CoastalWx Posted March 26, 2019 Share Posted March 26, 2019 Man what a little nuke offshore on the gfs next week. If only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 26, 2019 Share Posted March 26, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Man what a little nuke offshore on the gfs next week. If only. Just saw that There is a nice CAD signal... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 26, 2019 Share Posted March 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Just saw that There is a nice CAD signal... Flow is progressive even though it’s showing the classic spring wavelength cutoff look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 26, 2019 Share Posted March 26, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Flow is progressive even though it’s showing the classic spring wavelength cutoff look. Yeah it's kinda tough to envision such a scenario to happen given the flow. Perhaps something crazy happens but a this point just bring in 50's and 60's. There is probably a decent shot at a northern Plains snowfall event that week which for their sake hopefully doesn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 26, 2019 Author Share Posted March 26, 2019 On 3/24/2019 at 4:53 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Not with +++ AO , NAO and neutral PNA Cutoff season, though. We all hope if something does develop, it stays well southeast and offshore...at worst some raw east winds for a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 26, 2019 Share Posted March 26, 2019 9 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: Cutoff season, though. We all hope if something does develop, it stays well southeast and offshore...at worst some raw east winds for a few days. Absolutely . Raw east winds are the best . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 26, 2019 Share Posted March 26, 2019 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Man what a little nuke offshore on the gfs next week. If only. I like how it has pellets at PF with 80 for Keven way out there in la-la land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 26, 2019 Author Share Posted March 26, 2019 14 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Absolutely . Raw east winds are the best . we get the dews up at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 26, 2019 Share Posted March 26, 2019 It's funny cuz the GGEM with it's typical curl bias in the mid ..ext ranges, has that long gone by 200 hours by the GFS ...with it's w-e stretching bias is the one that curls it up and holds it there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 26, 2019 Share Posted March 26, 2019 Just checkin' out the GFS ensemble members re that 200 hour west Atlantic climo low ... yeah, there's some signature there from other members. Some keep it more involved with the intermediate stream an open wave, while others sever it off similarly to the operational run ... drifting it slowly ESE out there to stir up cruise passenger vertigo ... Thing is, ...it's part of the relaxed flow which makes it less predictable in the first place and part of that is whether it'll even exist - could just as well be manufactured out out of R-wave distilling in the run from having 'nothing there for too long' ...sorta Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 26, 2019 Author Share Posted March 26, 2019 Bang bang Sunday through Tuesday... Cold front moves through on Sunday. Totals will be around 50 with a noticeable theta-e ridge. PW values will be around 1 inch. Expecting convection with a good supply of moisture. Potential for thunder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 26, 2019 Share Posted March 26, 2019 2 hours ago, Dr. Dews said: Bang bang Sunday through Tuesday... Cold front moves through on Sunday. Totals will be around 50 with a noticeable theta-e ridge. PW values will be around 1 inch. Expecting convection with a good supply of moisture. Potential for thunder. mentioned that somewhere. Was going to start a thread but figured to wait a few days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 27, 2019 Author Share Posted March 27, 2019 http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/AVN_18z/avn108.html http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/AVN_18z/avn114.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 27, 2019 Share Posted March 27, 2019 Oh GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 27, 2019 Author Share Posted March 27, 2019 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Oh GFS. Hopefully that pesky coastal disappears in future runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 27, 2019 Share Posted March 27, 2019 8 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: Hopefully that pesky coastal disappears in future runs. Hopefully it turns into a 4/97 and 4/82 combo. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 27, 2019 Author Share Posted March 27, 2019 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hopefully it turns into a 4/97 and 4/82 combo. I have had an eye on this period, there's some ensemble support but its really threading the needle. Particularly for a KU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 27, 2019 Share Posted March 27, 2019 4 hours ago, Dr. Dews said: I have had an eye on this period, there's some ensemble support but its really threading the needle. Particularly for a KU Anything in April is threading the needle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 27, 2019 Author Share Posted March 27, 2019 4 hours ago, moneypitmike said: Anything in April is threading the needle. The eye of the needle on this one is particularly small Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 27, 2019 Share Posted March 27, 2019 26 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: The eye of the needle on this one is particularly small They're always small in Early April and early November.... Bring the spring weather...60 and some Sun please... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 27, 2019 Share Posted March 27, 2019 February rain brings March showers which brings April drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 27, 2019 Author Share Posted March 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, Albert A Clipper said: April showers bring May flowers... Lock it Best part is how that little low explodes right as the model truncated to more coarse grid space Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 27, 2019 Author Share Posted March 27, 2019 April drizzle brings May fizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 27, 2019 Author Share Posted March 27, 2019 NOGAPS is a nuke, better hope some of that is snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 28, 2019 Share Posted March 28, 2019 50/50 chance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 28, 2019 Author Share Posted March 28, 2019 Huge hit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 28, 2019 Author Share Posted March 28, 2019 Not for us, thankfully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 28, 2019 Share Posted March 28, 2019 Just now, Dr. Dews said: Not for us, thankfully. 6Z GFS and the new GFS were really close. Probably wont happen but still need to keep a eye on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 28, 2019 Share Posted March 28, 2019 2 hours ago, ineedsnow said: 6Z GFS and the new GFS were really close. Probably wont happen but still need to keep a eye on it No, you really don't. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 28, 2019 Author Share Posted March 28, 2019 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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