Torch Tiger Posted April 11, 2019 Author Share Posted April 11, 2019 Cutter city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 Good. The more these cut the more the forcing zips northward and spares NNE the worst scenarios. I may actually warm sector now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 As we discussed. A mild to at times warm rest of the month overall . Assured to finish AN. Overall a very nice Napril Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 34 minutes ago, dendrite said: Good. The more these cut the more the forcing zips northward and spares NNE the worst scenarios. I may actually warm sector now. Not Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: As we discussed. A mild to at times warm rest of the month overall . Assured to finish AN. Overall a very nice Napril Not so sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not so sure. After Monday where warm sector looks like pike south.. next week looks 60-65 Tu- Th and then bigger warmth late week / weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not Monday And not really the one after it either. Although that one obviously has more time to change. Difficult to get away with minimal rain when the BZ is draped along the Eastern CONUS and strongly meridional flow, just waiting for another surface low to develop in its wake... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 Pope! Days away, but is Monday a total wash or off and on rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 April looks cool and damp to me with occasional warm days. I really would like to dry things out for a week but doesn't look like that's in the cards right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Not so sure. Well the goofus has backed off on the bd here for a couple runs now. When in doubt I usually lean bd, but I think there’s a nonzero chance I break into the warm sector for some length of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Well the goofus has backed off on the bd here for a couple runs now. When in doubt I usually lean bd, but I think there’s a nonzero chance I break into the warm sector for some length of time. Oh I just mean Monday. Later next weeek sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 That pink glow of thunder snow in Nebraska 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 9 hours ago, dendrite said: That's Randy in Valentine. The guy is a total observing weenie like me. He posts a lot over at the wx station forum at wxforum.net. We were playing around with the different Sensirion sensors last year. Nice site, you should make one similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: As we discussed. A mild to at times warm rest of the month overall . Assured to finish AN. Overall a very nice Napril Basing off GFS op runs? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Basing off GFS op runs? Pattern recognition and the ever present SE ridge which is why all these storms are cutting way NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 45 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: April looks cool and damp to me with occasional warm days. I really would like to dry things out for a week but doesn't look like that's in the cards right now. Wet then a mild day Pete Repete Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Pattern recognition and the ever present SE ridge which is why all these storms are cutting way NW Wet and wild, Saturday looks awesome, we burn today. Branches and leaf pile is huge soon to be ash mixed into the garden soil. Hopefully we can green up this next couple of weeks. You are lucky you are not running the Marathon, multiple hypothermic peeps again this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Wet and wild, Saturday looks awesome, we burn today. Branches and leaf pile is huge soon to be ash mixed into the garden soil. Hopefully we can green up this next couple of weeks. You are lucky you are not running the Marathon, multiple hypothermic peeps again this year. I ran one like that in HFD a few years ago. 44 and rain the whole time. Coldest I’ve ever been. Took hours to get warm afterwards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Oh I just mean Monday. Later next weeek sure. I meant Monday?? Is the euro a lot more pessimistic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 Although looking at the goofus a little closer it’s pretty easy to see how that warm sector fails. You can see how that sfc reflection will want to tickle south of us. That’s what happens when you do a quick DIT look in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 Subtle tone shift ... cool back to warm, back to cool, vacillating in the tenor of the runs. Last night's rendition came across as slightly warmer panache overall compared to the previous cycle. Until I see a convincing continuity-trend that is definitive towards a warmer turn I got to go with climo and just assume that April is going to be probably be more annoying on the balance? But there may be some days that are relatively mild like Saturday and possibly even Monday if that warm sector penetrates but we're still dealing with cold back sides Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nice site, you should make one similar Not enough time or motivation to work on that. One of these days I’ll improve it. As long as the data is up there I’m fine with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Although looking at the goofus a little closer it’s pretty easy to see how that warm sector fails. You can see how that sfc reflection will want to tickle south of us. That’s what happens when you do a quick DIT look in the morning. Lol, April snow cover gonna be a playa in some way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Not enough time or motivation to work on that. One of these days I’ll improve it. As long as the data is up there I’m fine with it. Yea I agree, wait until you retire. I bookmarked it though so much easy data access. Really well designed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol, April snow cover gonna be a playa in some way A lot of that south of the mtns will be gone, but yeah. We’ll CAD either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: Although looking at the goofus a little closer it’s pretty easy to see how that warm sector fails. You can see how that sfc reflection will want to tickle south of us. That’s what happens when you do a quick DIT look in the morning. I’m not even sure I’ll sector until late lol. I think Winni will melt out soon when it warms, but man it’s just locked in still. Pretty amazing. That Emerson Aviation guy weenies out every day and takes to the air to observe ice behavior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 Johns NH dude in Pittsburg might as well be in the Arctic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 11, 2019 Author Share Posted April 11, 2019 What we want is a strong low to cut extremely far west..then hopefully Midwest/central conus trough carves out, allowing for a stalled firehose of higher pwats and parade of waves running along it to train us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: What we want is a strong low to cut extremely far west..then hopefully Midwest/central conus trough carves out, allowing for a stalled firehose of higher pwats and parade of waves running along it to train us. You’re weird. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 11, 2019 Share Posted April 11, 2019 Hopefully we can cut them right through MI so we can frolic in sun and tulips. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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