dryslot Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 If only Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 33 minutes ago, dryslot said: If only 1.25" QPF as snow or BTV there. Dack destroyer. At least the atmosphere keeps finding new ways to screw with us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Just got caught up. Great discussion by the Mets in here and then there's Brian. Jk Helluva full moon goon incoming. Congrats PF Mitch Pete. Powdah over meat for the rippers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: 1.25" QPF as snow or BTV there. Dack destroyer. At least the atmosphere keeps finding new ways to screw with us. That air mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Just got caught up. Great discussion by the Mets in here and then there's Brian. Helluva full moon goon incoming. Congrats PF Mitch Pete. Powdah over meat for the rippers The full moon gave me a great rad cooling night last night. Tomorrow it's a big storm. I'm pro-moon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 3 hours ago, klw said: There was a storm in mid-April of 92 which gave BTV about a foot with less east of the Greens. I was up and visiting the WRJ area and there was a surprise couple of inches. Elevation dependent except for West of the Greens. I have no idea what the set up for the storm was. It was a couple or a few weeks after the Montpelier floods. That must be the one that dumped 12-15" on the ALB area right after a torch - def band parked there for about 12 hours. CF was progged to keep moving - IIRC, we in the Augusta area were supposed to get 3-6 or some such, got maybe a flurry as the precip departed ahead of the front. Not looking forward to 1-2" cold RA with maybe a shushing at both ends. C'est la vie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Looks like snow to start for me up here at my elevation. Then cold rain and back to snow. 4-5" according to Euro. I'm right on the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Was euro that boring ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 4 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Looks like snow to start for me up here at my elevation. Then cold rain and back to snow. 4-5" according to Euro. I'm right on the line. NAM and GFS get 925 warm pretty quickly. +2C here valid 6z despite 850 and 2m being near 0C. Maybe you can sneak a little snow on both ends, but I'm not feeling too confident down here. Maybe a coating followed by plenty of rain and then some weak Robert Kraft reach around from the ULL that probably melts on contact. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 20 minutes ago, dendrite said: The full moon gave me a great rad cooling night last night. Tomorrow it's a big storm. I'm pro-moon. I think PF is off on his BTV 1 to 4 call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Was euro that boring ? I think if it doesn't show snow it is considered boring by some on here. I am just looking for a good coastal storm regardless of precipitation type especially being down in the NYC metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Was euro that boring ? No change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: I think PF is off on his BTV 1 to 4 call. Yeah I'll take the over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 No settled yet though. Think there is a surprise in store Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 One upshot for warm enthusiasts in all this ... a latter bloomer/bomb deal spares SNE an annoying snow pack heading into Sunday's relative balm Amazing D3 to 4 turn around in the 850s there. -10 C regionally to +2 has been modeled from 12z Saturday to 12z Sunday for a many cycles and continues to be the case in the Euro. Also...full sun, west NW katabatic flow... probably soars to the mid 60s in some of the finest air on the planet actually when that sort of set up comes to pass. ` Probably the first "DS dandy" of the season ...which, provided the present butt bang solutions actually bang butt...being the irony. It might be hard to DSD if otherwise there is a half foot of toothpaste on the ground... That's gotta be hard on winter enthusiasts - you have my sympathies... screwed, then face smacked by nice weather. Even the Euro is now waiting... paltry low after a slug of rain and SE drift to the wind ? Interesting to venture through the models during this trek and end up with that being the high confidence mode for SNE... Then, it explodes and bombs just E of Boston - not sure there won't be some sort of instant rad fill in of rain going over when that happens...seems like a helluva anchor not to but, heh... glad I'm not getting paid to do this because I'm pretty sick of this piece of shit already to be frank. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: No settled yet though. Think there is a surprise in store I honestly think the hills of SNE will pull 1-3” maybe 4” if I t breaks right . You know the drill when these pass out south of LI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 10 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: I think if it doesn't show snow it is considered boring by some on here. I am just looking for a good coastal storm regardless of precipitation type especially being down in the NYC metro area. This one gets going too late for major coastal impacts at home. And that’s why I’m heading up to 1400’ in the greens with potential to get to 3850’. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 17 minutes ago, dendrite said: NAM and GFS get 925 warm pretty quickly. +2C here valid 6z despite 850 and 2m being near 0C. Maybe you can sneak a little snow on both ends, but I'm not feeling too confident down here. Maybe a coating followed by plenty of rain and then some weak Robert Kraft reach around from the ULL that probably melts on contact. Thanks Brian. Sent you a PM. 4F difference between old and new VP2. That fan makes all the difference. Im like in a new colder climate! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 20, 2019 Author Share Posted March 20, 2019 56 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah I'll take the over. Ginxy loves a good low ball first guess. You can always raise em. SFC temps came down a lot better at 12z for BTV. 32-33 instead of 35-36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 20, 2019 Author Share Posted March 20, 2019 57 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: No change Definitely a bit further west with the best forcing. That just destroys upstate NY, even ART and SYR. It's upper 30s over the Spine and east for a while. Noticeable difference on the margins. Definitely in the realm of possibilities that upstate NY gets into this a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Definitely a bit further west with the best forcing. That just destroys upstate NY, even ART and SYR. It's upper 30s over the Spine and east for a while. Noticeable difference on the margins. Definitely in the realm of possibilities that upstate NY gets into this a bit more. son of a *itch, so darn close for southern parts, few more ticks.(ya right) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 14 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Definitely a bit further west with the best forcing. That just destroys upstate NY, even ART and SYR. It's upper 30s over the Spine and east for a while. Noticeable difference on the margins. Definitely in the realm of possibilities that upstate NY gets into this a bit more. Doesn't look much different than 6Z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Surprised this isn't a "hot" thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 20, 2019 Author Share Posted March 20, 2019 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Doesn't look much different than 6Z True in the grand scheme of things no. I noticed some subtle differences in NVT, I think it was better for BTV and worse for MVL/MPV. But noise in the large scale, you're right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 20, 2019 Author Share Posted March 20, 2019 7 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Surprised this isn't a "hot" thread It was earlier. Middle afternoon ahead of an event that not many care for...you aren't surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 11 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Surprised this isn't a "hot" thread Population of NNE is only around 5-10 people. 1/2 are out cutting firewood, a couple are out on the trails. That leaves only a couple to post in here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 20, 2019 Author Share Posted March 20, 2019 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Population of NNE is only around 5-10 people. 1/2 are out cutting firewood, a couple are out on the trails. That leaves only a couple to post in here. If we quote each other a couple more times we can make it "hot". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: If we quote each other a couple more times we can make it "hot". Solid idea. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 27 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Doesn't look much different than 6Z My 4-5" becomes 1-2, at best, and the good stuff moved about 20 miles farther away. ASOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 20, 2019 Author Share Posted March 20, 2019 19 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Surprised this isn't a "hot" thread Don't know what you are talking about . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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