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April Discussion


Torch Tiger
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2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

You’ll wedge 

You won't be able to penetrate his hee-haw donkey schtic with reason ... buuut, the 'wedge' wasn't supposed to make it to CT until after 21 z this evening, anyway. 

As far as the excerpt ...who knows what redacted form that is, that he has pulled out of some other total context for the purpose of dishonesty ( ...in the first place..) but if the source really meant that in whole, they're likely wrong on the temperature before the wedge even arrives because looking around at sat and surface obs and considering the synopsis ...not sure where they're getting 60+ in HFD from now until the timing of the BD/cold push .... 

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4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

You won't be able to penetrate his hee-haw donkey schtic with reason ... buuut, the 'wedge' wasn't supposed to make it to CT until after 21 z this evening, anyway. 

As far as the excerpt ...who knows what redacted form that is, that he has pulled out of some other total context for the purpose of dishonesty ( ...in the first place..) but if the source really meant that in whole, they're likely wrong on the temperature before the wedge even arrives because looking around at sat and surface obs and considering the synopsis ...not sure where they're getting 60+ in HFD from now until the timing of the BD/cold push .... 

Your NWS office. Morning AFD. Read it before making obtuse donkey esque comments. 

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Light-mod snow, less than 1" (more like 1/2) and upper 20s.  Heading for the eyecare center in WVL in 20-30 minutes - hoping roads are more wet than white (or gray-ish) as there's no way between here and there that doesn't involve some dodgy road sections. 

You should have consulted a forecaster...............lol

No way my wife was canceling her 2nd eye getting fixed - one good/one uncorrected since cataract #1 has made life difficult for her.

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The differences between the GFS and NAM for tomorrow across a good part of the Northeast (especially NJ and PA) are highly irritating...both with temperatures and wind direction/speed. One example is Allentown, PA. NAM has upper 50's and GFS gets into the lower 70's. Euro is siding with the GFS. Winds are insane...GFS brings them more SW (so better mixing) while NAM keeps them more SE and GFS with the mixing has winds 15-20 with gusts 30-40 mph :lol: RPM seems to hedge more towards GFS too. 

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35 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

The differences between the GFS and NAM for tomorrow across a good part of the Northeast (especially NJ and PA) are highly irritating...both with temperatures and wind direction/speed. One example is Allentown, PA. NAM has upper 50's and GFS gets into the lower 70's. Euro is siding with the GFS. Winds are insane...GFS brings them more SW (so better mixing) while NAM keeps them more SE and GFS with the mixing has winds 15-20 with gusts 30-40 mph :lol: RPM seems to hedge more towards GFS too. 

In theory ... it's suppose to be that way operationally ...and work out that the NAM would be better. 

That's theory ... 

In practice, perhaps not so much :) 

The NAM is for whatever reason, not equal to the task doing it's part. 

But the basic philosophy is the the NAM's superior low level resolution would be better, as it would be able to see the BL cold loading more proficiently that even the Euro... which would be superior to the GFS in its own rites... 

However, as we know .. .the NAM can sometimes just not work... oy

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