8611Blizz Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Fisher has a possible coating to the coast but said an inch is isolated to the elevated regions fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 6" of ULL snow in NE CT. Seems legit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 0z FV3 has a nice couple of inches in E MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 1 hour ago, BombsAway1288 said: Yeah, you're gonna get crushed on the backside. What's your current depth? Around 24". Varies quite a bit though between sun and shade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 ASOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Enjoy our rain in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 9 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Enjoy our rain in SNE Enjoy some snow tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Radiated like a mofo. 25F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Enjoy some snow tomorrow night Oh boy oh boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 5 pages, I think Mitch has exceeded his 6 mos post count in this one thread........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 21, 2019 Author Share Posted March 21, 2019 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: 5 pages, I think Mitch has exceeded his 6 mos post count in this one thread........ Move this 150 miles south and we are on the 3rd thread at page 75. 5 pages, half of the posts like this are people coming in commenting on the thread itself and not the storm lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: Move this 150 miles south and we are on the 3rd thread at page 75. 5 pages, half of the posts like this are people coming in commenting on the thread itself and not the storm lol. My interest this time of year, I head NW, Looks like Sunday is the day to head to the Rangeley area, I'm just keeping an eye on here to see how far the rain/snow line gets so i may not have to trailer as far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Still time for change, a 30 mile shift will make a huge difference. Not for me but for borderline folks up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 21, 2019 Author Share Posted March 21, 2019 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: My interest this time of year, I head NW, Looks like Sunday is the day to head to the Rangeley area, I'm just keeping an eye on here to see how far the rain/snow line gets so i may not have to trailer as far. Yeah it also seems like not much has changed in the aggregate last 24-48 hours. Not much to discuss as we know the areas under the gun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/GIFS/GOES16-EUS-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: Yeah it also seems like not much has changed in the last 24-48 hours. Not much to discuss as we know the areas under the gun. Its been set for a few runs now, West is best in this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 21, 2019 Author Share Posted March 21, 2019 I think BTV itself will be an interesting study in this one. It could be like 3-4" of glop on 1-1.5"QPF (half likely rain) or it could be like 10-12" of blue snow. I generally lean conservative in the valley this time of year...there's usually more that can go wrong than right in BTV land but if they get into some of these 0.2"/hr QPF bands it could put down some snow quickly. But then again get some wind to downslope off the hills and it just warms that last 500ft enough for 5:1 ratios of white glop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Dacks get smoked, Heavy rains here, Exhaust for most of VT/NH on the 12z Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Dacks get smoked, Heavy rains here, Exhaust for most of VT/NH on the 12z Nam. Hope that verifies...minimize the rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hope that verifies...minimize the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Here are BTV's thoughts as of 4:03 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 21, 2019 Author Share Posted March 21, 2019 21 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yeah but the main event is Friday night into Saturday morning and always has been IMO...but I'm focused on the upslope side. That's when we'll get our snow. Ive always though Friday is too marginal. Mtns will get a foot on Friday night regardless of the synoptic storm precip. 6z Sat... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Yeah why are maps of the rainy part being posted lol? The snow is all ULL /backside / trowel related Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah but the main event is Friday night into Saturday morning and always has been IMO...but I'm focused on the upslope side. That's when we'll get our snow. Ive always though Friday is too marginal. Mtns will get a foot on Friday night regardless of the synoptic storm precip. 6z Sat... lol, I never have to worry about looking or considering the upslope component here with the other 98.3675% on this board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah why are maps of the rainy part being posted lol? The snow is all ULL /backside / trowel related TROWAL is an acronym TROugh of Warm air ALoft 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 Nam wants a sloppy inch or so even at lower spots. I feel like kev could pull 2+ if it goes right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 RPM says it won’t go right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 21, 2019 Author Share Posted March 21, 2019 16 minutes ago, dryslot said: lol, I never have to worry about looking or considering the upslope component here with the other 98.3675% on this board. Ha right...but 98% aren't looking at Watertown or Massena either. I mean I'm not even looking at home either. 5 miles up the road where it matters, like you and snowmobiling. 3KM went west too but it's the upslope that'll bring the snow in VT and always has IMO. Look at that hole at SYR in the low elevations if looking at NY State. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 21, 2019 Author Share Posted March 21, 2019 I've never seen the 3km show the ORH/TOL orographic enhancement like this before. It's like every run it's plopping QPF bulls eyes with nothing the the valley. I find it fascinating the model can get that terrain rise of 750-1kft and crank some QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 21, 2019 Share Posted March 21, 2019 The short term risk is that with all the deep convection firing over the Carolinas and Mid Atlantic is that this can end up stacking further south/west of current guidance consensus. I think that will be the only meaningful trend going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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