dendrite Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Didn't Cool Spruce pass? I'm not sure. I know he had a major stroke and left the forums after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 22, 2019 Author Share Posted March 22, 2019 Just now, MarkO said: fixed! Ha true. I was saying days ago just issue the warnings for those zones...you don't even have to analyze much. Cyclonic moisture and these bookend season (autumn and spring) storms when more QPF rich air is available...upslope zones gonna crush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 Daughter says it's snowing big fatties at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Ha true. I was saying days ago just issue the warnings for those zones...you don't even have to analyze much. Cyclonic moisture and these bookend season (autumn and spring) storms when more QPF rich air is available...upslope zones gonna crush. True. Seen it countless times since mid 90's when I had a ski house at Sugarbush. Spring storms always seemed to overproduce at elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 36 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said: Are you at base of Stratton with that 6" report at 1900ft? Have 2" here. Literally no accumulation below 900ft, not even on the grass. I would say 8” now above 2500’ and 6ish at 1900’. Yes at Stratton base. We need this ccb to stall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 13 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Easiest forecast out there...the upslope zones were getting crushed. All this spring moisture shoved into the north or northwest mountains....done deal. It's not even upslope yet! Under the TROWAL, dry slot moves overhead and it starts to get convective there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Didn't Cool Spruce pass? I remember his son coming on and reporting that he had a stroke but I don't recall anything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 .63" here so far. All liquid as expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 Just now, OceanStWx said: It's not even upslope yet! Under the TROWAL, dry slot moves overhead and it starts to get convective there. Was this snow today modeled or was it a surprise? Maybe the 00z Nam started picking up on it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Was this snow today modeled or was it a surprise? Maybe the 00z Nam started picking up on it? I didn't really hone in on SNE, but I saw some of the 3km precip algorithms had snow mixing back in across CT as the TROWAL rotated through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: It's not even upslope yet! Under the TROWAL, dry slot moves overhead and it starts to get convective there. The CCB deform was not a done deal in Coos county till models shifted last 24 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 32 minutes ago, mreaves said: Wasn't his son Tracy or something like that? Dick? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 22, 2019 Author Share Posted March 22, 2019 8 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: It's not even upslope yet! Under the TROWAL, dry slot moves overhead and it starts to get convective there. It looked like low level flow veered more northerly...maybe not upslope but you put that northerly flow under easterly flow aloft and that northern slope of the Presidentials is going to rip. Same in VT now... radar just blew up on the western slopes (even BTV down to 1/2sm Snow) with the low level wind swinging more northerly under the NE flow aloft. Not upslope but definitely enhancement? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 22, 2019 Author Share Posted March 22, 2019 MPV ASOS at 1.06" as snow so far. 0.81" in last 6 hours. That's a hefty thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 Have been getting some thin spots in the OVC. Up to 39F with -SHRA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 We Ryan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 14 minutes ago, scoob40 said: .63" here so far. All liquid as expected. I have almost double that precip here. 1.18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It looked like low level flow veered more northerly...maybe not upslope but you put that northerly flow under easterly flow aloft and that northern slope of the Presidentials is going to rip. Same in VT now... radar just blew up on the western slopes (even BTV down to 1/2sm Snow) with the low level wind swinging more northerly under the NE flow aloft. Not upslope but definitely enhancement? That I can buy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Was this snow today modeled or was it a surprise? Maybe the 00z Nam started picking up on it? Potent Arctic short wave pivots along the southern New England coast with comma-head precip overspreading the entire region, intensity peaking around 06z. As cold air advection increases and column cools any rain showers early this evening flips over the snow later this evening and overnight, all areas including Cape Cod and the Islands. In fact the entire region could pickup a coating to an inch or two possible as cross sections reveal most of the lift occurring in the snow growth region, maximizing snowfall potential. Tho with min temps hovering around freezing across eastern MA snow accumulations may be confined to colder/non paved surfaces here. However significant accumulations (4-8") are possible in the upslope regions of the Berkshires (above 1000 ft) and perhaps 1-3" in the Worcester Hills into Tolland county of CT per the Hi Res guidance. Not enough confidence to expand Winter Weather Advisory into the Worcester Hills and northeast CT, but if 12z model guid continues this increased qpf trend an advisory may be needed. As 980 mb low tracks along the ME coast, strong NW winds on the backside of the low overspreads southern New England. As CAA increases low level lapse rates steepen and support NW winds gusting up to 40 mph at times. Strongest winds will be across western MA/CT where gusts up to 45 are possible. If 12z models trend upward with winds may need a wind advisory for western MA/CT tonight. Temps falling into the upper 20s across CT and western-central MA with low 30s in RI and eastern MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 22, 2019 Author Share Posted March 22, 2019 8 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: That I can buy. That's where I think the enhancement helps for seeder feeder....helps make those monster aggregate dendrites. Those things link up and it's like silver dollars. Web cams on west slopes in VT look similar. Flake size looked smaller at Stowe side from what I could see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 24 minutes ago, scoob40 said: .63" here so far. All liquid as expected. Wow. Only .25" up here to your North. I was just thinking how models really over estimated QPF here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 13 minutes ago, dendrite said: Have been getting some thin spots in the OVC. Up to 39F with -SHRA. Brian, I'm up to 35.2F with sprinkles but heavier precip about to move back in from east. When does the column begin to cool for us? Are we about at max warmth right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 22, 2019 Author Share Posted March 22, 2019 Central VT had to get smoked. Hard to get hourly SWE of up to 0.20"/hr at ASOS like MPV so far away from the Atlantic. Hourly reports of: 0.14...0.15...0.20...0.16 is one impressive thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 4 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Brian, I'm up to 35.2F with sprinkles but heavier precip about to move back in from east. When does the column begin to cool for us? Are we about at max warmth right now? MWN has wind from 40 degrees and backing. It's not warming up from here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 Man the water vapor loop from this thing is awesome. I know I sound link Ginx... but definitely NB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 7 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Brian, I'm up to 35.2F with sprinkles but heavier precip about to move back in from east. When does the column begin to cool for us? Are we about at max warmth right now? Temp dropped from high of 34.7 to currently 33.6 in past 40 minutes. Rain/snow back to aggregates, although it's lightened in intensity. It's going to have to drop to freezing to accumulate. Not sure if/when that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Man the water vapor loop from this thing is awesome. I know I sound link Ginx... but definitely NB. Ok so whats wrong with sounding like me? You should be as enthusiastic about your profession as I am, you would be on the Today show getting hit on by teenagers and old people all over the globe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 It’s been ripping non stop for hours now at Stratton. Small flake size so it’s a white out blizzard above 3,000’. Getting into wind hold territory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Ok so whats wrong with sounding like me? You should be as enthusiastic about your profession as I am, you would be on the Today show getting hit on by teenagers and old people all over the globe I'm probably too enthusiastic as it is lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 22, 2019 Share Posted March 22, 2019 Just now, CT Rain said: I'm probably too enthusiastic as it is lol No thats your allure, dont let the bougee bring you down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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