CoalCityWxMan Posted May 23, 2019 Share Posted May 23, 2019 52 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Radar isn't much to look at but it has gotten surprisingly gusty in the showers currently moving through. There are some weird mini meso low type things that have been embedded in this complex, paying close attention to radar features/velocity. Have had 2 of such features pass through here tonight, measured a gust to 56 just about 20 minutes ago. This is what the one that came through earlier looked like on velocity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted May 23, 2019 Share Posted May 23, 2019 Willard airport which is 1 mile from my house gusted to 68mph last night. Minor damage being reported around the city as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
largetornado Posted May 23, 2019 Share Posted May 23, 2019 Indiana has pretty good parameters tomorrow...Might be a late sleeper if stuff can form. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 23, 2019 Share Posted May 23, 2019 Tomorrow looks conditionally interesting in the north/east part of the risk area, i.e. in this region. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
largetornado Posted May 23, 2019 Share Posted May 23, 2019 Couple severe thunderstorm warnings in Kentucky. Surprised that SPC does not have out MD or watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NTXYankee Posted May 23, 2019 Share Posted May 23, 2019 Well I am taking a break from weather, this season is crap at least for Central Ohio, it’s turned into either a dying complex or everything goes around. If I hear thunder it may storm if I hear a siren maybe a tornado, lol. Time to enjoy the heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 Preliminary rating for the Jefferson City tornado is higher end EF3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 Derecho? A few more wind reports occurred east of Cleveland after the 12z cutoff. Not too shabby considering a lot of these areas had <=5% wind probabilities until the 01z outlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 Looks like the NWS was surveying damage in Muncie, which is 30 minutes from me. They concluded an EF-1 with winds of 105mph. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pen_artist Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 00z HRRR looking pretty decent tomorrow for N IL and NW IN. Will take it with a slight grain of salt though with recent HRRR performance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 26 minutes ago, Chambana said: Looks like the NWS was surveying damage in Muncie, which is 30 minutes from me. They concluded an EF-1 with winds of 105mph. Had no idea there was a Muncie, Illinois. Learn something new all the time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 2 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Had no idea there was a Muncie, Illinois. Learn something new all the time. Me either. I used to drink a lot of beer at Ball State in Muncie Indiana. I had never heard of Muncie, IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 27 minutes ago, IWXwx said: Me either. I used to drink a lot of beer at Ball State in Muncie Indiana. I had never heard of Muncie, IL. With a total population in 2016 estimated at 141, I'm shocked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 If the environment in E IA/N IL looks good tomorrow morning, I'll be out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 N IL looks interesting along warm front later....as course the position depends on poorly modeled MCS there is convection in NE MO not handled well at this time..with partial clearing ahead of it..if anything this will retard the movement of the front back north also flood threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 1 hour ago, janetjanet998 said: N IL looks interesting along warm front later....as course the position depends on poorly modeled MCS there is convection in NE MO not handled well at this time..with partial clearing ahead of it..if anything this will retard the movement of the front back north also flood threat CAMs do show at least some potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 TOR warning for that cluster in western IL...becomng surface based with a small area of clearing ahead of it BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA/IL 1145 AM CDT FRI MAY 24 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EASTERN HANCOCK COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS... SOUTHWESTERN MCDONOUGH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 1215 PM CDT. * AT 1144 AM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR WEST POINT, OR 7 MILES SOUTH OF CARTHAGE, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 9 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: TOR warning for that cluster in western IL...becomng surface based with a small area of clearing ahead of it BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA/IL 1145 AM CDT FRI MAY 24 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EASTERN HANCOCK COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS... SOUTHWESTERN MCDONOUGH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 1215 PM CDT. * AT 1144 AM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR WEST POINT, OR 7 MILES SOUTH OF CARTHAGE, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. 2 separate nice areas of rotation on that storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0768 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1215 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2019 AREAS AFFECTED...FAR EAST-CENTRAL MO...CENTRAL IL CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 241715Z - 241845Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT SUMMARY...ONGOING STORMS MAY POSE A THREAT FOR A DAMAGING WIND GUST AND HAIL. A COUPLE TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR INCREASING STORM COVERAGE THAT COULD RESULT IN THE NEED FOR A WATCH, DISCUSSION...CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A WARM FRONT EXTENDING EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL IL (FROM JUST NORTH OF UIN TO NEAR DNV). TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY ARE IN THE 80S WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW 70S. TEMPERATURES ALOFT ARE RELATIVELY WARM BUT THE WARM AND MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER STILL RESULTS IN MODERATE INSTABILITY. RECENT MESOANALYSIS ESTIMATES MLCAPE AROUND 1500 J/KG AND RAP FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MLCAPE OVER 2000 J/KG BY 18Z. THIS AREA IS ALSO ON THE EDGE OF THE STRONGER LOW TO MID-LEVEL FLOW WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR DECREASING FROM 50 KT ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL IL TO 40 KT OVER EAST-CENTRAL IL/WEST-CENTRAL IN. RECENT INTENSIFICATION OF THE STORM OVER HANCOCK COUNTY IL HAS BEEN NOTED. THIS INTENSIFICATION IS LIKELY A RESULT OF INTERACTION WITH THE WARM FRONT. THE NORTHEASTERLY STORM MOTION SHOULD TAKE THE STORM NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT AND INTO AN AREA LESS FAVORABLE FOR SURFACE-BASED STORMS. EVEN SO, ADEQUATE SHEAR EXISTS FOR STORM ROTATION AND SOME STORM ORGANIZATION COULD PERSIST NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY WITH AN ATTENDANT HAIL THREAT. SOUTH OF THE FRONT, MOST LIKELY SEVERE HAZARD IS DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS, ALTHOUGH SOME HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. VEERED SURFACE WINDS WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR SUGGEST LOW TORNADO POTENTIAL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS ALONG THE WARM FRONT WHERE ENHANCED SURFACE VORTICITY COULD AUGMENT THE TORNADO THREAT. STORM COVERAGE IS UNCERTAIN, LEADING TO LOWER WATCH PROBABILITY. HOWEVER, CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR INCREASING COVERAGE THAT COULD NECESSITATE A WATCH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 decent couplet..storm is turning more right and will ride the boundaey 75/66 here now ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA/IL 1219 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN MCDONOUGH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 1245 PM CDT. * AT 1219 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER FANDON, OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MACOMB, MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 Rotation continues to tighten up on the Macomb cell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 Cell near macomb will be heavily rain wrapped if it produces Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 RGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 231 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1235 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2019 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1235 PM UNTIL 600 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...A SMALL CLUSTER OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK FOR A COUPLE OF TORNADOES, DAMAGING AND LARGE HAIL AS IT CONTINUES EAST THROUGH CENTRAL IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 102 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2019 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 1233 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW INDUSTRY 40.35N 90.64W 05/24/2019 MCDONOUGH IL EMERGENCY MNGR A HOME DAMAGED WITH DEBRIS BLOWN ACROSS THE FIELD ONTO HIGHWAY 67. POWER POLES WERE LEANING OVER. BETWEEN ROAD 700 AND 500. POSSIBLE TORNADO. TIME WAS ESTIMATED USING RADAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 1258 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2019 ILC057-125-241845- /O.CON.KILX.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-190524T1845Z/ FULTON-MASON- 1258 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM CDT FOR WEST CENTRAL FULTON AND NORTHWESTERN MASON COUNTIES... AT 1257 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR IPAVA, OR 11 MILES WEST OF LEWISTOWN, MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 Hopefully this thing stays south of Lewistown. One of the bigger communities in that immediate area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 115 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2019 ILC057-125-241845- /O.CON.KILX.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-190524T1845Z/ FULTON-MASON- 115 PM CDT FRI MAY 24 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM CDT FOR WEST CENTRAL FULTON AND NORTHWESTERN MASON COUNTIES... AT 114 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF LEWISTOWN, MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND TWO INCH HAIL. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 nervous for Lewistown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 Just now, CoalCityWxMan said: nervous for Lewistown. I think it went just south of town or is occluding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 I am always leery of the possibility of warm front tornadoes ever since the Utica IL tornado, especially now that one has been confirmed along the front. Havanna IL will be in its sights if it is on the ground or cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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