Typhoon Tip Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said: Looking out east from my backyard, hell is trying its hardest to ooze over the spine of the Greens. I bet if you traversed that dale and 'felt' the spilling residue off that evaporating shit stain it would feel like wafts of cool air mixing with fair spring - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euros got 75-80 Saturday . Boobs and bikinis bouncing left and right . Too and fro Friday looks like a torch too. I’d put money on widespread 70’s. Thurs also looks good by early spring standards —HP overhead, 50’s/60’s for most. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 PSF 55, ORH 33. West of the spine things are fine while to the east we whine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 Agreed ... and most machine -based numbers are likely too cool at this time range, given a Euro-esque synoptic evolution. I saw a bar-graph product with 52 F everywhere east of ALB with that look on Friday... it was almost like the model has an echo of today's plague super-imposed over a warmer look. interesting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 18 hours ago, OceanStWx said: I mean those are basically the reasons right there. Models have broad high QPF biases in winter (QPF is typically much narrower than models depict) and modeled ratios are pretty routinely poor. Combine the two and it's easy to bust high on a snow forecast. I mean I can't argue that GYX has a high snowfall bias, the numbers bear that out season after season. In Eastern Region there are four offices that over a last season (17-18) had observed snow greater than forecast snow (three are in VA, the other DTX). GYX and BOX were pretty far and away the worst offenders for forecast > obs. LE yesterday was 0.52", if not a bullseye, at least it was in the black. Mid-levels too mild for nice dendrites, so ratio of 7.6. (This season has the lowest average ratio for snowfalls 2"+ of any I've measured.) Make that ratio 10 or 12 and we'd have been right in the forecast range. Another WVL visit - post op check went fine - before scooting from home to here in Augusta. Roads home-WVL and back were worse than yesterday, with packed icy stuff. Also, no flakes flying so folks were driving 10-15 mph faster than yesterday - seems like what's in the air is more important than what's on the road. Temp struggling toward the freezing mark more than I'd expected; maybe affecting this evening's accumulation? Doesn't look like the mtns did as well as frcst. East was best. Saw 6" from Belmont (just inland from Belfast) and 7" from Surry, plus a number of other +/-6" reports from east of Penobscot Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 29.5F brightly overcast, ceiling just over my fanny at 1300 feet Doesn't matter to anyone on these boards but maybe Alex and me in NH and the Maine guys but GFS ticks colder. 850 0F line barely to my NE this afternoon, 925 is south. Maybe a burst of snow later this PM. Just need my 1" to hit my 100" Edit: Snow grains have started 12pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 LOL @ OES right now in PWM in April while 200 miles west there's thunderstorms popping off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 Where's Wiz? Out by Albany for this squall line? Should be cool to watch line transition from rain to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 26 minutes ago, tunafish said: LOL @ OES right now in PWM in April while 200 miles west there's thunderstorms popping off. Watching it snow in my cube. this weather is just dumb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 Pounding ZR in far upstate NY...MSS to PBG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 Another day of cold sleet mixed with rain in town. Straight up ZR at the ski resort. I mean you can't come up with amore miserable day for April 9th than this at 1pm with freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 30.4F Light snow Vis 1 mile. Nothing showing on radar but snow grains started 2 hours ago. Waxed and waned but now flakage has morphed into light snow. Coming down at a pretty good clip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 It's closing in on the blanket of shit ... Any takers on who wins? either this frontal slice about to cut in outta eastern NY/PA scours, or... it rides over top. It's an interesting battle as the visible imagery clearly shows an active westward trajectory of polar/maritime air is unrelentingly piling this useless death cold saturation into the region, yet there is an equally defined eastward trajectory about to directly impinge into it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 Can tell it's snowing at home too on cam. 32.9F there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 Bring it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 30.4F Light to Moderate snow vis 1/2 mile. Crazy this is all below radar heavy echoes still in Vermont Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 Just now, wxeyeNH said: 30.4F Moderate snow vis 1/2 mile. Crazy this is all below radar heavy echoes still in Vermont Rain mixed with rock candy at 750ft here. Like literally chunks of ice in the heavier echoes. Just don't have the mid-level temps you guys do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 10 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: 30.4F Light to Moderate snow vis 1/2 mile. Crazy this is all below radar heavy echoes still in Vermont You may get some pretty wild conditions briefly in a couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 13 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: 30.4F Light to Moderate snow vis 1/2 mile. Crazy this is all below radar heavy echoes still in Vermont not even the same mechanics driving either ... You're likely generating some snow growth in the top of the inversion level... Probably clear not more than 200 mb over head. That stuff VT/NY is associate with synoptic wedge along the occluded/cold fropa.. When the two collocate you may actually produce both for a brief time but it's likely the column will just get disrupted - who knows what falls out of that stuff as it is residual comes through but if the top of the inversion and the bottom of that elevated instability are both below 0C it'll probably snow ..or even rarely, snow/hail mixture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 49 minutes ago, dryslot said: Bring it oh brother Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: oh brother Savor it, Its probably the last of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 If the euro is right, everything rapidly melts starting this weekend. We flood. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 Moderate snow here in St. Johnsbvury at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, klw said: Moderate snow here in St. Johnsbvury at the moment And back to sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 30.3F Light snow but sky is getting much darker as heavy echoes get close. Have no idea what the next 2 hours will bring. Will be fascinating to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If the euro is right, everything rapidly melts starting this weekend. We flood. Been noticing increasing occurrences of SE ridging in general ...at times more modest, but persistent positive heights from Texas to Bermuda and points S a.k.a.... "se ridging" ... sometimes more obvious than others but sometimes the ensuing seasons foundation sort of sets table that way. Wondering about the summer if we start see that reloading at the base-line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 wow..no kidding... That D8-9 return bulge is actually 80s .... real 80s. Not just that Kevin kind.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 9, 2019 Author Share Posted April 9, 2019 Powerful cutter on the Euro, what a meltdown en route. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 995mb cutter, Stay safe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 9, 2019 Share Posted April 9, 2019 32.3° with light snow grains. Pretty wintry here on the hillside...looked more wet in town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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