Eskimo Joe Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:13 PM, yoda said: Where's the quickest to see the 18z RAOB? SPC sounding page? Expand Yea, it probably won't be available until 2:30 at the earliest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 lmao at all the people in here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:19 PM, Tater Tot said: lmao at all the people in here! Expand should we be somewhere else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md0884.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 We'll soon be surrounded by watches...another MD just posted for SW VA/Southern WV/N KY. And another MD for the western half of the LWX area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 29, 2019 Author Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:23 PM, Eskimo Joe said: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md0884.html Expand Not a particularly robust meso discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:26 PM, Kmlwx said: Not a particularly robust meso discussion. Expand Yea. All of a sudden the CU field went poof at work too. Wonder if there's some subsidence or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:23 PM, mappy said: should we be somewhere else? Expand I love how active it is just for an ENH risk day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:37 PM, Tater Tot said: I love how active it is just for an ENH risk day. Expand well, you are on a weather forum and we don't get many ENH days per year so seems pretty normal to me lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 The 17z PIT sounding upstream looked fine to me... waiting for the 18z KIAD one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:37 PM, Tater Tot said: I love how active it is just for an ENH risk day. Expand are you new here? we get 50 page threads for flurries in the winter. why would severe weather be any different? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 29, 2019 Author Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:43 PM, mappy said: are you new here? we get 50 page threads for flurries in the winter. why would severe weather be any different? Expand The only difference is we tend to not crash the forum during severe season 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:43 PM, mappy said: are you new here? we get 50 page threads for flurries in the winter. why would severe weather be any different? Expand I know, I think I'm just noticing the contrast between this thread and the midwest/ohio valley threads where they've been having tornado outbreaks with about 20 people in the thread lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:47 PM, Kmlwx said: The only difference is we tend to not crash the forum during severe season Expand shhhh dont jinx it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:47 PM, Tater Tot said: I know, I think I'm just noticing the contrast between this thread and the midwest/ohio valley threads where they've been having tornado outbreaks with about 20 people in the thread lol. Expand the severe threads forum-wide has sucked in the last few years. 2011-2012 was the height of when central and midwest forums were the go to for severe chat. its pretty crappy now. i stay here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:47 PM, Kmlwx said: The only difference is we tend to not crash the forum during severe season Expand Plus there haven't been any "bust" calls yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:49 PM, fourseasons said: Plus there haven't been any "bust" calls yet. Expand no direct calls but I can feel it coming based on our lack of MDs and/or watches lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:53 PM, AmericanWxFreak said: no direct calls but I can feel it coming based on our lack of MDs and/or watches lol Expand You're not doing this properly! You should be calling bust based on the radar! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 29, 2019 Author Share Posted May 29, 2019 The other nice thing is the severe weenies tend to not have a meltdown when storms don't work out. We move on after complaining a little bit. Not speaking for everyone - but there's a lot more of a "what happens happens" mentality with severe. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 29, 2019 Author Share Posted May 29, 2019 Thus far the models with the intense activity remaining in PA have been correct. Still early, though. That DC split is looking MIGHTY so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:56 PM, Kmlwx said: The other nice thing is the severe weenies tend to not have a meltdown when storms don't work out. We move on after complaining a little bit. Not speaking for everyone - but there's a lot more of a "what happens happens" mentality with severe. Expand Maybe because the aftermath of winter storms is often fun and pretty. The aftermath of severe can be traumatizing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:56 PM, Kmlwx said: The other nice thing is the severe weenies tend to not have a meltdown when storms don't work out. We move on after complaining a little bit. Not speaking for everyone - but there's a lot more of a "what happens happens" mentality with severe. Expand speak for yourself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:58 PM, Kmlwx said: Thus far the models with the intense activity remaining in PA have been correct. Still early, though. That DC split is looking MIGHTY so far Expand Weren't the models more suggesting evening time for us potentially? Like 6 to 10pm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:49 PM, fourseasons said: Plus there haven't been any "bust" calls yet. Expand BUST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 6:41 PM, yoda said: The 17z PIT sounding upstream looked fine to me... waiting for the 18z KIAD one Expand Wyoming has it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 29, 2019 Author Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 7:01 PM, yoda said: Weren't the models more suggesting evening time for us potentially? Like 6 to 10pm? Expand Most recent HRRR runs are pretty pitiful for some of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 7:00 PM, smokeybandit said: Maybe because the aftermath of winter storms is often fun and pretty. The aftermath of severe can be traumatizing Expand Also because we typically do not spend more than a day or two dumping our emotions into watching a potential evolve. With winter, it can be almost 2 weeks of waiting and watching lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 29, 2019 Author Share Posted May 29, 2019 On 5/29/2019 at 7:02 PM, AmericanWxFreak said: Also because we typically do not spend more than a day or two dumping our emotions into watching a potential evolve. With winter, it can be almost 2 weeks of waiting and watching lol Expand This is a big factor for sure. Extended tracking always makes busts more painful. Imagine having a D8 severe outlook go poof once it hits day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 No storms = pool time this evening at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tater Tot Posted May 29, 2019 Share Posted May 29, 2019 It's much easier to maintain low expectations about severe around here. I try to steer clear of the place around winter because it's harder not to get your hopes up (plus it's not as fun without DT's rants). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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