HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 GFS is cool and damp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 21 minutes ago, dendrite said: Backdoors with precip generally verify colder than gfs progs. I wish we could just keep it BN and dry. I hope we get a BDCF this summer like June 20th, 1995...or maybe it was the 23rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I hope we get a BDCF this summer like June 20th, 1995...or maybe it was the 23rd. Hopefully we can give Trumpy more global cooling twitter material by celebrating the USA’s b’day with another 7/4/92. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Hopefully we can give Trumpy more global cooling twitter material by celebrating the USA’s b’day with another 7/4/92. I think he would lose his wig Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 1 hour ago, dendrite said: It still tries to hit me up here with ZR to RA and the backdoor is stubborn down to the pike. Pike-south is warmer, but congrats on 50s and rain. It also tries to form a little mesolow over E MA. idk...if this was winter we'd be talking about locking in the cold for most of SNE with that. Yeah... this look over all may be 38 vs 32 ...ha... so, okay - 'relatively' speaking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 So long as that -NAO is for real ... as in fated in destiny here ... that EPS solution can go south and in fact is arguable as a correction. ( speaking 180 -216 hrs depending on which member but also in the means...) Same true for the GFS ... there are several members that offer up the more -NAO/correlated Miller B potential ... It can happen with a Lake cutter/smear hybrid low in a -NAO ...particularly in the onset frames of the index crash.. .because often times the blocking associated with the -NAO is in the process of being displaced westward at higher latitude... and the would-be Lakes cyclone is not yet responding to its exertion on wave spacing... But that's the smear ...what happens is, the Lake low merely gets to a slightly higher latitude before ending as an intense boundary with waves running out along the upper M/A ... flopping overrunning gunk over us.. That's no warm pattern next week in the least. Yuck. So some part of this is NAO timing from what I'm seeing. The Euro backed off the most...it's Lakes cyclone is the farthest N... Well to know we're beyond that models performance window so there's that too.. The models that have more NAO coming west sooner end up more Miller B among those various members of the GEF and probably the EPS ones, as well. As far as the nearer icing laugher runs ...that still comes down to whether the back-log forcing gets going earlier. Even if that doesn't happen... I agree with JB and Brian that the BL is going to be colder in this look as a standard correction - matter of how much.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 4, 2019 Author Share Posted April 4, 2019 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Upcoming pattern That image looks like straight outta Camden 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 4, 2019 Author Share Posted April 4, 2019 35 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I hope we get a BDCF this summer like June 20th, 1995...or maybe it was the 23rd. Yes 6/20/95 one of the high points in all of our wx lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 38 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I hope we get a BDCF this summer like June 20th, 1995...or maybe it was the 23rd. https://www.nbcconnecticut.com/weather/stories/Remembering-the-1995-Hail-Storm-429786873.html Wiz would probably be either working or have something come up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 1 hour ago, yoda said: https://www.nbcconnecticut.com/weather/stories/Remembering-the-1995-Hail-Storm-429786873.html Wiz would probably be either working or have something come up Nope not anymore Only work until 3:00 now so I should have ample opportunity to chase and I'll be taking a week off the first week of June as soon as benefits kick in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Wow, upcoming 2-3 weeks look horrid for the most part for any type of decent spring weather. If we can't get anything decent...here's to hoping this Big -NAO can force something somewhat exciting/wild with regard to weather into our area/SNE. Cuz if not...it's looking pretty bad otherwise(damp/grey/cold), a real Ratter early Spring look to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 1 hour ago, Dr. Dews said: Yes 6/20/95 one of the high points in all of our wx lives. One of the most classic supercells I've seen in SNE on radar, trumped only by Brimfield 6/1/11. Interesting north to south motion too along the cold front. EML day with 70 dews and temps in the 90s. Just so rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Let's not forget...last year had the same exact thing...a crumby, horrible, and brutal April...and then we quickly flipped a switch as we entered May. We had a nice thunderstorm event on the 10th, the outbreak on the 15th, and then nothing but heat and high dews. Let April be crummy...we know what's on the horizon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Just an extension of this winter's cosmic dildo inserted into spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Wow, upcoming 2-3 weeks look horrid for the most part for any type of decent spring weather. If we can't get anything decent...here's to hoping this Big -NAO can force something somewhat exciting/wild with regard to weather into our area/SNE. Cuz if not...it's looking pretty bad otherwise(damp/grey/cold), a real Ratter early Spring look to it. Your post is going to send someone off of the deep end...…... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 17 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Wow, upcoming 2-3 weeks look horrid for the most part for any type of decent spring weather. If we can't get anything decent...here's to hoping this Big -NAO can force something somewhat exciting/wild with regard to weather into our area/SNE. Cuz if not...it's looking pretty bad otherwise(damp/grey/cold), a real Ratter early Spring spring thru the end of July while we spin yarn over storms of lore to fill the mind-numbing soul killing cruelty of this hell hole planetary geography known as New England look to it. mm hm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 The signal for a (not so) low-topped squall line has popped back up for Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Couple solid to large snow events SNE next week and week after 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Couple solid to large snow events SNE next week and week after Nope ... next guess - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Nope ... next guess - Ha,,Couple solid snow events C/NNE next week and the week after?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Just now, wxeyeNH said: Ha,,Couple solid snow events C/NNE next week and the week after?? well ... just off the top of my head .. I'd have to guess, "...solid shit, period... until you have all but given up on this hobby for pure unfairness and futility...only then do things change"... couple 'o chances of that -sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Nope ... next guess - Most folks here are planning on a few larger events . May even be Grid issues regionally 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Another nice day here in Enfield. Sunny and 54F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Most folks here are planning on a few larger events . May even be Grid issues regionally Like yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 2 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Another nice day here in Enfield. Sunny and 54F. Yes sir...today is decent here too. We take. As long as the sun is out and the wind is light it's ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Actually ..in all seriousness Saturday isn't too bad ... light winds after morning murk peels away...850s supporting mid 60s - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 The Euro/GFS are pretty intriguing for what could be a pretty impressive blizzard across parts of the northern Pains and upper-Midwest next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Fire red flag warnings here, but my soil is nice and moist and easy to work. No hardpack. Wind still bringing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Fire red flag warnings here, but my soil is nice and moist and easy to work. No hardpack. Wind still bringing it. Any woods or trees engulfed in flames? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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