pretty fast there where as it changes over slower here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 If you take the GFS seriously, the joke is on you. It finally came in line with a more northwesterly track less than 24 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 After moving NW for a few runs, the Euro has moved SE with the precip shield in its last 2 runs including the new 18z run. Greenville and west gets less than a tenth on this run. Charlotte is around 0.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 Hehe...this died a quick death. Even in their last gasps of winter the models couldnt figure it out inside of 72 hours. Seriously, I hope somebody is recoding the s*$t out of some weather models this summer. This was a horrible winter for man and models alike! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: Hehe...this died a quick death. Even in their last gasps of winter the models couldnt figure it out inside of 72 hours. Seriously, I hope somebody is recoding the s*$t out of some weather models this summer. This was a horrible winter for man and models alike! Please take this to Banter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RT1980 Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 Would be nice to see a few flakes flying. I’m in southern Cabarrus and if anything some light accum on elevated surfaces. I remember last year we got a few early morning inches that were gone by noon! So anything this late is welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 Well i've dropped nicely since sunset, down to 40.6 in Easley, still a ways to go. Plus, there'll be the obligitory 4-8 degree rise in temps when the clouds roll in so... Need the precip sheild 50 miles NW of current projections. Best chances here will be Laurens to Rock Hill to Gboro I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Well i've dropped nicely since sunset, down to 40.6 in Easley, still a ways to go. Plus, there'll be the obligitory 4-8 degree rise in temps when the clouds roll in so... Need the precip sheild 50 miles NW of current projections. Best chances here will be Laurens to Rock Hill to Gboro I think. I’m only at 46, but with things trending E and S , who cares about temps here anyway! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RT1980 Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 So if we get a few flurries, is ok to eat yellow snow with all the pollen? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 Hoping to get some gust to 50+ mph here tomorrow afternoon, wish I didnt have to work would be a good ride to Nags Head day.... the OBX might flirt with 60+ depending on how cranked up this storm gets....realistically we probably wont do much more than 40-45 this far inland though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RT1980 Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 22 minutes ago, downeastnc said: Hoping to get some gust to 50+ mph here tomorrow afternoon, wish I didnt have to work would be a good ride to Nags Head day.... the OBX might flirt with 60+ depending on how cranked up this storm gets....realistically we probably wont do much more than 40-45 this far inland though. Bet it will be cranking at the bend up by Nags Head! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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