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March 3, 2019 Severe Threat


MattPetrulli

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SPC did a good job forecasting discrete cells despite CAMs reluctance to do so. That coastal warm from lifting north is becoming a focus out east of the cold front, also noted on previous page this thread. Could be an ugly day the Georgia tornado watch area. 

Surface winds are only slightly veered; and, they are actually backed right along that WF boundary. Any cell that can latch to the boundary could become a long track supercell. Low level jet is also backed enough out in Georgia, away from the 700 mb trough in Alabama. Rest of the upper levels, stout from 700 mb up, of course add to the shear.

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MACON

 

EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA  
324 PM EST SUN MAR 3 2019  
  
GAC021-079-153-225-289-032045-  
/O.CON.KFFC.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190303T2045Z/  
BIBB GA-TWIGGS GA-PEACH GA-CRAWFORD GA-HOUSTON GA-  
324 PM EST SUN MAR 3 2019  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EST FOR BIBB...  
WEST CENTRAL TWIGGS...CENTRAL PEACH...CENTRAL CRAWFORD AND NORTH  
CENTRAL HOUSTON COUNTIES...  
      
AT 323 PM EST, A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED  
OVER JACK BROWN ESTATES, OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT VALLEY, MOVING  
NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.  

  
THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.  
  
IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY   
         BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES   
         WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES,   
         BUSINESSES, AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE DESTRUCTION   
         IS POSSIBLE.  
  
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
MACON, FORT VALLEY, WARNER ROBINS, CENTERVILLE, BYRON, PAYNE, PAYNE  

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AC021-153-225-289-032045-  
/O.CON.KFFC.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190303T2045Z/  
BIBB GA-TWIGGS GA-PEACH GA-HOUSTON GA-  
330 PM EST SUN MAR 3 2019  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EST FOR EASTERN  
BIBB...WEST CENTRAL TWIGGS...NORTHEASTERN PEACH AND NORTH CENTRAL  
HOUSTON COUNTIES...  
      
AT 330 PM EST, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS  
LOCATED OVER SKIPPERTON, OR 7 MILES SOUTH OF MACON, MOVING NORTHEAST  
AT 60 MPH.  
  
THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!  

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