powderfreak Posted March 21, 2019 Author Share Posted March 21, 2019 17 minutes ago, dendrite said: Got the H7 RH somewhere in the 24-30hr period? 24 isn't showing up for some reason but here's 30: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Man those west side slopes in the hill towns off the spine look sick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Obviously nrn dacks smoked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Man those west side slopes in the hill towns off the spine look sick A place like even Pittsfield MA could get warning snows off of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: A place like even Pittsfield MA could get warning snows off of this. Oh yeah sure. Maybe NW CT too for 6? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 24 minutes ago, dryslot said: Any chance you got Connecticut around 12z tomorrow? I have a morning flight out of Bradley and I’m hoping it won’t be raining by then lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 24 isn't showing up for some reason but here's 30: lol..supersaturation in that deformation delight. Monster growth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 30 minutes ago, powderfreak said: All snow up here in the elevations on that run. 30" at Jay? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Just now, Sn0waddict said: Any chance you got Connecticut around 12z tomorrow? I have a morning flight out of Bradley and I’m hoping it won’t be raining by then lol. I think PF posted the NE at hr30 above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Seems That mid level track and intensity is key to those in VT and C/NNH outside of upslope spine and that still has some wiggle room that could impact some in a big way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: I think PF posted the NE at hr30 above. Yes he’s looking for 6 hrs earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I think PF posted the NE at hr30 above. Missed that thanks. edit: actually looks like that’s 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: A place like even Pittsfield MA could get warning snows off of this. I think Stafford/Union/Woodstock hills south of ORH can see 1-3 out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 21, 2019 Author Share Posted March 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man those west side slopes in the hill towns off the spine look sick Yeah, Stowe Village will get half of what Underhill gets in this. The ski area will get smoked but those BTV bedroom communities on the west slopes will get destroyed, especially the western bench at 700-1,200ft. Those places may be "boonies" to some but they are expensive places for the BTV professionals to live in the country. UVM Professors like JSpin and such. JSpin too...he's at 500ft but will get the full weight of the Spine QPF in this. You'll probably see him with like a 1.82" melted total or something ridiculous like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 21, 2019 Author Share Posted March 21, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: lol..supersaturation in that deformation delight. Monster growth. I was wondering how the model gets 101% RH scattered in there lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Smuggs and Bolton crush job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Just now, Modfan said: I think Stafford/Union/Woodstock hills south of ORH can see 1-3 out of this. Def a reasonable chance the interior hills in general see 1-3 inches. Good ULL track with a lot of synoptic moisture wrapping around. It's going to be one of those things that is hard to forecast though....the deep ULL can make things almost semi-convective. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah, Stowe Village will get half of what Underhill gets in this. The ski area will get smoked but those BTV bedroom communities on the west slopes will get destroyed, especially the western bench at 700-1,200ft. JSpin too...he's at 500ft but will get the full weight of the Spine QPF in this. You'll probably see him with like a 1.82" melted total or something ridiculous like that. Yeah now I envy lol. Looks sweet. Hope they all get smoked. I like a challenge though. Gene’s area could be interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: A place like even Pittsfield MA could get warning snows off of this. I could see pouring rain and cat paws in North Adams while 10 minutes away Savoy is getting plastered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah now I envy lol. Looks sweet. Hope they all get smoked. I'm challenged though. Gene’s area could be interesting. We know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 21, 2019 Author Share Posted March 21, 2019 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Smuggs and Bolton crush job. Flow doesn't look that blocked. I bet it's pretty uniform above 2000ft on both the east and west side of the crest. The precip just drops off rapidly on the Stowe side once you clear the crest so that like 3-5 miles out from Mansfield into Stowe we are realizing like 50% of the QPF. 35-50kts of NW flow will cause the snow produced aloft to drift downwind quite a bit too. I'd love to see a real 3-D model of local precip patterns in this stuff. Like snow formed at 7000ft over Underhill lands at the Stowe ski resort lol...slanted downwind fall rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: We know. That was a good one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: That was a good one It was tee'd up pretty well............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Just think ... in the multiverse theory ... it is plausible that there is a parallel realm existing along the same time lines as this for which we call reality. In that reality ... the GGEM is the only model that is either employed in the daily grind of operational Meteorology ... but also is what fills the screens with the cinema the neurotic dopamine seeking weather-related social media zealot depends upon ... And right now, they are discussing if those hurricane wind warnings might just bust too strong - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Shrooms? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: It was tee'd up pretty well............. I actually hope this works out for the east slopes where Gene and Ne into Maine. The atmosphere is so borderline away from the mountains. Someone is going to lose some trees and power. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: I actually hope this works out for the east slopes where Gene and Ne into Maine. The atmosphere is so borderline away from the mountains. Someone is going to lose some trees and power. Some areas are locked, There are a few wildcard areas for sure, But i think its going to come down to the short range mesos and nowcasting, The track is not ideal for areas east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 I wonder if this low can sorta deepen and dig a bit more than forecast and makes its connection with ULL a bit se . I just see the chance this deepens and takes its time crawling toward S NJ (ACY) then maybe spits NE its just a unique looking low pressure down there currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 I know it's not in our sub-forum but the models are now consistently showing Malone, NY and areas just south, as the synoptic jack for this storm. Most models are showing 2'+ in that area. With the storm tracks that we've seen this year, a lot of places inland are seeing jacks this year that we haven't seen in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Let's do this 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now