wdrag Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Will leave the forecasting to the prior March 3rd-4th Shellacking threat thread. Enjoy this 4 day snow event spell, to the max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Current Temp 40. DP 25. Sheepshead Bay Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 36/24/ENE4 high clouds moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 17 minutes ago, gravitylover said: 36/24/ENE4 high clouds moving in. Pretty identical to me... 37/24 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, allgame830 said: Pretty identical to me... 37/24 It popped to 38 but as the high clouds moved in it dropped a bit then stabilized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 Wantage NJ 36/18 at this time. Dewpoint down from yesterday afternoon's 30 and we won't reach the 43.5 of yesterday. Amazing short duration event if it pans out 6-8" here between 430P and 430A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 DP down to 19° at LGA at 10:51 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 37/19.... DP down 2 degrees in last couple hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 38/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 35f cloudy precip starting to break out to my west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 The wet-bulb zero line at the surface is still NW of the city by a good bit, but aircraft soundings out of LGA in the 17Z hour showed that it's only the lowest few hundred feet where that's the case. Everything above that is sufficiently cold for primarily snow as precip works into the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Southbury CT it's currently 45* under a thin overcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 Wantage NJ, just before go time. 37/19 at 250P, down from a high of 38.7. Should be no problem to drop to freezing 2 hrs after SB. Will post 12z NAM 800-600mb banding signal 3z/6z/9z-4 in the Shellacking thread, by 305P. Then if someone can post radar images at those times, we'll see how the NAM and this way of looking at FGEN, fared. The only big negative for 2/hr in the colder sector of the storm- it seems the primary lift is just below the scientifically defined IDEAL dendrite zone. It's a model...imperfect. Just trying to use something that I think has value, as imperfect as it is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 42F and cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Light snow beginning to fall. 36° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ebwx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 light rain underway in East Brunswick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Byrdhousebv Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 T 39, DP 27, Flurries here in eastern Monmouth Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 Snow began Wantage 8s High Point around 350P. I see a bit faster in the higher elevation to our northeast in Sussex County. We're off and running. Just amazing if this comes to pass from 38.7F and partly sunny at 1230P to 8" by 4AM Monday. Hard hitter. small flakes right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Surprisingly looking to start snow grains/snow pellets here, very light... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 looks like white rain here on Staten Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ebwx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 A few flakes have mixed in past few minutes... east brunswick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Some flurries here in uws, can’t tell if rain is mixed in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Light snow here in bed stuy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Light snow here in bed stuy same...some aggregate flakes here and there. should be a good storm for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Light snow uws tho obviously too warm to expect accumulations at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmorelights Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Flurrying now in Glen Ridge, NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 light rain still in union county. somehow snowing south of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Light snow now in queens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Light snow in south Brooklyn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 4 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said: Light snow uws tho obviously too warm to expect accumulations at this point Just walked home from the gym. Temp has dropped rapidly to meet dew points. I doubt we even start as rain, think we start accumulating as soon as the sun goes down. HRRR looks absolutely fantastic, .75 line way back inland, wouldn't be surprised to see some 10-12" lolls where bands set up. I like my 5-9" call for Harlem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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