Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Back to radar rotation on the incoming Bloomington storm. Hopefully it stays that way and doesn't drop another tor like it did previously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Very strong helicity but poor lapse rates. I hate to think what might be happening if those two were juxtaposed in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Mesoscale Discussion 1079 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0628 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019 Areas affected...south-central and southeast IN Concerning...Tornado Watch 360... Valid 152328Z - 160030Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 360 continues. SUMMARY...The potential for a mature supercell to continue east past I-65 is relatively high and may continue to pose a risk for tornadoes despite cooler surface temperatures. If this occurs, a small tornado watch to the east of tornado watch 360 will be considered for parts of southeast IN and the IN/KY/OH tri-state area to address this threat. DISCUSSION...Visible satellite imagery shows a cumulus field beneath broken high-level cloud cover over southeast IN. Surface temperatures near the greater Louisville/Kentuckiana portion of the OH River are in the lower 80s but cooler conditions are noted farther northeast near Cincinnati (lower 70s). There is uncertainty how far the supercell tornado risk will continue into southeast IN. The primary supercell over Monroe County, IN provides the greatest probability for this to occur. Convective/mesoscale trends will be monitored over the next 1-2 hours as the south-central IN activity moves to the east edge of tornado 360. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 15, 2019 Author Share Posted June 15, 2019 New tornado warning just east of Indy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 8 minutes ago, snowlover2 said: New tornado warning just east of Indy. And just south of me. I have torrential rain falling at my location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 back west RGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 362 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 710 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST IOWA NORTHWEST AND WESTERN ILLINOIS FAR EASTERN KANSAS NORTHERN MISSOURI * EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 710 PM UNTIL 200 AM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 My county was severe-warned, but the wind maxed at only 30-35 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 12 tornadoes today, widely scattered across the country. The tornado reported in Texas didn't look like it was from a mesocyclone. edit; another confirmed tornado in Indiana Quote At 835 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located 8 miles east of Columbus, moving northeast at 30 mph. A brief touchdown was reported in rural east central Bartholomew county. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 857 PM EDT SAT JUN 15 2019 INC139-160115- /O.CON.KIND.TO.W.0042.000000T0000Z-190616T0115Z/ RUSH IN- 857 PM EDT SAT JUN 15 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN RUSH COUNTY... AT 857 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER RUSHVILLE, OR 15 MILES WEST OF CONNERSVILLE, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. DAMAGE REPORTED SOUTH OF RUSHVILLE. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... GLENWOOD AROUND 910 PM EDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 The supercell out ahead of the main line, north of Burlington IA looks like it wants to put down a tor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
largetornado Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 ILN vwp hodo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 14 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: The supercell out ahead of the main line, north of Burlington IA looks like it wants to put down a tor. blended into the line but.. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA/IL 824 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN HENDERSON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS... SOUTHWESTERN MERCER COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS... NORTHEASTERN DES MOINES COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN IOWA... SOUTHEASTERN LOUISA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN IOWA... * UNTIL 900 PM CDT. * AT 824 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER OAKVILLE, OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WAPELLO, MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 That Iowa tornado warning now has a confirmed tornado with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 From earlier this evening in IN. (IND) 0051 1 SSE RUSHVILLE RUSH IN 3960 8544 SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE REPORTED IN SOUTHERN RUSHVILLE WITH CONFIRMED TOUCHDOWN. (IND Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 Lol come on another tornado night? What a year in Ohio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 This was a more active evening for southern and central IN than I had originally anticipated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1085.html Mesoscale Discussion 1085 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0948 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019 Areas affected...Northern Missouri...eastern Kansas...and western Illinois Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 362... Valid 160248Z - 160345Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 362 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat continues for WW 362. Additional watches are being considered. DISCUSSION...Regional radar shows a line of storms has developed a weak cold front extending from portions of western Illinois into northern Missouri and far eastern Kansas. In addition, a fairly well developed MCV is now associated with the northern end of this activity, now tracking into northern Illinois, and storms here are beginning to bow out. A few reports of large hail (1-1.5 inches in diameter) and strong wind gusts (60 mph) have occurred this evening. Given the ample supply of low-level moisture (high 60s to low 70s F dew point temperatures), instability (1500-3000+ J/kg MLCAPE), and deep-layer shear (40-45 kt effective bulk shear), the ongoing storms should continue to pose a severe threat, particularly across portions of north-central Illinois where a damaging wind threat may be emerging and thus, a new watch may be needed. Additional storms may develop farther west along the front extending into southeast Kansas, and thus may require an additional watch here. ..Karstens.. 06/16/2019 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 Tornado warning south of Peoria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cincy.wx Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 possible tornado just passed over fort mitchell, KY. brief and only on a couple scans. a second circulation briefly showed up north of it and moved eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 15 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said: My county was severe-warned, but the wind maxed at only 30-35 mph. Just west of Cedar Rapids at Atkins. 0654 PM TSTM WND GST ATKINS 42.00N 91.86W 06/15/2019 E70 MPH BENTON IA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE SUSTAINED 50-55 MPH, RELAYED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 Woman tells how he survived tornado by hanging onto tree near Ellettsville, Indiana Nicole Rood tells how she survived a tornado by holding onto the door handle of a house as she was lifted off the ground in the 6400 block of West Cowden Rd., Saturday, June 16, 2019 near Ellettsville, Ind. Rood's boyfriend Brett Cantrell survived by hanging onto a tree across the road. The couple were in their car when the storm stuck, and exited their car to find a safe place. The tornado destroyed several homes, tore up trees, and left dangerous live power lines scattered around the area. https://www.gettyimages.com/detail/video/nicole-rood-tells-how-she-survived-a-tornado-by-holding-news-footage/1156231248?adppopup=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanLarsen34 Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 17 hours ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Have they completed the storm surveys yet for these tornadoes from yesterday? CC maxed out at 24,000 feet with this and there was a debris fallout evident on radar as well. That’s highly suggestive of an high-end EF3 to EF4 tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 15 minutes ago, DanLarsen34 said: Have they completed the storm surveys yet for these tornadoes from yesterday? CC maxed out at 24,000 feet with this and there was a debris fallout evident on radar as well. That’s highly suggestive of an high-end EF3 to EF4 tornado. They are out today.... https://www.weather.gov/ind/jun15stormsurvey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 Based on the damage pics I have seen and radar data, I am confident that the tornado around Ellettsville is EF2+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 I'm starting to take a rather keen interest in Friday and Saturday for the potential of significant severe weather. A fairly potent upper level system should be centered over the Northern Rockies leaving a belt of seasonally impressive 40-50kt 500mb flow over western parts of the subforum. Friday seems like a fairly typical midwestern warm front setup and the shear parameters along this warm front and at the TP could be quite good with both the FV3 and the legacy GFS indicating 0-1km SRH values of at least 250 m2/s2. Only things I don't like at this range are the weak anvil level winds and poor low level lapse rates(though mid level lapse rates look good at this time courtesy of an EML). Saturday is a bit more of a wild card and obviously depends on how Friday turns out, but the look at 500mb isn't terrible, so I think there's some potential that day as well. EDIT: I've also noticed that PWATs are quite high (~2.00in) and with a strong low level jet and a warm front, probably some potential for training heavy rainfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, hlcater said: I'm starting to take a rather keen interest in Friday and Saturday for the potential of significant severe weather. A fairly potent upper level system should be centered over the Northern Rockies leaving a belt of seasonally impressive 40-50kt 500mb flow over western parts of the subforum. Friday seems like a fairly typical midwestern warm front setup and the shear parameters along this warm front and at the TP could be quite good with both the FV3 and the legacy GFS indicating 0-1km SRH values of at least 250 m2/s2. Only things I don't like at this range are the weak anvil level winds and poor low level lapse rates(though mid level lapse rates look good at this time courtesy of an EML). Saturday is a bit more of a wild card and obviously depends on how Friday turns out, but the look at 500mb isn't terrible, so I think there's some potential that day as well. Sunday would be included as well especially with the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 16, 2019 Author Share Posted June 16, 2019 12z Euro appears to have a strong looking MCS next Saturday evening/night developing across southern MI to E IA and dropping south across much of IL/IN/OH. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 IND tweeted that they found a couple of EF2s... one east of Bloomfield and another near Ellettsville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 18 hours ago, cyclone77 said: The supercell out ahead of the main line, north of Burlington IA looks like it wants to put down a tor. DVN has confirmed two EF-2 tors in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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