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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion


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3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

We're quietly slipping into a very dry pattern since Memorial Day.  Several 'big' events beyond D3 have gone poof within 24 hrs.

I have noticed! As I said this morning, this “threat” today and tomorrow went from exciting to meh in 24 hours. Certainly has been a change from this time last year. 

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1 hour ago, high risk said:

 

     # GFScancel

Seems to be the deb from a few days out usually. Though NAM usually goes too hardcore. Also when the FV3 and old GFS were running in parallel - I noticed on the COD website that the FV3 consistently put out lower supercell composite numbers. 

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Severe thunderstorm watch issued till 11pm for i95 corridor and east

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 392
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   405 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2019

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     District Of Columbia
     Delaware
     Eastern Maryland
     Southern New Jersey
     Southeast Pennsylvania
     Eastern Virginia
     Coastal Waters

   * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 405 PM until
     1100 PM EDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
     Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
     A tornado or two possible

   SUMMARY...At least isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are
   expected to develop across the region late this afternoon within an
   increasingly unstable environment, with the potential for the
   strongest of these storms to produce severe hail/wind.
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5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Storm near Columbia, MD looks slightly spinny.

Saw something on that one akin to a wall cloud. Unfortunately was driving the other way and was only able to see it for like 10 seconds. However. It’s heading my way. So we’ll see what happens shortly. 

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