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April Discussion


Torch Tiger
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Don't have much experience with the off mains Euro cycles. ... if they should be  treated like just another ensemble member, similar to the GFS' but the 18 Z Euro and NAM going opposite directions at 36 hours lead is what it is I guess somethings

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3 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

6z NAM came back west

It didn't actually ...  The expanse of the CCB/arc of precipitation shield over the NW quadrant is a bit more west, but the low its self is if anything merely more progressive (faster) along the same track alignment.. 

Which .. to sensible weather interests, what's the difference? If that's all one care's about, nuances in layout structure don't matter.  You only care about what if anything is falling from the sky and/or kited along by how much wind and at what temperature ... yadda yadda.  Agreed.. 

On whole, folks should keep in mind that this thing is really hauling ass.. Even if it were a direct hit... it's a 6 hour nor'easter ...maybe 9 but it would be limited for impact in the best case scenario, with some lost on the edge hours due to marginal thermal plumb - 

Tendency to over imagine what this "could be" in between the sentences of these posts... 

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