OrdIowPitMsp Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Well looks like I’ll be shoveling this weekend. In all seriousness though really glad my home was recently built (2010) with modern standards and codes. My neighborhood is mostly homes from 1910-1930 and the ice dam issue is becoming extreme. Another heavy wet snow could cause structural issues for some people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 17 hours ago, Minnesota_storms said: NAM with heavy totals and doesn't even have the snow ending. This time frame is when the NAM is at it's best. They should push it out to 100hrs for even more accuracy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Winter Storm Warning hoisted as expected here. Gonna be a nail biter regarding precip type at the onset for the metro. 12Z 3K NAM wants to bring the warm nose up this way which could cut into totals and make the snow even heavier and more water loaded. I Wonder if our snow depth will actually decrease if we get 8” of 7-1 snow. How much could it compact things? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 54 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: Winter Storm Warning hoisted as expected here. Gonna be a nail biter regarding precip type at the onset for the metro. 12Z 3K NAM wants to bring the warm nose up this way which could cut into totals and make the snow even heavier and more water loaded. I Wonder if our snow depth will actually decrease if we get 8” of 7-1 snow. How much could it compact things? I don't think your depth will decrease...but you may only add 2-4" instead of the 5-6" that you'd normally expect. But the good news is that the heavy/wet snow on top could act to protect the snow underneath, meaning better snow retention when the thaw comes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stockwiz Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 NOAA still says 8-9" in Brookings though not all the models agree. Here's a before pic of my backyard. You can see the drift goes up to the top of the neighbor's 6.5-7ish foot privacy fence. Actual snow depth is in the 25" range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Going to be a nowcast for mby. 3km NAM wants to keep the warm nose overhead and cuts down significantly on totals with mixed precip for a few hours. 12z HRRR wants to change things all over to heavy snow after a brief mix of precip to start things off. Anybody know if either model has a warm/cold bias or doesn’t handle mixing very well? NWS seems to think the warm air issues will be just to my south and still expecting 6-8” for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 May briefly manage to change to snow this afternoon but I'm not counting on it. 34F and rain right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 35 with heavy rain. Utterly miserable. Lots of standing water with the frozen ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 2 hours ago, cyclone77 said: 35 with heavy rain. Utterly miserable. Lots of standing water with the frozen ground. Pretty much a carbon copy up here. Losing a lot of precip to liquid and the roads are full of deep ponding water. Going to be a major bust here unless we change over soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Changed over to snow for an hour or so at the end. Didnt lose the snowpack which doesn’t bode well for getting too warm this next system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 MKX now with a WWA out for freezing rain, and it's actually started to snow here. Earlier they weren't expecting anything other than rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Big fat flakes and some pingers falling now. Already have a dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted March 10, 2019 Share Posted March 10, 2019 250 miles the last two days staying in Munising, MI. One more day tomorrow with some fresh powpow.Let the storm pass and then take the drive back home.Sent from my SM-G935P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ikcarsky Posted March 10, 2019 Share Posted March 10, 2019 I gotta give some love to this one. We didn't see a drop of liquid like they were forecasting. NWS is blaming the stiff dry east wind all afternoon that kept dew points in the low 20s. Snow/sleet started about 5:45 pm, intensity picked up half an hour later and by 6:45 pm it was CRAZY intense snow. Gotta love 850 frontogenesis snow giving us an amazing band that dropped 2" in one hour. But by 8 PM it was all done and now it's just light stuff now as I find myself smack dab in the central WI snow hole. Wind died down quite a bit too. Fingers crossed that the defo snow action picks up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted March 10, 2019 Share Posted March 10, 2019 Got a 2.5” paste job so far with some light snow and drizzle. Don’t see how we get much past 4” let alone 6” for warning criteria, so going to be a bust here. Absolutely beautiful with snow coating every surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ikcarsky Posted March 10, 2019 Share Posted March 10, 2019 36 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: Got a 2.5” paste job so far with some light snow and drizzle. Don’t see how we get much past 4” let alone 6” for warning criteria, so going to be a bust here. Absolutely beautiful with snow coating every surface. I noticed MSP was the last place in MN to change over. Surprised at how long it took. UHI influenced perhaps? It was during the day and most areas getting snow were a degree or two above freezing as far as a could tell. Getting optimistic for 6" here for my area. Precip is becoming a bit better defined on the leading edge of the 700 circulation which is now in SW WI. You can see the circulation quite well via the radar loops which is definitely not the surface low (which is over ORD). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 10, 2019 Share Posted March 10, 2019 I picked up 0.50" of rain, short of what the models had been consistently spitting out. It also was barely above freezing all day, so very little snow melted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 10, 2019 Share Posted March 10, 2019 0.92" of ice cold rain here with no thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted March 10, 2019 Share Posted March 10, 2019 4.7” official total here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEiowaWX Posted March 10, 2019 Share Posted March 10, 2019 Picked up 1.17" of rain off this one. Had some afternoon thunderstorms drop pea size hail yesterday. Lots of standing water and must creeks are bank full. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now