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March 22-23 Storm Thread: Cabins and Pony-Os?


powderfreak
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Well I've got myself one of those fancy WWA's for 4 to 8 inches:

https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=VTZ012&warncounty=VTC027&firewxzone=VTZ012&local_place1=West Norwich VT&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=43.7499&lon=-72.3782#.XJPpAflKhQI

VTZ007-008-010-012-220915-
/O.NEW.KBTV.WW.Y.0017.190322T0600Z-190323T1600Z/
Caledonia-Washington-Orange-Windsor-
Including the cities of St. Johnsbury, Montpelier, Bradford,
Randolph, Springfield, and White River Junction
306 PM EDT Thu Mar 21 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO NOON EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches
  expected. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Caledonia, Washington, Orange and Windsor Counties.

* WHEN...Snow will move into the advisory area around midnight
  and becomes moderate to heavy for a brief period early Friday
  morning before tapering to a light mix of rain and snow by noon.
  Moderate snow then redevelops after sunset Friday with
  additional accumulations through Saturday morning.

 

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8 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said:

I know it's not in our sub-forum but the models are now consistently showing Malone, NY and areas just south, as the synoptic jack for this storm. Most models are showing 2'+ in that area.

With the storm tracks that we've seen this year, a lot of places inland are seeing jacks this year that we haven't seen in a while.

I see that area is still being kinda risky as if that mid level banding doesn’t establish itself so far NW then they could see half that 

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nam depiction is sort of what I was posting about last couple hours . Slower deeper system that’s taking its time to climb in latitude and instead of tracking toward NE NJ it’s sorta makes it to ACY then NE 

NE elevations of PA over to Hunter MTN and Berkshire’s  Monads are not out of the game w synoptic snows . 

I don’t kno that there is any meteorological reason this could trend slower and deeper and east but If nam shifted another 50 miles SE it would be go time for many more thou unlikely 

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Just now, MarkO said:

NAM crushes VT. Only a few inch for me. GYX not feeling the love below 4k'. Only an inch or two below that and most of it washed away Friday. I think that's a big bust potential considering the colder trend.

Agreed prolly big bust potential thou if 0z models come on board with latest indicators that forecast will change 

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