BristowWx Posted March 31, 2019 Share Posted March 31, 2019 2 hours ago, Wonderdog said: Big three are trying to inch the coastal toward mid Atlantic region but it's a tough fight. I for one would like to see a heavy rain storm from a nor'easter with temps in mid to upper 30's with dynamic cooling lowering temps to 30 and the LP becomes cut off. And then I can use the toy one more time! Think it might help if this cool front stalls off the coast. That would be nice actually. I like your train of thought. That toy deserves better than the winter we just got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 31, 2019 Share Posted March 31, 2019 looks like the coastal misses right, then a nice stretch this week, then divergence. fv3 has a vort underneath us around the 10th. gfs has a cutter. in both cases, it's too mild for snow, which i generally approve of at this point. we'll see if a fluke happens around the 10th, otherwise, it looks like it might be time to pack it in. C+ winter grade stays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 31, 2019 Share Posted March 31, 2019 Where's Ji ...snow creeping north lol. NAMs nailed the last coastal that ended up trending better for us... that ended up being a washout. It’s been trending better for a little while. One eye open in CHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 Man the Nam... If rates were a bit heavier it would be quite a nice snowfall just west of 95. Big shift and now within 42 hours of onset. Let's see what the other models opine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 Man the Nam... If rates were a bit heavier it would be quite a nice snowfall just west of 95. Big shift and now within 42 hours of onset. Let's see what the other models opine. it has my attention Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 Getting gusts over 40 again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 Let’s get it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 Anything can happen at night in April. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 18z Nams throw quite a bit of precip back this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 1 hour ago, peribonca said: 18z Nams throw quite a bit of precip back this way. While the GFS basically gives us nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 I like tracking regardless of the precip type since I get to learn just much from the type of storm we have coming up. Right now all models are way under forecasting the moisture coming through LA MS and AL. It's not even close on any of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, peribonca said: I like tracking regardless of the precip type since I get to learn just much from the type of storm we have coming up. Right now all models are way under forecasting the moisture coming through LA MS and AL. It's not even close on any of them. well, 18z EURO gets precip further north and west by 20-30 miles compared to 12z. things are still shifting a little. Bigger deal for Boston, although it is 60 later that same day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 1 hour ago, peribonca said: I like tracking regardless of the precip type since I get to learn just much from the type of storm we have coming up. Right now all models are way under forecasting the moisture coming through LA MS and AL. It's not even close on any of them. This is true on the 00z GFS run there is almost nothing depicted under the inland center and all the development is supposed to take place with the coastal. Radar shows a different story. I have a hunch this could surprise and bring 1-3" snowfalls to some areas in the Mid Atlantic. It's after midnight now so no April fool's joke intended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 The latest (and hopefully last for the season, ha.ha.) LWX forecast mention of s***: (snip) .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... High clouds are abundant at present, but low levels remain dry, and temps have dropped into the 20s and 30s. There should be some veiled sun this morning, but clouds will thicken this afternoon as low pressure developing over the Carolina coast moves northeastward. Expect rain to begin overspreading central VA around midday and reach the metro late this afternoon, near or during rush hour. The back edge looks like it will be near or just west of the Blue Ridge, and the higher elevations there will likely be just cold enough to see some snow, with a coating possible along Skyline Drive and the Blue Ridge Parkway. Elsewhere, just a chilly rain, mostly light, with amounts generally less than a third of an inch. Highs today will be mostly in the 40s and low 50s. (snip) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 Pretty cool to see snow in April in NC... even if it is in the western part of the state... from the SE forum 47 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: From my Grandparents in Monroe. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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