SACRUS Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 Not sure if the image is live or cacahed but even LI should get into the clearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 On 4/21/2019 at 2:42 PM, BombsAway1288 said: Tell that to the folks on LI Expand Yea frustrating April out here, as usual. Only one or two days actually warm out. Looks like we wait until May for our first 80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 On 4/21/2019 at 2:49 PM, SACRUS said: Not sure if the image is live or cacahed but even LI should get into the clearing. Expand Yours is cached but the clouds are weirdly developing on the island. Still 58 here and overcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 A very nice Easter Sunday shaping up, temps should make it to around 70 Mostly sunny with a current temp of 62 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 On 4/21/2019 at 3:06 PM, Rtd208 said: A very nice Easter Sunday shaping up, temps should make it to around 70 Mostly sunny with a current temp of 62 here. Expand And just like that it's gone overcast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 On 4/21/2019 at 4:07 PM, Stormlover74 said: And just like that it's gone overcast Expand with popup showers. hooray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 There’s a shower in Harrison, NY. The streets are wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 On 4/21/2019 at 3:06 PM, Rtd208 said: A very nice Easter Sunday shaping up, temps should make it to around 70 Mostly sunny with a current temp of 62 here. Expand Yeah didnt last very long. Overcast and some occasional drizzle temp down to 59 here. Was looking promising for at least alternating times of sun and clouds but looking like a solid overcast now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 crap day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 Well now the suns coming back maybe I spoke too soon, I did head a mile or so west though. From co op city high rises you could see the gloom over LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 A little 30 second shower rolled through a while ago, then it tried to clear and now it's misty. Ick dreary... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 21, 2019 Author Share Posted April 21, 2019 Cleared out nicely on Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 21, 2019 Share Posted April 21, 2019 This afternoon, the clouds broke for sunshine. The temperature soared to 66° in New York City. Some scenes from the New York Botanical Garden from this afternoon: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 This afternoon, the clouds broke and the sun returned. The temperature soared into the middle 60s across the region. Tomorrow and Tuesday could see even warmer temperatures. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around April 10. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.20°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C. Conditions consistent with El Niño should persist through April in Region 3.4. The SOI was -12.84 today. Today's preliminary value of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.721. The closing 10 days of the month will likely be generally warmer than normal. Since 1950, there have been 6 cases where the AO dropped to -2.500 or below during the April 1-10 period, as happened on April 7. The mean April 16-30 temperature was 56.3° with a standard deviation of 2.3°. The implied probability of a warmer than normal April is currently 97%. There is also an implied 77% probability that April 2019 will wind up among the 10 warmest April cases on record and 63% probability that it will wind up among the 5 warmest April cases on record. The mean temperature for May following April cases with a mean temperature of 56.0° or above is 63.0°. It is likely that April 2019 will finish with a mean temperature of 56.0° or above. The dynamic guidance and statistical guidance are in agreement that May will wind up on the warm side of normal in the New York City area. On April 20, the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 1.009(RMM). The amplitude was above the April 19-adjusted figure of 0.878. The April 20 amplitude ended the 37-day stretch during which the amplitude was below 1.000. That was the longest such stretch since the MJO was at a low amplitude for 39 consecutive days from April 21, 2015 through May 29, 2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 Next 8 days are averaging 60degs., or about 4degs. AN. Month to date is +3.7[55.2]. Should be about +3.8[56.6] by the 29th. This would be good for a Third Place finish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 22, 2019 Author Share Posted April 22, 2019 Our next warm up is set for Tuesday when the closed low from today scoots out to the NE of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 Showers working their way in from the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 Just went from light drizzle to steady rain with small drop size. You can tell this was snow not too high up with the offshore flow. It’s probably snowing above 7,500’ based on the mt. Washington obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 should be a few storms in suffolk co today. numerous lightning strikes just s of the forks now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 On 4/20/2019 at 11:23 AM, bluewave said: Newark enters the top 10 warmest Aprils through the 19th. Warmest 4/1-4/19 at Newark 1 2010-04-19 58.8 0 - 2002-04-19 58.8 0 3 1945-04-19 57.0 0 4 2012-04-19 56.6 0 5 1981-04-19 56.1 0 6 2017-04-19 56.0 0 7 2006-04-19 55.6 0 8 1994-04-19 55.1 0 9 1941-04-19 54.9 0 10 2019-04-19 54.4 0 Expand impressive to get that with no daily record highs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 On 4/22/2019 at 4:50 PM, purduewx80 said: should be a few storms in suffolk co today. numerous lightning strikes just s of the forks now. Expand Pouring here in western suffolk, looks nasty out east, wonder how far west that gets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 On 4/22/2019 at 3:24 PM, SACRUS said: Showers working their way in from the east Expand wow showers reaching PA, wasnt that long ago it was just maybe reaching NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 On 4/22/2019 at 5:42 PM, dWave said: wow showers reaching PA, wasnt that long ago it was just maybe reaching NYC. Expand most recent radar looks like a hurricane coming onshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 22, 2019 Author Share Posted April 22, 2019 On 4/22/2019 at 5:32 PM, forkyfork said: impressive to get that with no daily record highs Expand Warm minimums and high dew points win again. 6th warmest average minimum temperature vs 13th warmest average high temperature for Newark. warmest average minimum temperature Newark 4/1-4/21 1 2002-04-21 48.9 0 2 2010-04-21 47.9 0 3 2017-04-21 47.0 0 4 2012-04-21 46.8 0 5 1945-04-21 46.0 0 6 2019-04-21 45.9 0 Warmest average maximum temperature 1 2010-04-21 69.7 0 2 2002-04-21 68.4 0 3 1941-04-21 67.8 0 4 2012-04-21 67.5 0 5 1945-04-21 66.8 0 6 2006-04-21 66.4 0 7 1976-04-21 66.3 0 8 1968-04-21 66.1 0 9 1981-04-21 65.6 0 10 2005-04-21 65.2 0 11 2017-04-21 65.0 0 12 1994-04-21 64.8 0 13 2019-04-21 63.9 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 Lots of convection along the south shore of Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 22, 2019 Author Share Posted April 22, 2019 On 4/22/2019 at 4:50 PM, purduewx80 said: should be a few storms in suffolk co today. numerous lightning strikes just s of the forks now. Expand Continuation of these steep midlevel lapse rates which have become so common in recent years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 On 4/22/2019 at 5:56 PM, NycStormChaser said: Lots of convection along the south shore of Long Island. Expand radar is pretty underdone. those showers are putting down some serious rain well west of that band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 On 4/22/2019 at 5:42 PM, psv88 said: Pouring here in western suffolk, looks nasty out east, wonder how far west that gets Expand Probably into at least eastern Nassau; there have been some rando lightning strikes outside of those heavier bands too...two of which have occurred ~20 miles SE of JFK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted April 22, 2019 Share Posted April 22, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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