Whineminster Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 12 to 18" can go up from there if needed??? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 What is it with the GFS sniffing out the coastals first now and Euro playing catch-up? Couple x in a row now . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What is it with the GFS sniffing out the coastals first now and Euro playing catch-up? Couple x in a row now . It can sniff dog ass as far as I am concerned beyond 5-6 days out. It's inside 3 days that matters. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 The plunge in the AO over the next few days makes the day 5 disturbance more interesting imo. It increases the chances of phasing with the northern stream...If I can recall, the March 16, 2017 snowstorm and last year’s BN early spring weather coincided with -AO. An ots track looks least likely given the longwave pattern and a -AO, -PNA. Wouldn’t bet against this coming further north/west and more wound up over time. Rain/snow is an entirely different matter this time of year... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 29, 2019 Author Share Posted March 29, 2019 Wèenies 'gon ween Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 2 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: Wèenies 'gon ween Where? You came on scene as a dick 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 29, 2019 Author Share Posted March 29, 2019 47 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: yeah you can see it quite well hovering over the 3-hr intervals. Amplification was also occurring much more rapidly and H5 closed off in a prime location Yeah, caution flags. It all comes down to dynamics and maturation of the low. A great track could still result in a relative dud so to speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 29, 2019 Author Share Posted March 29, 2019 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Where? You came on scene as a dick I know nothing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 Where? You came on scene as a dickLolSent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 Just a storm to prolong mud season. Disappointing as things were drying out quite nicely. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 When I lived up north, the meme was, "April snow makes the pack melt faster." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 If it's still there in 2 days then we'll talk. Most likely it ends up as something non-interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masonwoods Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 13 hours ago, Dr. Dews said: What a great LR pattern on the 18z gfs. Warmer with dews, maybe some epic flooding to spice things up, too. Not sure we have the set-up for epic flooding. The snow is gone as far north as Manchester NH and probably to Concord NH. The rivers in Southern NH are running avg or low for this time of year and have the capacity to take on additional rainfall. I'm not sure how high the Connecticut river is running. I would guess any serious flooding would be located in Maine, maybe the Kennebec. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 I'll just be happy for a coastal. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: If it's still there in 2 days then we'll talk. Most likely it ends up as something non-interesting. Ding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I like dinky’s Really ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Really ? Ding! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 I feel like something will be around, but the lack of cold isn't inspiring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 I feel like April is going to suck. Seems like there is a high likelihood for numerous cut-offs in the east. Strong ridging developing out west with strong western Atlantic ridging extending into Greenland. Maybe not many severe opportunities in the south except maybe dryline induced convection...which could be on the active side. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 Maybe it’ll be a true elevation event. But above 1,001 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 Looks like all snow above 1100' and all rain below 900'. Just nuisance snow in between. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I feel like something will be around, but the lack of cold isn't inspiring. I feel like it will take a miracle for areas beneath the latitude of NNE and the elevation of 1000' to see appreciable snow with a waning airmass. For that reason, I'm out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Looks like all snow above 1100' and all rain below 900'. Just nuisance snow in between. Getting to the time of year where we go back to elevation driven for snow just like early season, Not that we can't get any more to sea level, But with a marginal air mass, It becomes much tougher which is fine by me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 It's so close though. Gah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: It's so close though. Gah. If the threat looks reasonable tomorrow, then I'll probably be more interested....espcially if my fantasy team keeps hitting like Kev's daughters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 EPS does have snow in the interior fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 Chose some random years with EML events in the Northeast and the associated 700mb pattern for April. Might not be all that dissimilar to what the pattern may be for this April!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 42 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPS does have snow in the interior fwiw. The airmass is still pretty cold initially at the onset but it erodes quickly....I would have some doubt on how quickly it erodes with a deepening system to our southeast. I'm not going to parse it that closely though at 5.5-6 days out. We'll see what it looks like by tomorrow night. If it's still there and not fish food, then it will be worth dissecting a bit more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2019 Share Posted March 29, 2019 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The airmass is still pretty cold initially at the onset but it erodes quickly....I would have some doubt on how quickly it erodes with a deepening system to our southeast. I'm not going to parse it that closely though at 5.5-6 days out. We'll see what it looks like by tomorrow night. If it's still there and not fish food, then it will be worth dissecting a bit more. Yep. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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