tamarack Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 32 minutes ago, dryslot said: lol, I never have to worry about looking or considering the upslope component here with the other 98.3675% on this board. Don't think I've seen a single flake of upslope at home since moving out of Ft. Kent. Maps all seem to show considerably more snow in SNE than here. Hoping for an extended dryslot to limit the RA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I've never seen the 3km show the ORH/TOL orographic enhancement like this before. It's like every run it's plopping QPF bulls eyes with nothing the the valley. I find it fascinating the model can get that terrain rise of 750-1kft and crank some QPF. What's the total QPF with the ULL? May be just warm enough in the valley for the algorithm to not trigger snow accums. I'd check for myself, but yeah...mobile and busy. edit...looks like it's actual lift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 It’s actually the ULL moisture combined with big upslope . I’ve seen that happen only a few times over the years with upslope in the area that drops accumulations , but it’s gotta be the perfect setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Could be some hi-res fantasy too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: Could be some hi-res fantasy too. I mean it is when the 700 mb low slips east, but we know how much of a fraud backside snow from a departing low can be around here. We don't TROWAL like the Midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 GFS struggles to get H85 above 0C here. Hrmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Looks like GFS is coming in colder. Looking more interesting for me but not alot of qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: GFS struggles to get H85 above 0C here. Hrmmm The Weatherbell clown snow maps have the 2" snow line running N to S from me to you during the first part of the storm before wrap around. Haven't seen that part yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Gfs looks like a 2-3” deal for hills of ORH and TOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 GFS clown through 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs looks like a 2-3” deal for hills of ORH and TOL I mean at some point you gotta start forecasting a few for the hillbilly’s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 As long as I wake up on Saturday to bare ground it's all good here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I mean at some point you gotta start forecasting a few for the hillbilly’s But will it accumulate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: But will it accumulate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 The Nam, Lot are humping it being correct.....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Once again this looks favorable for lakes region north. Elevation going to play a role. Alex looking good. I think I'll be hitting up Bretton Woods Sunday. Maybe Saturday too if winds aren't too much of a factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: That doesn't answer my question to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 I think the snow is probably real Friday night/early Saturday in SNE...as I said a couple days ago, when you get a ULL that deep (and still strengthening) crossing just under our latitude, it usually blossoms something. I think the main question is how cold the surface cools for places further east outside of the hills. Now it may not be one coherent shield...there could be some winners and losers, but I think a few spots are going to get some accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: The Nam, Lot are humping it being correct.....lol LOL....Toss. A day or two ago DIT was tossing everything, now he's humping the NAM.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 35 minutes ago, dendrite said: GFS struggles to get H85 above 0C here. Hrmmm Its usually a furnace, Pretty big thermal swing from 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 localized 1"-3" that melts by midday Saturday - sounds exciting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Just now, WinterWolf said: LOL....Toss. A day or two ago DIT was tossing everything, now he's humping the NAM.... The eyebrow raiser is the 12z GFS, Its usually a blow torch aloft and now it looks like one of the colder solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Just now, WinterWolf said: LOL....Toss. A day or two ago DIT was tossing everything, now he's humping the NAM.... The hills will get some. I mean some accumulation looked possible in the high spots for awhile. Like will said, what happens in low spots. Do we get a coherent shield or is it showery outside the higher terrain? My guess is a narrow area in the low spots may grab an inch, but not sure where. It’s nighttime too. THat helps. This will melt Saturday even as it’s cloudy. For most, it will be raw with flakes and not much accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: The hills will get some. I mean some accumulation looked possible in the high spots for awhile. Like will said, what happens in low spots. Do we get a coherent shield or is it showery outside the higher terrain? My guess is a narrow area in the low spots may grab an inch, but not sure where. It’s nighttime too. THat helps. This will melt Saturday even as it’s cloudy. For most, it will be raw with flakes and not much accumulation. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Enjoy the minor "dusting" in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Even the 12z GGEM was colder at 12z fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: The eyebrow raiser is the 12z GFS, Its usually a blow torch aloft and now it looks like one of the colder solutions. Then at 18z it'll flip back to Blowtorch again...lol. N. Aroostook for the win again. What a year. Did a tad over 500 miles last week..it was superb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Might be interesting for Gene at 1100’. Paster? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Just now, WinterWolf said: Then at 18z it'll flip back to Blowtorch again...lol. N. Aroostook for the win again. What a year. Did a tad over 500 miles last week..it was superb. A bunch of guys from our club are there this week, Its mint, I'm just trying to figure out how far i'm trailering on sunday, Looking more and more like iit may not be very far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 This is the time of year when you could really use some longitude and elevation in these marginal cases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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