hlcater Posted June 22, 2019 Share Posted June 22, 2019 The local severe season has kinda sucked so far, not gonna lie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 Perhaps for you up until now, but if that heat dome establishes itself and ridge rider Mesoscale convective complexes develop you may be sitting pretty in your location. 7 hours ago, hlcater said: The local severe season has kinda sucked so far, not gonna lie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 maybe a surprise with that mid level vortex moving NNE near STL? Sun is partly out here all morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 RGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 434 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 205 PM EDT SUN JUN 23 2019 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL INDIANA * EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL 800 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 Svr storms with the WF aiming ne now from sw IN. I think this will be round one. Round two and more worrisome to me like Janet/Janet posted are the storms near St. Louis, southern Il and west KY moving ne that are more cellular rather than in a line. 80/70 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 That first line moving ne in central IN has a record of significant tree damage with it per NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 Apex of bow with the first line is targeting Brown County, Columbus, and Seymour areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 24 minutes ago, Indystorm said: Apex of bow with the first line is targeting Brown County, Columbus, and Seymour areas. IND issued a t-storm warning that ends at your back door. Looks like there could be some strong winds rolling through Indy that looks to run right up Pendleton Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 Hope it doesn't out run the instability as it moves NE of Indy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 Just south of Indy the storms were pretty meh, maybe 30-35 mph max gust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndTenn Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 NW side of Indy with little wind, but it's raining buckets. A real summer feel to the air before the rain started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 24 minutes ago, IWXwx said: IND issued a t-storm warning that ends at your back door. Looks like there could be some strong winds rolling through Indy that looks to run right up Pendleton Pike. Will be watching and waiting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 "Gilbert Sebenste (via spotternetwork.org) @ 19:43 UTC -- (S) Funnel -- -- Spotter is 1 miles SSW of DE KALB, IL (DeKalb county) [41.917/-88.762] -- Funnel cloud begin at 2:35 PM, starting to dissipate at 2:43 PM. I am looking at it 1 mile west-northwest of this location, on the underside of a towering cumulus cloud. Came halfway to the ground, before gradually lifting. Moving almost due north. Rope-shaped funnel with a pointed end; no debris on the ground noted; likely a landspout. Funnel has just lifted at 2:45 PM." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 Gust front hitting Fortville now. Hope emergency management has everything secure at the ongoing Hancock county fair in Greenfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 Just a few small branches down here with briefly heavy rain. My concern is for Cape Girardeau Mo and far southern IL with low and mid level helicity of 350-450 in that area per SPC site and tor warned cells in the region.l Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 SPC has not been cancelling the watch in IN behind the line. They might be thinking the storms in S IL/MO will strengthen as they enter the western part of the watch area. Glancing at the vis satellite shows clearing behind this initial MCS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 7 minutes ago, The_Doctor said: SPC has not been cancelling the watch in IN behind the line. They might be thinking the storms in S IL/MO will strengthen as they enter the western part of the watch area. Glancing at the vis satellite shows clearing behind this initial MCS. You're probably right about the reason that it's not being cancelled, but I believe that it's up to the local NWS office to cancel the Watch, although they may consult with SPC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 439 PM EDT SUN JUN 23 2019 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0411 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SSE FORTVILLE 39.93N 85.84W 06/23/2019 HANCOCK IN 911 CALL CENTER NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS FORTVILLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 I'm on the nw side of Fortville and am amazed at how localized that report must have been. Possible downburst? All is calm here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 3 minutes ago, IWXwx said: You're probably right about the reason that it's not being cancelled, but I believe that it's up to the local NWS office to cancel the Watch, although they may consult with SPC. Interesting, I always thought it was the other way around with the SPC consulting with the NWS office but ultimately having the final call. It makes more sense that the NWS office would cancel it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 15 minutes ago, The_Doctor said: SPC has not been cancelling the watch in IN behind the line. They might be thinking the storms in S IL/MO will strengthen as they enter the western part of the watch area. Glancing at the vis satellite shows clearing behind this initial MCS. This. There is sporadic sunshine in southern IL between the line in IN and the line presently crossing the MS river near Cape Girardeau. KFVS tv is live for that region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 23, 2019 Author Share Posted June 23, 2019 Watch now canceled for most of IN. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 May have been a microburst just se of Fortville. I did see a couple trees down and numerous large branches. Amazing what a mile or two difference can make. Yes, the watch may be cancelled for most of IN now, but I am still suspicious of a possible round two. Still in slight svr on latest day one convective outlook. Clearing skies to my western horizon and in IL might allow just enough recovery to pop some additional storms. 500 mid level helicity in southern IL with some good shear. Will have to wait and see what happens later this evening if anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 That warned line around Paducha has some wicked QLCS hooks along it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 1 hour ago, The_Doctor said: Interesting, I always thought it was the other way around with the SPC consulting with the NWS office but ultimately having the final call. It makes more sense that the NWS office would cancel it From the latest SPC meso discussion, perfect timing, and a case where the local NWS re-instituted the watch perhaps? DISCUSSION...The intensity of convection across WW 433 has decreased over the last 30-60 minutes in some area from western TN into eastern AR. Other areas, mainly western KY/southern IL and portions of southern AR, have increased in intensity. In the short term, WFOs PAH, MEG and LZK have addressed the continued strong wind threat will local aerial extensions as needed.... Further north, across western KY/southern IL, the line has been intensifying and surging eastward. This is likely being driven by the expansive cold pool across AR/MO as well as stronger deep flow in the vicinity of stronger forcing occurring with a weak shortwave impulse migrating across the mid-MS Valley region. This portion of the line may continue to produce damaging wind gusts and PAH has addressed this by expanding WW 433. A line of storms moved across parts of western/central KY early today, but recent observations show conditions have likely recovered somewhat across western portions of WFO LMK. This may require an additional watch later this evening depending on trends as the line approaches this previously disturbed airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 23, 2019 Share Posted June 23, 2019 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 514 PM CDT SUN JUN 23 2019 KYC139-143-157-232245- /O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0055.000000T0000Z-190623T2245Z/ LIVINGSTON KY-MARSHALL KY-LYON KY- 514 PM CDT SUN JUN 23 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN LIVINGSTON...CENTRAL MARSHALL AND LYON COUNTIES... AT 513 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF BENTON, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...PUBLIC CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... EDDYVILLE AROUND 530 PM CDT. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE GRAND RIVERS AND KUTTAWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 Some of the convection-allowing models show heavier storms in Cincinnati and Columbus tomorrow. The Ohio Valley area should have over 40 kt winds at 500mb, and convection should develop in some areas in OH and KY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 Somehow all of us missed a big tornado that touched down in the South Bend / Mishawaka area this evening. Lead story on WTHR from Indpls and of course the local South Bend stations. Northern IN NWS will do the survey tomorrow. But check out some you tube videos. Amazing. WTHR.com has some good photos and video. I remember seeing the warning for rotation but didn't think much of it. I have seen photos of a rope tornado and also a stovepipe. Much more info to come tomorrow. Hit near U.S. 20 bypass and Ironwood/Ireland road area on north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 7 hours ago, Indystorm said: Somehow all of us missed a big tornado that touched down in the South Bend / Mishawaka area this evening. Lead story on WTHR from Indpls and of course the local South Bend stations. Northern IN NWS will do the survey tomorrow. But check out some you tube videos. Amazing. WTHR.com has some good photos and video. I remember seeing the warning for rotation but didn't think much of it. I have seen photos of a rope tornado and also a stovepipe. Much more info to come tomorrow. Hit near U.S. 20 bypass and Ironwood/Ireland road area on north. I saw it happening but was too busy to post anything about it at the time. NWS didn't put out a warning until spotters reported a funnel cloud. It was right on the warm front. Public Information Statement National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1036 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2019 /936 PM CDT Sun Jun 23 2019/ ...Damage Survey Planned for South Bend Indiana Monday June 24... A survey team will meet with St. Joseph County Emergency Management officials on Monday June 24th to assess the extent of the tornado damage near Ironwood and Ireland Roads as well as adjacent areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1130 AM EDT MON JUN 24 2019 ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 06/23/2019 TORNADO EVENT... .OVERVIEW... A SHOWER DEVELOPED OVER NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN RESPONSE TO A NNE MOVING MCV. AS THIS SHOWER MOVED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS TOWARDS THE CITY OF SOUTH BEND IT ENCOUNTERED A RESIDUAL OUTFLOW FROM A PREVIOUS STORM EARLIER IN THE EVENING. THIS ADDITIONAL LOW LEVEL FORCING ALLOWED THE STORM TO PRODUCE A BRIEF TORNADO WHICH FORMED SOUTH OF U.S. HIGHWAY 20 THEN MOVED NORTH BEFORE LIFTING JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE INTERSECTION OF IRONWOOD DRIVE AND INWOOD ROAD. .SOUTH BEND TORNADO... RATING: EF - 2 ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 115 - 125 MPH PATH LENGTH /STATUTE/: 2 MILES PATH WIDTH /MAXIMUM/: 200 YARDS FATALITIES: 0 INJURIES: 0 START DATE: JUN 23 2019 START TIME: 838 PM EDT START LOCATION: 2 ENE GULIVOIRE PARK START LAT/LON: 41.6211 / -862140 END DATE: JUN 23 2019 END TIME: 848 PM EDT END LOCATION: 3 WSW MISHAWAKA END_LAT/LON: 41.6501 / -86.2124 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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