Torch Tiger Posted March 30, 2019 Author Share Posted March 30, 2019 37 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Thursday maybe nice if that misses, but overall not spring like. That's not the spirit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 Just now, Dr. Dews said: That's not the spirit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 Please, noSent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 Torch!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 9 hours ago, OceanStWx said: Can see a little rope cloud on the leading edge of the backdoor front. So that's fun. Enjoy the warm day down in SNE. You were kidding right ... ? nah, heh ... BD 'ill be in Trenton NJ by lunchtime - we ain't gettin' no 'warm day' ... This was bustin' from the get-go, less we collectively were dumb-down to mouth breathers, negating all aspects of both experience and education in such matters... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 I think many areas even north of pike will warm up after 2-3pm. South of pike looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 You can see it retreating around the Pike on vis...not that it will do me any good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 That area north of TAN-PVD-OXC may make a run at 65-70 if we can get enough sun. Tough to say what the clouds will do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That area north of TAN-PVD-OXC may make a run at 65-70 if we can get enough sun. Tough to say what the clouds will do. What is Tip talking about? Suns coming out here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: What is Tip talking about? Suns coming out here now It will take time north of pike, but south of pike should be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: It will take time north of pike, but south of pike should be fine. Sun coming out here right on the pike . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It will take time north of pike, but south of pike should be fine. BD down to TTN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 Granted some annoyance motivated that word choice to Chris buuut... sufficed it is to say (and I've opined/commiserated this amply in the past...), if there is a BD anywhere on the map around New England from ...circa April 1 to almost July ... the planet Mercury fails to warm sector on the side that is tidally locked toward the sun too - that's right ... so bad, it f*'s that other planet's warm day up... ha. It's called hyperbole Kevin - Although... there does seem to be needed a standing perfunctory correction ... There is no model or technology capable of [ apparently ] correctly positioning that particularly type of low level feature, BD frontal movement, in space and time, out in space and time.... None. And that includes the Euro. Some do better than others.. sure, but none really master that. I tell you what ... as an [ apparently ] successful Science Fiction author, I almost would suggest that there is something beyond mere Ekman uncertainty and planetary/atmospheric surface drag obscuring, that is really doing that. I've seen a lot of Euro runs in the past ... 10 years really, where the model has closed tiny pockets of 0 C 850 mb air lingering over the surface E of the cordillera (roughly WV-W. Maine) - anything east of that axis... and that is despite 12 solid hours of having veered the winds around to the SW with no apparent countering shear - ie., unidirectional in the vertical. So ...how...why? It almost seems there is an electrostatic "cling" effect - perhaps related to thermal absorption that adds an additional weighting to retarding warm ... when added, draws BDs SW from an additional kind of previously unknown vector. Hey... lightning can kill a golfer on the 8th hole of Lake Valley Club out side of Boulder Colorado from a vaguely visible horizon CB ..50 miles yonder in one of these bolt from the blue deals... There can be some sort of cling/static effect between the atmospheres and the Earth below ... But we're spit-ballin' for fun here. Whatever the cause in reality, fronts CAN'T be assessed properly when they start moving SW under their own momentum ... in a positive static stability sounding (that's where warm is over cold below)... The only time that busts warm is if the front doesn't really exist - I've seen the models create faux BD in the mid range ...whole 'nother headache. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 30, 2019 Author Share Posted March 30, 2019 39 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Torch!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 15 minutes ago, dendrite said: You can see it retreating around the Pike on vis...not that it will do me any good. that's a good idear Brian... heh, I was so interested in castigating the entire day for this shit that I just leaped at the opportunity to do so ... auto assessing the boundary as wrapping three times around the planet if for no other reason, to bust anyone [personally] that looked forward to a warm day ...ha But hi res vis imagery/sat in general can help elucidate... I will add, the boundary will be south and west of BD cloud edges by some... but if it is truly retreating... we'll see.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 Tip, electrostatic "cling" effect is in full effect so far 36.7F dark overcast miserable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 5 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: Mm... Read the graph ... don't respond to pretty colors... Those are modest warm anomalies? Those contours suggest that region is ~ 100 meters warmer than normal... That's 10 DM ... or the arbitrary difference between 540 to 550 ... 570 to 580...etc. In other words, very modest on an actual daily chart if even noticeable. Now, ....the word "torch" is obviously subjective... Maybe he thinks of that as a torch - okay... But, I don't think honestly that's what he had in mind - if he had anything in mind at all... No, as usual.. .he saw that orange ball and impulsively voted for Trump. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 47ASH clouds back in, who knows....like scott said maybe late pm? just had a brief bout of drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 Pretty colors at H5 don’t always mean torch in early Spring. Beware the BDCF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Mm... Read the graph ... don't respond to pretty colors... Those are modest warm anomalies? Those contours suggest that region is ~ 100 meters warmer than normal... That's 10 DM ... or the arbitrary difference between 540 to 550 ... 570 to 580...etc. In other words, very modest on an actual daily chart if even noticeable. Now, ....the word "torch" is obviously subjective... Maybe he thinks of that as a torch - okay... But, I don't think honestly that's what he had in mind - if he had anything in mind at all... No, as usual.. .he saw that orange ball and impulsively voted for Trump. Great Post!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Great Post!!!!! Ha ha... ...I'm sure he's seething - ... my purpose is served.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Ha ha... ...I'm sure he's seething - ... my purpose is served.. I have no doubt that he is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 30, 2019 Author Share Posted March 30, 2019 44 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Mm... Read the graph ... don't respond to pretty colors... Those are modest warm anomalies? Those contours suggest that region is ~ 100 meters warmer than normal... That's 10 DM ... or the arbitrary difference between 540 to 550 ... 570 to 580...etc. In other words, very modest on an actual daily chart if even noticeable. Now, ....the word "torch" is obviously subjective... Maybe he thinks of that as a torch - okay... But, I don't think honestly that's what he had in mind - if he had anything in mind at all... No, as usual.. .he saw that orange ball and impulsively voted for Trump. Eh..looks fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 21 minutes ago, Albert A Clipper said: Shhh..dr dews acts like he knows more than he leads on....hasn’t been right yet since he started posting. He sets his alarm in 3 hour increments and lives aNd breathes off each model run, stick a forky fork in him, he’s done... Heh... there's humiliating Kevin... okay - but this looks a little like a personal sniper fire... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 ...this is the front regardless of the sun coming out and the clouds peeling away... Maybe this erodes during the day - and in fact... models are suggesting it does.. we'll see, but, if anything it hearkens to the shallow nature of this BD air mass... It's hard to imagine that can really happen with that 1028 fatty sitting up there over NE Maine but that feature's bodily moving away in these guidance that I don't trust - ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 12z NAM hmmm.. I know its the NAM but that's a good look.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 30, 2019 Author Share Posted March 30, 2019 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 12z NAM hmmm.. I know its the NAM but that's a good look.. Are you talking about the coastal that probably gets kicked out? NAM looks progressive to me, though beyond its wheelhouse by hr 84 and extrapolating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: Are you talking about the coastal that probably gets kicked out? NAM looks progressive to me, though beyond its wheelhouse by hr 84 and extrapolating. Icon grazes move that 75 miles west and were in business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2019 Share Posted March 30, 2019 29 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Icon grazes move that 75 miles west and were in business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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