Hoosier Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Not saying we will get a redux but the 8/24/2016 tornado fest occurred with a remnant MCV. Just shows what they are capable of in the more extreme outcomes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Blue box out for much of IA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 360 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 245 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of east central and southeast Illinois central and southern Indiana * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 245 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Isolated supercell development appears possible along a warm front advancing northward across the region through late afternoon and early evening. A few of these storms may pose a risk for producing tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles southwest of Mattoon IL to 60 miles east of Bloomington IN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service St Louis MO 212 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019 ILC083-151945- /O.CON.KLSX.TO.W.0037.000000T0000Z-190615T1945Z/ Jersey IL- 212 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL JERSEY COUNTY... At 211 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Brighton, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This dangerous storm will be near... Brighton around 215 PM CDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 HRRR showing possibly tornadic storms in central IN later this evening with WF and then another round of storms early tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 First warning for region. BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 536 PM EDT SAT JUN 15 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... EASTERN SULLIVAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA... SOUTHERN CLAY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA... SOUTHWESTERN OWEN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA... NORTHWESTERN GREENE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA... * UNTIL 615 PM EDT. * AT 536 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SULLIVAN, OR 20 MILES EAST OF ROBINSON, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES, ROOFS, AND OUTBUILDINGS. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... LINTON, SULLIVAN, JASONVILLE, WORTHINGTON, DUGGER, CLAY CITY, HYMERA, COAL CITY, FREEDOM, PATRICKSBURG, COALMONT, VICKSBURG AND PAXTON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 First tor warning of this episode... BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 555 PM EDT SAT JUN 15 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL SULLIVAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA... NORTHWESTERN GREENE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA... * UNTIL 630 PM EDT. * AT 555 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR PALESTINE, OR 11 MILES EAST OF ROBINSON, MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... SULLIVAN AND PAXTON AROUND 605 PM EDT. DUGGER AROUND 610 PM EDT. JASONVILLE AND VICKSBURG AROUND 615 PM EDT. LINTON AROUND 620 PM EDT. SWITZ CITY AROUND 625 PM EDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS, IN A MOBILE HOME, OR IN A VEHICLE, MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Good low and mid level helicity in the tor watch area in IN....350 to 400. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 42 minutes ago, Indystorm said: First tor warning of this episode... BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 555 PM EDT SAT JUN 15 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL SULLIVAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA... NORTHWESTERN GREENE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA... * UNTIL 630 PM EDT. * AT 555 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR PALESTINE, OR 11 MILES EAST OF ROBINSON, MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... SULLIVAN AND PAXTON AROUND 605 PM EDT. DUGGER AROUND 610 PM EDT. JASONVILLE AND VICKSBURG AROUND 615 PM EDT. LINTON AROUND 620 PM EDT. SWITZ CITY AROUND 625 PM EDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS, IN A MOBILE HOME, OR IN A VEHICLE, MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS. Big TDS on that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 15, 2019 Author Share Posted June 15, 2019 1 minute ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Big TDS on that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Mesoscale Discussion 1076 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0441 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019 Areas affected...south-central IN Concerning...Tornado Watch 360... Valid 152141Z - 152315Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 360 continues. SUMMARY...If a supercell or two can develop near the Wabash Valley during the next 1-2 hours, the tornado risk would increase and seemingly maximize along a differential heating zone oriented west-east across south-central IN. DISCUSSION...Visible satellite imagery indicates filtered sunshine/heating is occurring over southern IN to the south of thick mid-level cloud cover located from near Sullivan, IN east through the Bloomington/Brownstown vicinity. Surface temperatures south of the boundary are in the upper 70s to lower 80s degrees F with dewpoints near 70. Given the poor mid-level lapse rates depicted on the 18z Lincoln, IL raob and forecast soundings over south-central IN, buoyancy is weak in absence of boundary layer heating and its effects on greater destabilization. KVWX VAD data show 50kt around 700mb with clockwise curvature with the hodograph. Compared to KIND and KLVX, KVWX displays a larger hodograph. Current thinking is the best corridor for tornado potential will focus along the differential heating boundary over south-central IN where the combination of stronger low-level shear and greater buoyancy may be favorable for a tornado or two during the next few hours if a supercell can develop/become sustained. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 639 PM EDT SAT JUN 15 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA... SOUTH CENTRAL MORGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA... SOUTHEASTERN OWEN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL INDIANA... * UNTIL 715 PM EDT. * AT 639 PM EDT, A TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SPENCER, OR 16 MILES WEST OF BLOOMINGTON, MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL BE NEAR... SPENCER AND MCCORMICKS CREEK STATE PARK AROUND 650 PM EDT. ELLETTSVILLE, GOSPORT AND STINESVILLE AROUND 700 PM EDT. PARAGON AROUND 715 PM EDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 15, 2019 Author Share Posted June 15, 2019 Quote MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1077 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0541 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2019 AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH-CENTRAL IN CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 360... VALID 152241Z - 152315Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 360 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...STRONG TORNADO POTENTIAL IS INCREASING. RECENT EVIDENCE OF A TORNADO WITH EXPERIMENTAL WIND SPEED ESTIMATE RANGING BETWEEN 100-140MPH. DISCUSSION...A STRONG SUPERCELL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY STRONG 0-1KM SRH (300 M2/S2) IN SOUTH-CENTRAL IN PER OBSERVED STORM MOTIONS SUPERIMPOSED ON 88D VAD DATA AND MLCAPE AROUND 750 J/KG. SOME CONTINUATION OF THIS REGIONAL TORNADO RISK MAY CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL IN WITH CYCLIC TORNADOGENESIS POSSIBLE AS THE STORM MOVES WITHIN A RELATIVELY UNIMPEDED WARM SECTOR SOUTH OF A DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY IN A STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVELS SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. ..SMITH.. 06/15/2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Looks like the Indiana storm cycled and threw a new area of rotation SE of the prior one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Confirmed tornado located in Freedom IN moving east a short while ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 INC105-109-152315- /O.CON.KIND.TO.W.0033.000000T0000Z-190615T2315Z/ MONROE IN-MORGAN IN- 650 PM EDT SAT JUN 15 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT FOR NORTHERN MONROE AND SOUTH CENTRAL MORGAN COUNTIES... AT 650 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 3 MILES EAST OF SPENCER, OR 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF BLOOMINGTON, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... PARAGON AROUND 705 PM EDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Another big TDS from that new area of rotation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 15, 2019 Author Share Posted June 15, 2019 Almost feels like 2 weeks ago all over again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Cell to the south going to make a run towards Bloomington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Just now, SchaumburgStormer said: Cell to the south going to make a run towards Bloomington Now tor warned due to rotation west of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Just now, Indystorm said: Now tor warned due to rotation west of the area. It’s tightening up and getting its act together quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 1 minute ago, snowlover2 said: Almost feels like 2 weeks ago all over again. Oh, I wouldn't go that far as of yet....hopefully not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 1 minute ago, SchaumburgStormer said: It’s tightening up and getting its act together quickly Certainly is doing so. Strong couplet on NWS velocity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 700 PM EDT SAT JUN 15 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA... SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA... NORTHWESTERN BROWN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA... * UNTIL 745 PM EDT. * AT 659 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF BLOOMINGTON, MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... MAHALASVILLE AROUND 725 PM EDT. BEANBLOSSOM AROUND 735 PM EDT. MORGANTOWN AROUND 740 PM EDT. SPEARSVILLE AROUND 745 PM EDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Just now, Indystorm said: BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 700 PM EDT SAT JUN 15 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA... SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL INDIANA... NORTHWESTERN BROWN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA... * UNTIL 745 PM EDT. * AT 659 PM EDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF BLOOMINGTON, MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... MAHALASVILLE AROUND 725 PM EDT. BEANBLOSSOM AROUND 735 PM EDT. MORGANTOWN AROUND 740 PM EDT. SPEARSVILLE AROUND 745 PM EDT. Based on CC, that one is chewing something up. Big CC drop evident on the past few scans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Just now, SchaumburgStormer said: Based on CC, that one is chewing something up. Big CC drop evident on the past few scans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Just now, SchaumburgStormer said: Based on CC, that one is chewing something up. Big CC drop evident on the past few scans And that is not the cell for which Bloomington proper is presently warned with the cell incoming from the city's west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Just now, Indystorm said: And that is not the cell for which Bloomington proper is presently warned with the cell incoming from the city's west. That one is now producing as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 15, 2019 Share Posted June 15, 2019 Radar confirmed tornado sw of Bloomington moving east....Wonder if a tornado emergency will be declared for Bloomington...especially the southern parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 15, 2019 Author Share Posted June 15, 2019 8 minutes ago, Indystorm said: Oh, I wouldn't go that far as of yet....hopefully not. Should have clarified. Like 2 weeks ago there was early/midday rain and then late day storms which suddenly strong rotation and TDS. But yes hopefully won't be as bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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