janetjanet998 Posted March 9, 2019 Author Share Posted March 9, 2019 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 16 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 215 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2019 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF PARTS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN ALABAMA NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI MIDDLE TENNESSEE * EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 215 PM UNTIL 900 PM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...COMPLEX STORM EVOLUTION CONTINUES, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS TO EMERGE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING IN THE CORRIDOR FROM MIDDLE TENNESSEE ACROSS NORTHWESTERN ALABAMA. THE STORM ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS THROUGH MID-LATE EVENING. A COUPLE OF STRONG TORNADOES, DAMAGING WINDS, AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Cell west of ST Louis starting to show some rotation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 9, 2019 Author Share Posted March 9, 2019 tight strong rotation near walnut MS also storms over SE AR getting intersting JAN VAD still very favorable for tornadoes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 9, 2019 Author Share Posted March 9, 2019 I see MEG still hasn't cleared up confusing updates after all these years ( I think this is the office I remember always doing this..maybe not) The update says SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO not "capable of" but the source says RADAR INDICATED ROTATION so is there a TOG or not? AT 238 PM CST, DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF POCAHONTAS, OR 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BIG HILL POND STATE PARK, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Indianola, MS cell and cell in NE LA would need to be watched very closely for any long tracked tornado potential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 9, 2019 Author Share Posted March 9, 2019 25 minutes ago, Jackstraw said: Cell west of ST Louis starting to show some rotation ULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 255 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN ST. CHARLES COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI... NORTHWESTERN ST. LOUIS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI... SOUTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI... * UNTIL 345 PM CST. * AT 255 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR INNSBROOK, MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS, SIDING, AND TREES. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... O'FALLON, ST. CHARLES, ST. PETERS, CHESTERFIELD, WILDWOOD, BALLWIN, WENTZVILLE, MARYLAND HEIGHTS, HAZELWOOD, MANCHESTER, CREVE COEUR, LAKE ST. LOUIS, BRIDGETON, DARDENNE PRAIRIE, TOWN AND COUNTRY, ELLISVILLE, DES PERES, WARRENTON, WELDON SPRING AND WRIGHT CITY. LAT...LON 3882 9110 3886 9044 3860 9046 3861 9073 3864 9073 3861 9076 3863 9112 TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 274DEG 42KT 3871 9099 TORNADO...POSSIBLE HAIL...0.75IN WIND...60MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Confirmed tor near Savannah TN by spotters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 9, 2019 Author Share Posted March 9, 2019 the cells in MS look like trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 1 minute ago, janetjanet998 said: the cells in MS look like trouble Yeah that Cell NW of Yazoo city is getting into a progressively better environment as it organizes, and the cell NE of Greenwood is taking on a more discrete structure as it gets into a highly shear environment with some clearing out ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 friggen Radarscope is on the fritz....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Clearing in S IL has let surface temps jump 10 degrees in the last couple of hours could help w/ instability issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Mesoscale Discussion 0174 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0317 PM CST Sat Mar 09 2019 Areas affected...southern Illinois and vicinity Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 092117Z - 092315Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe storms are possible this afternoon, with damaging wind or perhaps a tornado. DISCUSSION...A warm front continues to move northward across the St. Louis area and into southern Illinois, with substantial clearing allowing for additional heating as well. Surface analysis shows mid 50s F dewpoints surging northward, with 2hr pressure falls up to 6 mb. An axis of near-60 F dewpoints exists over extreme southern Illinois southward into Arkansas as of 21Z. A small cluster of thunderstorms is currently moving toward the St. Louis area with indications of strong wind gusts. This is very near the surface low/upper vort track, and is coincident with strong cooling aloft. A small window of opportunity might exist for at least isolated severe storms ahead of the surface low and near the warm front. Forecast soundings indicate instability is weak, but may briefly increase enough to support low-topped supercells. Wind shear profiles are very strong, and should a supercell form, a tornado threat would naturally exist. ..Jewell/Thompson.. 03/09/2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Looks like a string of several supercells are trying to develop between Winona and Memphis just east of I-55 in Mississippi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 9, 2019 Author Share Posted March 9, 2019 underperformed so far today,,especially up north but finally two cells in MS in "clearer" air and look less "grungy" SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 510 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2019 MSC019-097-100000- /O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-190310T0000Z/ CHOCTAW MS-MONTGOMERY MS- 510 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST FOR CHOCTAW AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES... AT 509 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER POPLAR CREEK, OR 14 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WINONA, MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 9, 2019 Author Share Posted March 9, 2019 still down O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-190310T0000Z/ CHOCTAW MS- 517 PM CST SAT MAR 9 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST FOR CENTRAL CHOCTAW COUNTY... AT 517 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR POPLAR CREEK, OR 19 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WINONA, MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 tornado warning (radar confirmed) at Poplar Creek MS. Not sure if the lowered CC (lower left corner) is a sign of a TDS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Cells in MS are best of day this far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Yeah it looks like WTVA has a nice live stream going with the storms tower cam and chaser video https://livestream.com/accounts/19464150/events/5405314/player?width=640&height=360&#=true&mute=true 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Three cells have that look, could pick up here in short order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 10, 2019 Share Posted March 10, 2019 Sturgis Cell...looks like there is probably a TOG with it.... From Spann's twitter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 10, 2019 Share Posted March 10, 2019 There have been tornado warned cells at Poplar Creek, French Camp, Weir, Ackerman, Sturgis, and east of Sturgis. I think I have seen TDS's on the radar near and east of Sturgis recently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 10, 2019 Share Posted March 10, 2019 Met on WTVA doing a detailed play by play on the cell as it heads east to the area just south of Columbus. Thanks for the link posted above. Showing power outage reports from the affected area per utility. Certainly a very low hanging wall cloud if not a TOG. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted March 11, 2019 Share Posted March 11, 2019 Good contrast, for Dixie.. On 3/9/2019 at 7:30 PM, downeastnc said: Sturgis Cell...looks like there is probably a TOG with it.... From Spann's twitter Yes that's definitely TOG. Apparently I should have gone storm chasing, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now